PitchMath
Ligue 1 · 2024

Paris Saint-Germain 1–1 Nantes · Ligue 1

1–1Historical match

Nantes

DLLLL

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Paris Saint-Germain and Nantes drew 1–1.

Shots
245
Shots on target
102
Expected goals
2.730.65
Possession
84%16%

Full time

What the match recorded

Paris Saint-Germain and Nantes drew 1–1. Recorded in this match (Paris Saint-Germain – Nantes): shots 24–5, shots on target 10–2, expected goals 2.73–0.65, possession 84%–16%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

The teams have contrasting possession records

strong

Paris Saint-Germain have recorded the higher season possession share.

69.8% ●PossessionParis Saint-Germain · Nantes41.7%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 28.2 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricParis Saint-GermainNantesBaseline
Possession69.8%41.7%48.1%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

Paris Saint-Germain show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Paris Saint-Germain's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

19.2 shots/match ▲ShotsParis Saint-Germain · Nantes10.8 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricParis Saint-GermainNantesBaseline
Shots19.2 shots/match10.8 shots/match12.2 shots/match
Shots against8.85 shots/match11.4 shots/match12.8 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Nantes have a visible away split

moderate

Nantes's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

8.71 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season10.8 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots8.71 shots/match10.8 shots/match12.2 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots24 shots5 shotsParis Saint-Germain 24 shots, Nantes 5 shots
  • Shots on target10 shots2 shotsParis Saint-Germain 10 shots, Nantes 2 shots
  • Expected goals2.73 xG0.65 xGParis Saint-Germain 2.73 xG, Nantes 0.65 xG
  • Possession84%16%Paris Saint-Germain 84%, Nantes 16%
  • Corners9 corners3 cornersParis Saint-Germain 9 corners, Nantes 3 corners
  • Fouls3 fouls6 foulsParis Saint-Germain 3 fouls, Nantes 6 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Kang-in Lee · Paris Saint-Germain · 31′ · 0.01 xG · on targetAchraf Hakimi · Paris Saint-Germain · 66′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedMatthis Abline · Nantes · 63′ · 0.02 xG · on targetFabián Ruiz · Paris Saint-Germain · 67′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedKang-in Lee · Paris Saint-Germain · 70′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedOusmane Dembélé · Paris Saint-Germain · 81′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedVitinha · Paris Saint-Germain · 90′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedNuno Mendes · Paris Saint-Germain · 48′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedGonçalo Ramos · Paris Saint-Germain · 5′ · 0.04 xG · on targetKang-in Lee · Paris Saint-Germain · 22′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedAugusto Douglas · Nantes · 46′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedVitinha · Paris Saint-Germain · 52′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedGonçalo Ramos · Paris Saint-Germain · 7′ · 0.05 xG · on targetNuno Mendes · Paris Saint-Germain · 45′ · 0.05 xG · on targetGonçalo Ramos · Paris Saint-Germain · 2′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedJoão Neves · Paris Saint-Germain · 10′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedBradley Barcola · Paris Saint-Germain · 34′ · 0.10 xG · on targetMatthis Abline · Nantes · 50′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedWarren Zaïre-Emery · Paris Saint-Germain · 75′ · 0.10 xG · on targetFabián Ruiz · Paris Saint-Germain · 90′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedJohann Lepenant · Nantes · 50′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedAchraf Hakimi · Paris Saint-Germain · 23′ · 0.13 xG · on targetBradley Barcola · Paris Saint-Germain · 63′ · 0.13 xG · off target or blockedJoão Neves · Paris Saint-Germain · 45′ · 0.17 xG · off target or blockedJoão Neves · Paris Saint-Germain · 56′ · 0.21 xG · on targetVitinha · Paris Saint-Germain · 10′ · 0.29 xG · on targetBradley Barcola · Paris Saint-Germain · 41′ · 0.36 xG · off target or blockedMatthis Abline · Nantes · 38′ · 0.53 xG · goalAchraf Hakimi · Paris Saint-Germain · 2′ · 0.66 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Paris Saint-Germain: 24 shots, 10 on target, 2.80 xG. Nantes: 5 shots, 2 on target, 0.80 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.530′HT90′Achraf Hakimi · Paris Saint-Germain · 2′Matthis Abline · Nantes · 38′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Paris Saint-Germain 2.80 xG · Nantes 0.80 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

4Paris Saint-Germain
0Draws
1Nantes
Nantes — Paris Saint-Germain · Ligue 10–2
Paris Saint-Germain — Nantes · Ligue 12–1
Paris Saint-Germain — Nantes · Ligue 14–2
Nantes — Paris Saint-Germain · Ligue 10–3
Nantes — Paris Saint-Germain · Ligue 13–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Paris Saint-Germain favored in 11 of 11 directional metrics · Nantes in 0

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Paris Saint-Germain13 matchesNantes13 matches
2.85 goals/match ▲Goals scored13/131.15 goals/match
0.85 goals/match ▲Goals allowed13/131.54 goals/match
2.69 xG/match ▲Expected goals13/131.06 xG/match
19.2 shots/match ▲Shots13/1310.8 shots/match
8.69 shots/match ▲Shots on target13/134.15 shots/match
69.8% ●Possession13/1341.7%
7.08 corners/match ●Corners13/134.92 corners/match
8.69 fouls/matchFouls13/1311.8 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples13 / 13home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 1 Dec 2024, 00:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Ligue 1

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsParis Saint-GermainNantes
CompetitionLigue 1Ligue 1 2024/25
Head-to-headParis Saint-Germain — Nantes
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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