PitchMath
Ligue 1 · 2024

Lille 1–0 Stade Rennais · Ligue 1

Lille

WDWDD
1–0Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Lille won 1–0.

Shots
54
Shots on target
21
Expected goals
0.410.18
Possession
53%47%

Full time

What the match recorded

Lille beat Stade Rennais 1–0. Recorded in this match (Lille – Stade Rennais): shots 5–4, shots on target 2–1, expected goals 0.41–0.18, possession 53%–47%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Stade Rennais's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Stade Rennais's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.4 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.08 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.4 goals/match1.08 goals/match1.46 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Stade Rennais have a visible away split

moderate

Stade Rennais's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

9.33 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season11.8 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots9.33 shots/match11.8 shots/match12.1 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Stade Rennais show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Stade Rennais's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

12.3 shots/match ▲ShotsLille · Stade Rennais11.8 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricLilleStade RennaisBaseline
Shots12.3 shots/match11.8 shots/match12.1 shots/match
Shots against9.75 shots/match11.3 shots/match12.8 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots5 shots4 shotsLille 5 shots, Stade Rennais 4 shots
  • Shots on target2 shots1 shotLille 2 shots, Stade Rennais 1 shot
  • Expected goals0.41 xG0.18 xGLille 0.41 xG, Stade Rennais 0.18 xG
  • Possession53%47%Lille 53%, Stade Rennais 47%
  • Corners3 corners3 cornersLille 3 corners, Stade Rennais 3 corners
  • Fouls19 fouls16 foulsLille 19 fouls, Stade Rennais 16 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Edon Zhegrova · Lille · 38′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedArnaud Kalimuendo · Stade Rennais · 61′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedAlbert Grønbæk · Stade Rennais · 7′ · 0.04 xG · on targetEdon Zhegrova · Lille · 39′ · 0.04 xG · on targetMahamadou Nagida · Stade Rennais · 56′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedMatías Fernández-Pardo · Lille · 79′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedMitchel Bakker · Lille · 25′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedHans Hateboer · Stade Rennais · 37′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedEdon Zhegrova · Lille · 45′ · 0.24 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Lille: 5 shots, 2 on target, 0.43 xG. Stade Rennais: 4 shots, 1 on target, 0.19 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.250.50′HT90′Edon Zhegrova · Lille · 45′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Lille 0.43 xG · Stade Rennais 0.19 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Lille
4Draws
0Stade Rennais
Lille — Stade Rennais · Ligue 12–2
Stade Rennais — Lille · Ligue 12–2
Stade Rennais — Lille · Ligue 11–3
Lille — Stade Rennais · Ligue 11–1
Lille — Stade Rennais · Ligue 12–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Lille favored in 6 of 11 directional metrics · Stade Rennais in 2 · 3 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Lille12 matchesStade Rennais12 matches
1.58 goals/match ▲Goals scored12/121.08 goals/match
0.92 goals/match ▲Goals allowed12/121.58 goals/match
1.61 xG/match ▲Expected goals12/121.1 xG/match
12.3 shots/matchShots12/1211.8 shots/match
4.5 shots/matchShots on target12/124.33 shots/match
56.6% ●Possession12/1250.2%
4.25 corners/matchCorners12/12● 6 corners/match
12.4 fouls/matchFouls12/1213.8 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples12 / 12home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 24 Nov 2024, 18:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Ligue 1

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsLilleStade Rennais
CompetitionLigue 1Ligue 1 2024/25
Head-to-headLille — Stade Rennais
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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