PitchMath
Bundesliga · 2024

FC Augsburg 1–0 VfL Bochum 1848 · Bundesliga

1–0Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

FC Augsburg won 1–0.

Shots
167
Shots on target
41
Expected goals
1.880.26
Possession
53%47%

Full time

What the match recorded

FC Augsburg beat VfL Bochum 1848 1–0. Recorded in this match (FC Augsburg – VfL Bochum 1848): shots 16–7, shots on target 4–1, expected goals 1.88–0.26, possession 53%–47%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

FC Augsburg's recent record differs from the season

moderate

FC Augsburg's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.8 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.17 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.8 goals/match1.17 goals/match1.56 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

FC Augsburg have a visible home split

moderate

FC Augsburg's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

16.7 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season12.8 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots16.7 shots/match12.8 shots/match12.8 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots16 shots7 shotsFC Augsburg 16 shots, VfL Bochum 1848 7 shots
  • Shots on target4 shots1 shotFC Augsburg 4 shots, VfL Bochum 1848 1 shot
  • Expected goals1.88 xG0.26 xGFC Augsburg 1.88 xG, VfL Bochum 1848 0.26 xG
  • Possession53%47%FC Augsburg 53%, VfL Bochum 1848 47%
  • Corners6 corners1 cornerFC Augsburg 6 corners, VfL Bochum 1848 1 corner
  • Fouls8 fouls22 foulsFC Augsburg 8 fouls, VfL Bochum 1848 22 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Alexis Claude-Maurice · FC Augsburg · 2′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedLukas Daschner · VfL Bochum 1848 · 18′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedIbrahima Sissoko · VfL Bochum 1848 · 75′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMoritz Broschinski · VfL Bochum 1848 · 7′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedFelix Passlack · VfL Bochum 1848 · 33′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedSteve Mounié · FC Augsburg · 90′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedAlexis Claude-Maurice · FC Augsburg · 13′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedFelix Passlack · VfL Bochum 1848 · 45′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedPhillip Tietz · FC Augsburg · 59′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedKristijan Jakić · FC Augsburg · 60′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedSamuel Essende · FC Augsburg · 64′ · 0.04 xG · on targetSamuel Essende · FC Augsburg · 67′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedMoritz Kwarteng · VfL Bochum 1848 · 70′ · 0.05 xG · on targetAlexis Claude-Maurice · FC Augsburg · 25′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedElvis Rexhbeçaj · FC Augsburg · 29′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedElvis Rexhbeçaj · FC Augsburg · 55′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedSteve Mounié · FC Augsburg · 90′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedKoji Miyoshi · VfL Bochum 1848 · 79′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedJeffrey Gouweleeuw · FC Augsburg · 74′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedSamuel Essende · FC Augsburg · 90′ · 0.13 xG · off target or blockedSteve Mounié · FC Augsburg · 90′ · 0.16 xG · on targetMarius Wolf · FC Augsburg · 35′ · 0.22 xG · on targetPhillip Tietz · FC Augsburg · 38′ · 0.82 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

FC Augsburg: 16 shots, 4 on target, 1.91 xG. VfL Bochum 1848: 7 shots, 1 on target, 0.26 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0120′HT90′Phillip Tietz · FC Augsburg · 38′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: FC Augsburg 1.91 xG · VfL Bochum 1848 0.26 xG.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: FC Augsburg favored in 10 of 11 directional metrics · VfL Bochum 1848 in 0 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

FC Augsburg12 matchesVfL Bochum 184812 matches
1.17 goals/match ▲Goals scored12/120.83 goals/match
1.92 goals/match ▲Goals allowed12/122.75 goals/match
1.15 xG/match ▲Expected goals12/121.09 xG/match
12.8 shots/match ▲Shots12/1211.8 shots/match
3.67 shots/matchShots on target12/123.67 shots/match
42.9% ●Possession12/1240.8%
5.5 corners/match ●Corners12/123.17 corners/match
11.1 fouls/matchFouls12/1214.2 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples12 / 12home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 30 Nov 2024, 18:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Bundesliga

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsFC AugsburgVfL Bochum 1848
CompetitionBundesligaBundesliga 2024/25
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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