UEFA Champions League · 2024

Bologna 1–2 Lille · UEFA Champions League

1–2Historical match

Lille

LLWWD

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Lille won 1–2.

Shots
1215
Shots on target
68
Expected goals
1.452.16
Possession
57%43%

Full time

What the match recorded

Lille beat Bologna 2–1. Recorded in this match (Bologna – Lille): shots 12–15, shots on target 6–8, expected goals 1.45–2.16, possession 57%–43%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Lille's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Lille's last-five shots average is below their season average.

7.8 shots/match ▲ShotsLast 5 · Season10.6 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Shots7.8 shots/match10.6 shots/match12.6 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Lille show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Lille's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

12 shots/match ▲ShotsBologna · Lille10.6 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricBolognaLilleBaseline
Shots12 shots/match10.6 shots/match12.6 shots/match
Shots against10.8 shots/match12.8 shots/match13 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots12 shots15 shotsBologna 12 shots, Lille 15 shots
  • Shots on target6 shots8 shotsBologna 6 shots, Lille 8 shots
  • Expected goals1.45 xG2.16 xGBologna 1.45 xG, Lille 2.16 xG
  • Possession57%43%Bologna 57%, Lille 43%
  • Corners2 corners3 cornersBologna 2 corners, Lille 3 corners
  • Fouls12 fouls9 foulsBologna 12 fouls, Lille 9 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Lewis Ferguson · Bologna · 90′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedThomas Meunier · Lille · 70′ · 0.02 xG · on targetRiccardo Orsolini · Bologna · 23′ · 0.04 xG · on targetOsame Sahraoui · Lille · 65′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedJonathan David · Lille · 4′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedNgal'ayel Mukau · Lille · 28′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedStefan Posch · Bologna · 52′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedLewis Ferguson · Bologna · 79′ · 0.05 xG · on targetThomas Meunier · Lille · 13′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedMatías Fernández-Pardo · Lille · 48′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedDan Ndoye · Bologna · 52′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedGiovanni Fabbian · Bologna · 39′ · 0.08 xG · on targetRemo Freuler · Bologna · 41′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedAyyoub Bouaddi · Lille · 84′ · 0.11 xG · on targetThijs Dallinga · Bologna · 31′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedAlexsandro Ribeiro · Lille · 13′ · 0.13 xG · off target or blockedThijs Dallinga · Bologna · 57′ · 0.15 xG · off target or blockedThijs Dallinga · Bologna · 58′ · 0.15 xG · on targetMatías Fernández-Pardo · Lille · 73′ · 0.15 xG · on targetGabriel Gudmundsson · Lille · 55′ · 0.16 xG · on targetNgal'ayel Mukau · Lille · 66′ · 0.22 xG · goalNgal'ayel Mukau · Lille · 44′ · 0.25 xG · goalNgal'ayel Mukau · Lille · 44′ · 0.34 xG · on targetLewis Ferguson · Bologna · 58′ · 0.36 xG · on targetJonathan David · Lille · 73′ · 0.38 xG · off target or blockedOsame Sahraoui · Lille · 73′ · 0.40 xG · on targetJhon Lucumí · Bologna · 63′ · 0.57 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Bologna: 12 shots, 6 on target, 1.73 xG. Lille: 15 shots, 8 on target, 2.44 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.252.50′HT90′Jhon Lucumí · Bologna · 63′Ngal'ayel Mukau · Lille · 44′Ngal'ayel Mukau · Lille · 66′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Bologna 1.73 xG · Lille 2.44 xG.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Bologna favored in 4 of 11 directional metrics · Lille in 7

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Bologna5 matchesLille9 matches
0.2 goals/matchGoals scored5/9▲ 1.33 goals/match
1.4 goals/matchGoals allowed5/9▲ 1 goal/match
0.91 xG/matchExpected goals5/5▲ 1.17 xG/match
12 shots/match ▲Shots5/910.6 shots/match
3.6 shots/matchShots on target5/9▲ 4.44 shots/match
49.6% ●Possession5/947.9%
4 corners/match ●Corners5/93.11 corners/match
11.6 fouls/matchFouls5/913.6 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples5 / 9home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Thu, 28 Nov 2024, 00:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in UEFA Champions League

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