Ligue 1 · 2024

Nantes 0–2 Le Havre · Ligue 1

Nantes

LDLLL
0–2Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Le Havre won 0–2.

Shots
187
Shots on target
44
Expected goals
0.870.94
Possession
71%29%

Full time

What the match recorded

Le Havre beat Nantes 2–0. Recorded in this match (Nantes – Le Havre): shots 18–7, shots on target 4–4, expected goals 0.87–0.94, possession 71%–29%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Le Havre's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Le Havre's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.83 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.6 goals/match0.83 goals/match1.46 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Le Havre show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Le Havre's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

11.3 shots/match ▲ShotsNantes · Le Havre9.67 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricNantesLe HavreBaseline
Shots11.3 shots/match9.67 shots/match12.1 shots/match
Shots against10.3 shots/match15.1 shots/match12.8 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Nantes have a visible home split

moderate

Nantes's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

13.2 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season11.3 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots13.2 shots/match11.3 shots/match12.1 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots18 shots7 shotsNantes 18 shots, Le Havre 7 shots
  • Shots on target4 shots4 shotsNantes 4 shots, Le Havre 4 shots
  • Expected goals0.87 xG0.94 xGNantes 0.87 xG, Le Havre 0.94 xG
  • Possession71%29%Nantes 71%, Le Havre 29%
  • Corners10 corners2 cornersNantes 10 corners, Le Havre 2 corners
  • Fouls15 fouls12 foulsNantes 15 fouls, Le Havre 12 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Nantes
1Draws
0Le Havre
Le Havre — Nantes · Ligue 10–1
Nantes — Le Havre · Ligue 10–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Nantes favored in 9 of 11 directional metrics · Le Havre in 1 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Nantes12 matchesLe Havre12 matches
1.17 goals/match ▲Goals scored12/120.83 goals/match
1.58 goals/match ▲Goals allowed12/121.92 goals/match
1.09 xG/matchExpected goals12/121.11 xG/match
11.3 shots/match ▲Shots12/129.67 shots/match
4.33 shots/match ▲Shots on target12/123.17 shots/match
43.8% ●Possession12/1240.9%
5.08 corners/match ●Corners12/123.58 corners/match
12.3 fouls/matchFouls12/1211.5 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples12 / 12home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 24 Nov 2024, 20:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Ligue 1

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