Bundesliga · 2024

VfL Bochum 1848 0–1 SV Werder Bremen · Bundesliga

0–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

SV Werder Bremen won 0–1.

Shots
129
Shots on target
21
Expected goals
1.210.82
Possession
52%48%

Full time

What the match recorded

SV Werder Bremen beat VfL Bochum 1848 1–0. Recorded in this match (VfL Bochum 1848 – SV Werder Bremen): shots 12–9, shots on target 2–1, expected goals 1.21–0.82, possession 52%–48%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

SV Werder Bremen's recent record differs from the season

weak

SV Werder Bremen's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

1.2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.54 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.2 goals/match1.54 goals/match1.5 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

SV Werder Bremen have recorded the higher season possession share.

41.6%PossessionVfL Bochum 1848 · SV Werder Bremen● 50%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 8.4 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricVfL Bochum 1848SV Werder BremenBaseline
Possession41.6%50%49.5%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots12 shots9 shotsVfL Bochum 1848 12 shots, SV Werder Bremen 9 shots
  • Shots on target2 shots1 shotVfL Bochum 1848 2 shots, SV Werder Bremen 1 shot
  • Expected goals1.21 xG0.82 xGVfL Bochum 1848 1.21 xG, SV Werder Bremen 0.82 xG
  • Possession52%48%VfL Bochum 1848 52%, SV Werder Bremen 48%
  • Corners9 corners5 cornersVfL Bochum 1848 9 corners, SV Werder Bremen 5 corners
  • Fouls12 fouls10 foulsVfL Bochum 1848 12 fouls, SV Werder Bremen 10 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Derrick Köhn · SV Werder Bremen · 14′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedCristian Gamboa · VfL Bochum 1848 · 90′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedMoritz Kwarteng · VfL Bochum 1848 · 90′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedMaximilian Wittek · VfL Bochum 1848 · 23′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedIbrahima Sissoko · VfL Bochum 1848 · 51′ · 0.02 xG · on targetMoritz Broschinski · VfL Bochum 1848 · 86′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedJustin Njinmah · SV Werder Bremen · 19′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedFelix Passlack · VfL Bochum 1848 · 35′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedMaximilian Wittek · VfL Bochum 1848 · 46′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedDerrick Köhn · SV Werder Bremen · 59′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedMatúš Bero · VfL Bochum 1848 · 34′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedRomano Schmid · SV Werder Bremen · 75′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedBernardo · VfL Bochum 1848 · 38′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedOliver Burke · SV Werder Bremen · 58′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedMarvin Ducksch · SV Werder Bremen · 70′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedJustin Njinmah · SV Werder Bremen · 22′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedMarco Grüll · SV Werder Bremen · 82′ · 0.14 xG · off target or blockedPhilipp Hofmann · VfL Bochum 1848 · 49′ · 0.22 xG · off target or blockedMaximilian Wittek · VfL Bochum 1848 · 50′ · 0.23 xG · off target or blockedJens Stage · SV Werder Bremen · 56′ · 0.32 xG · goalGerrit Holtmann · VfL Bochum 1848 · 26′ · 0.56 xG · on target
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

VfL Bochum 1848: 12 shots, 2 on target, 1.24 xG. SV Werder Bremen: 9 shots, 1 on target, 0.81 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.751.50′HT90′Jens Stage · SV Werder Bremen · 56′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: VfL Bochum 1848 1.24 xG · SV Werder Bremen 0.81 xG.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: VfL Bochum 1848 favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · SV Werder Bremen in 10 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

VfL Bochum 184813 matchesSV Werder Bremen13 matches
0.77 goals/matchGoals scored13/13▲ 1.54 goals/match
2.62 goals/matchGoals allowed13/13▲ 1.85 goals/match
1.09 xG/matchExpected goals13/13▲ 1.34 xG/match
11.8 shots/matchShots13/1312.4 shots/match
3.54 shots/matchShots on target13/13▲ 4.38 shots/match
41.6%Possession13/13● 50%
3.62 corners/matchCorners13/13● 5.15 corners/match
14 fouls/matchFouls13/139.46 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples13 / 13home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 7 Dec 2024, 18:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Bundesliga

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