PitchMath
UEFA Champions League · 2024

Shakhtar Donetsk 1–5 FC Bayern München · UEFA Champions League

1–5Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

FC Bayern München won 1–5.

Shots
1221
Shots on target
58
Expected goals
1.233.59
Possession
35%65%

Full time

What the match recorded

FC Bayern München beat Shakhtar Donetsk 5–1. Recorded in this match (Shakhtar Donetsk – FC Bayern München): shots 12–21, shots on target 5–8, expected goals 1.23–3.59, possession 35%–65%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

FC Bayern München show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

FC Bayern München's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

10 shots/match ▲ShotsShakhtar Donetsk · FC Bayern München20 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricShakhtar DonetskFC Bayern MünchenBaseline
Shots10 shots/match20 shots/match12.8 shots/match
Shots against19.7 shots/match7.5 shots/match13.2 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

FC Bayern München's recent record differs from the season

moderate

FC Bayern München's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

1.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season2.83 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.6 goals/match2.83 goals/match1.67 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

FC Bayern München have recorded the higher season possession share.

43%PossessionShakhtar Donetsk · FC Bayern München● 66%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 23.0 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricShakhtar DonetskFC Bayern MünchenBaseline
Possession43%66%49.6%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots12 shots21 shotsShakhtar Donetsk 12 shots, FC Bayern München 21 shots
  • Shots on target5 shots8 shotsShakhtar Donetsk 5 shots, FC Bayern München 8 shots
  • Expected goals1.23 xG3.59 xGShakhtar Donetsk 1.23 xG, FC Bayern München 3.59 xG
  • Possession35%65%Shakhtar Donetsk 35%, FC Bayern München 65%
  • Corners4 corners5 cornersShakhtar Donetsk 4 corners, FC Bayern München 5 corners
  • Fouls16 fouls10 foulsShakhtar Donetsk 16 fouls, FC Bayern München 10 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Michael Olise · FC Bayern München · 31′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedDmytro Kryskiv · Shakhtar Donetsk · 48′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedLeon Goretzka · FC Bayern München · 58′ · 0.02 xG · on targetLeroy Sané · FC Bayern München · 17′ · 0.03 xG · on targetOleksandr Zubkov · Shakhtar Donetsk · 73′ · 0.03 xG · on targetPedrinho · Shakhtar Donetsk · 83′ · 0.03 xG · on targetPedrinho · Shakhtar Donetsk · 89′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedGeorgiy Sudakov · Shakhtar Donetsk · 12′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedThomas Müller · FC Bayern München · 30′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedLeon Goretzka · FC Bayern München · 36′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedJamal Musiala · FC Bayern München · 20′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedJamal Musiala · FC Bayern München · 40′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedLeroy Sané · FC Bayern München · 46′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedMykola Matvienko · Shakhtar Donetsk · 48′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedLassina Traoré · Shakhtar Donetsk · 48′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedValerii Bondar · Shakhtar Donetsk · 83′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedKonrad Laimer · FC Bayern München · 11′ · 0.07 xG · goalLeroy Sané · FC Bayern München · 56′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedLeon Goretzka · FC Bayern München · 40′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedLeroy Sané · FC Bayern München · 41′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedEguinaldo · Shakhtar Donetsk · 89′ · 0.08 xG · on targetSacha Boey · FC Bayern München · 72′ · 0.14 xG · on targetMichael Olise · FC Bayern München · 35′ · 0.15 xG · off target or blockedKevin · Shakhtar Donetsk · 5′ · 0.17 xG · goalThomas Müller · FC Bayern München · 45′ · 0.18 xG · goalJamal Musiala · FC Bayern München · 36′ · 0.19 xG · off target or blockedThomas Müller · FC Bayern München · 41′ · 0.21 xG · off target or blockedKonrad Laimer · FC Bayern München · 67′ · 0.23 xG · off target or blockedValerii Bondar · Shakhtar Donetsk · 48′ · 0.30 xG · on targetJamal Musiala · FC Bayern München · 87′ · 0.30 xG · goalGeorgiy Sudakov · Shakhtar Donetsk · 43′ · 0.41 xG · off target or blockedMichael Olise · FC Bayern München · 70′ · 0.82 xG · goalMichael Olise · FC Bayern München · 90′ · 0.83 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Shakhtar Donetsk: 12 shots, 5 on target, 1.26 xG. FC Bayern München: 21 shots, 8 on target, 3.65 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0240′HT90′Kevin · Shakhtar Donetsk · 5′Konrad Laimer · FC Bayern München · 11′Thomas Müller · FC Bayern München · 45′Michael Olise · FC Bayern München · 70′Jamal Musiala · FC Bayern München · 87′Michael Olise · FC Bayern München · 90′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Shakhtar Donetsk 1.26 xG · FC Bayern München 3.65 xG.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Shakhtar Donetsk favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · FC Bayern München in 11

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Shakhtar Donetsk6 matchesFC Bayern München6 matches
0.83 goals/matchGoals scored6/6▲ 2.83 goals/match
2.17 goals/matchGoals allowed6/6▲ 1.33 goals/match
1.01 xG/matchExpected goals6/6▲ 2.72 xG/match
10 shots/matchShots6/6▲ 20 shots/match
2.67 shots/matchShots on target6/6▲ 9 shots/match
43%Possession6/6● 66%
4.5 corners/matchCorners6/6● 7.83 corners/match
9.83 fouls/matchFouls6/610.2 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples6 / 6home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Wed, 11 Dec 2024, 00:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in UEFA Champions League

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsShakhtar DonetskFC Bayern München
CompetitionUEFA Champions LeagueUEFA Champions League 2024/25
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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