PitchMath
UEFA Champions League · 2024

PSV Eindhoven 3–2 Shakhtar Donetsk · UEFA Champions League

3–2Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

PSV Eindhoven won 3–2.

Shots
3512
Shots on target
183
Expected goals
2.771.03
Possession
69%31%

Full time

What the match recorded

PSV Eindhoven beat Shakhtar Donetsk 3–2. Recorded in this match (PSV Eindhoven – Shakhtar Donetsk): shots 35–12, shots on target 18–3, expected goals 2.77–1.03, possession 69%–31%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

PSV Eindhoven show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

PSV Eindhoven's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

19.8 shots/match ▲ShotsPSV Eindhoven · Shakhtar Donetsk9.6 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricPSV EindhovenShakhtar DonetskBaseline
Shots19.8 shots/match9.6 shots/match12.6 shots/match
Shots against13.8 shots/match19.4 shots/match13 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

PSV Eindhoven have a visible home split

weak

PSV Eindhoven's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

26 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season19.8 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots26 shots/match19.8 shots/match12.6 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

PSV Eindhoven have recorded the higher season possession share.

56.6% ●PossessionPSV Eindhoven · Shakhtar Donetsk44.6%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 12.0 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricPSV EindhovenShakhtar DonetskBaseline
Possession56.6%44.6%50%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots35 shots12 shotsPSV Eindhoven 35 shots, Shakhtar Donetsk 12 shots
  • Shots on target18 shots3 shotsPSV Eindhoven 18 shots, Shakhtar Donetsk 3 shots
  • Expected goals2.77 xG1.03 xGPSV Eindhoven 2.77 xG, Shakhtar Donetsk 1.03 xG
  • Possession69%31%PSV Eindhoven 69%, Shakhtar Donetsk 31%
  • Corners12 corners5 cornersPSV Eindhoven 12 corners, Shakhtar Donetsk 5 corners
  • Fouls4 fouls2 foulsPSV Eindhoven 4 fouls, Shakhtar Donetsk 2 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Yukhym Konoplya · Shakhtar Donetsk · 85′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedJohan Bakayoko · PSV Eindhoven · 72′ · 0.02 xG · on targetHirving Lozano · PSV Eindhoven · 90′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedHirving Lozano · PSV Eindhoven · 90′ · 0.02 xG · on targetMauro Júnior · PSV Eindhoven · 21′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedDanylo Sikan · Shakhtar Donetsk · 27′ · 0.03 xG · on targetMykola Matvienko · Shakhtar Donetsk · 43′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedOlivier Boscagli · PSV Eindhoven · 55′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedPedro Henrique · Shakhtar Donetsk · 58′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedRicardo Pepi · PSV Eindhoven · 82′ · 0.03 xG · on targetRick Karsdorp · PSV Eindhoven · 89′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedJohan Bakayoko · PSV Eindhoven · 90′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedRicardo Pepi · PSV Eindhoven · 90′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedHirving Lozano · PSV Eindhoven · 90′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedJohan Bakayoko · PSV Eindhoven · 6′ · 0.04 xG · on targetArtem Bondarenko · Shakhtar Donetsk · 23′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedNoa Lang · PSV Eindhoven · 28′ · 0.04 xG · on targetMalik Tillman · PSV Eindhoven · 48′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedGeorgiy Sudakov · Shakhtar Donetsk · 84′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedJohan Bakayoko · PSV Eindhoven · 86′ · 0.04 xG · on targetMalik Tillman · PSV Eindhoven · 87′ · 0.04 xG · goalGuus Til · PSV Eindhoven · 89′ · 0.04 xG · on targetMalik Tillman · PSV Eindhoven · 90′ · 0.04 xG · goalLuuk de Jong · PSV Eindhoven · 20′ · 0.05 xG · on targetOlivier Boscagli · PSV Eindhoven · 41′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedRicardo Pepi · PSV Eindhoven · 61′ · 0.05 xG · on targetGuus Til · PSV Eindhoven · 80′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedIsmael Saibari · PSV Eindhoven · 81′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedMauro Júnior · PSV Eindhoven · 90′ · 0.05 xG · on targetOleksandr Zubkov · Shakhtar Donetsk · 19′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedIsmael Saibari · PSV Eindhoven · 29′ · 0.06 xG · on targetLuuk de Jong · PSV Eindhoven · 43′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedRicardo Pepi · PSV Eindhoven · 75′ · 0.06 xG · on targetYukhym Konoplya · Shakhtar Donetsk · 59′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedHirving Lozano · PSV Eindhoven · 90′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedIsmael Saibari · PSV Eindhoven · 28′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedOleksandr Zubkov · Shakhtar Donetsk · 37′ · 0.09 xG · goalGuus Til · PSV Eindhoven · 83′ · 0.09 xG · on targetMauro Júnior · PSV Eindhoven · 11′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedDmytro Kryskiv · Shakhtar Donetsk · 16′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedJohan Bakayoko · PSV Eindhoven · 31′ · 0.13 xG · on targetMauro Júnior · PSV Eindhoven · 81′ · 0.15 xG · off target or blockedRyan Flamingo · PSV Eindhoven · 90′ · 0.17 xG · off target or blockedMykola Matvienko · Shakhtar Donetsk · 43′ · 0.18 xG · off target or blockedLuuk de Jong · PSV Eindhoven · 26′ · 0.23 xG · on targetDanylo Sikan · Shakhtar Donetsk · 8′ · 0.27 xG · goalRicardo Pepi · PSV Eindhoven · 90′ · 0.66 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

PSV Eindhoven: 35 shots, 18 on target, 2.72 xG. Shakhtar Donetsk: 12 shots, 3 on target, 0.95 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.530′HT90′Malik Tillman · PSV Eindhoven · 87′Malik Tillman · PSV Eindhoven · 90′Ricardo Pepi · PSV Eindhoven · 90′Danylo Sikan · Shakhtar Donetsk · 8′Oleksandr Zubkov · Shakhtar Donetsk · 37′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: PSV Eindhoven 2.72 xG · Shakhtar Donetsk 0.95 xG.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: PSV Eindhoven favored in 10 of 11 directional metrics · Shakhtar Donetsk in 0 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

PSV Eindhoven5 matchesShakhtar Donetsk5 matches
2 goals/match ▲Goals scored5/50.8 goals/match
1.4 goals/match ▲Goals allowed5/51.6 goals/match
1.73 xG/match ▲Expected goals5/50.97 xG/match
19.8 shots/match ▲Shots5/59.6 shots/match
8.8 shots/match ▲Shots on target5/52.2 shots/match
56.6% ●Possession5/544.6%
5.2 corners/match ●Corners5/54.6 corners/match
10.2 fouls/matchFouls5/58.6 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples5 / 5home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Thu, 28 Nov 2024, 00:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in UEFA Champions League

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsPSV EindhovenShakhtar Donetsk
CompetitionUEFA Champions LeagueUEFA Champions League 2024/25
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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