PitchMath
UEFA Champions League · 2024

Red Bull Salzburg 0–3 Paris Saint-Germain · UEFA Champions League

0–3Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Paris Saint-Germain won 0–3.

Shots
315
Shots on target
18
Expected goals
0.153.18
Possession
30%70%

Full time

What the match recorded

Paris Saint-Germain beat Red Bull Salzburg 3–0. Recorded in this match (Red Bull Salzburg – Paris Saint-Germain): shots 3–15, shots on target 1–8, expected goals 0.15–3.18, possession 30%–70%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Red Bull Salzburg's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Red Bull Salzburg's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.1 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.6 goals/match1.1 goals/match1.67 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Paris Saint-Germain have a visible away split

weak

Paris Saint-Germain's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

12 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season18.3 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots12 shots/match18.3 shots/match12.8 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Red Bull Salzburg show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Red Bull Salzburg's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

10.7 shots/match ▲ShotsRed Bull Salzburg · Paris Saint-Germain18.3 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricRed Bull SalzburgParis Saint-GermainBaseline
Shots10.7 shots/match18.3 shots/match12.8 shots/match
Shots against15.2 shots/match7 shots/match13.2 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots3 shots15 shotsRed Bull Salzburg 3 shots, Paris Saint-Germain 15 shots
  • Shots on target1 shot8 shotsRed Bull Salzburg 1 shot, Paris Saint-Germain 8 shots
  • Expected goals0.15 xG3.18 xGRed Bull Salzburg 0.15 xG, Paris Saint-Germain 3.18 xG
  • Possession30%70%Red Bull Salzburg 30%, Paris Saint-Germain 70%
  • Corners1 corner5 cornersRed Bull Salzburg 1 corner, Paris Saint-Germain 5 corners
  • Fouls9 fouls11 foulsRed Bull Salzburg 9 fouls, Paris Saint-Germain 11 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Achraf Hakimi · Paris Saint-Germain · 10′ · 0.01 xG · on targetFabián Ruiz · Paris Saint-Germain · 15′ · 0.02 xG · on targetDorgeles Nene · Red Bull Salzburg · 63′ · 0.02 xG · on targetGonçalo Ramos · Paris Saint-Germain · 34′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedOscar Gloukh · Red Bull Salzburg · 70′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedMarquinhos · Paris Saint-Germain · 45′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedKang-in Lee · Paris Saint-Germain · 11′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedNuno Mendes · Paris Saint-Germain · 72′ · 0.07 xG · goalVitinha · Paris Saint-Germain · 12′ · 0.08 xG · on targetBradley Barcola · Paris Saint-Germain · 29′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedJoão Neves · Paris Saint-Germain · 90′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedDorgeles Nene · Red Bull Salzburg · 23′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedGonçalo Ramos · Paris Saint-Germain · 10′ · 0.21 xG · on targetDésiré Doué · Paris Saint-Germain · 85′ · 0.21 xG · goalBradley Barcola · Paris Saint-Germain · 87′ · 0.38 xG · on targetBradley Barcola · Paris Saint-Germain · 38′ · 0.44 xG · off target or blockedGonçalo Ramos · Paris Saint-Germain · 24′ · 0.62 xG · off target or blockedGonçalo Ramos · Paris Saint-Germain · 30′ · 0.82 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Red Bull Salzburg: 3 shots, 1 on target, 0.17 xG. Paris Saint-Germain: 15 shots, 8 on target, 3.16 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.753.50′HT90′Gonçalo Ramos · Paris Saint-Germain · 30′Nuno Mendes · Paris Saint-Germain · 72′Désiré Doué · Paris Saint-Germain · 85′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Red Bull Salzburg 0.17 xG · Paris Saint-Germain 3.16 xG.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Red Bull Salzburg favored in 1 of 11 directional metrics · Paris Saint-Germain in 10

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Red Bull Salzburg10 matchesParis Saint-Germain6 matches
1.1 goals/match ▲Goals scored10/61 goal/match
2.3 goals/matchGoals allowed10/6▲ 1 goal/match
0.95 xG/matchExpected goals6/6▲ 1.86 xG/match
10.7 shots/matchShots10/6▲ 18.3 shots/match
3.6 shots/matchShots on target10/6▲ 5.83 shots/match
48.6%Possession10/6● 62.3%
3.9 corners/matchCorners10/6● 6.33 corners/match
11.8 fouls/matchFouls10/69.5 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples10 / 6home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Wed, 11 Dec 2024, 00:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in UEFA Champions League

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsRed Bull SalzburgParis Saint-Germain
CompetitionUEFA Champions LeagueUEFA Champions League 2024/25
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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