PitchMath
Bundesliga · 2024

SV Werder Bremen 2–2 VfB Stuttgart · Bundesliga

2–2Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

SV Werder Bremen and VfB Stuttgart drew 2–2.

Shots
2010
Shots on target
64
Expected goals
1.591.75
Possession
43%57%

Full time

What the match recorded

SV Werder Bremen and VfB Stuttgart drew 2–2. Recorded in this match (SV Werder Bremen – VfB Stuttgart): shots 20–10, shots on target 6–4, expected goals 1.59–1.75, possession 43%–57%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

VfB Stuttgart have a visible away split

moderate

VfB Stuttgart's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

9.5 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season14.6 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots9.5 shots/match14.6 shots/match12.8 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

VfB Stuttgart's recent record differs from the season

weak

VfB Stuttgart's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

1.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.92 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.6 goals/match1.92 goals/match1.56 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Both teams have elevated corners records

weak

Each team's season corners average is above the competition baseline.

5.17 corners/matchCornersSV Werder Bremen · VfB Stuttgart● 5.5 corners/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Both team averages are compared with the same competition baseline.

Window: season

MetricSV Werder BremenVfB StuttgartBaseline
Corners5.17 corners/match5.5 corners/match4.67 corners/match

Caveat: A shared historical pattern is descriptive and may not repeat in one fixture.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots20 shots10 shotsSV Werder Bremen 20 shots, VfB Stuttgart 10 shots
  • Shots on target6 shots4 shotsSV Werder Bremen 6 shots, VfB Stuttgart 4 shots
  • Expected goals1.59 xG1.75 xGSV Werder Bremen 1.59 xG, VfB Stuttgart 1.75 xG
  • Possession43%57%SV Werder Bremen 43%, VfB Stuttgart 57%
  • Corners11 corners2 cornersSV Werder Bremen 11 corners, VfB Stuttgart 2 corners
  • Fouls8 fouls13 foulsSV Werder Bremen 8 fouls, VfB Stuttgart 13 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Romano Schmid · SV Werder Bremen · 45′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedAtakan Karazor · VfB Stuttgart · 8′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMaximilian Mittelstädt · VfB Stuttgart · 45′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedLeonardo Bittencourt · SV Werder Bremen · 46′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedNiklas Stark · SV Werder Bremen · 55′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedAtakan Karazor · VfB Stuttgart · 62′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedRomano Schmid · SV Werder Bremen · 73′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedDerrick Köhn · SV Werder Bremen · 74′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedRomano Schmid · SV Werder Bremen · 40′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedJustin Njinmah · SV Werder Bremen · 45′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedNiklas Stark · SV Werder Bremen · 48′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedJustin Njinmah · SV Werder Bremen · 72′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedJustin Diehl · VfB Stuttgart · 90′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedNiklas Stark · SV Werder Bremen · 72′ · 0.05 xG · on targetMarvin Ducksch · SV Werder Bremen · 27′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedNiklas Stark · SV Werder Bremen · 70′ · 0.06 xG · on targetJosha Vagnoman · VfB Stuttgart · 79′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedNiklas Stark · SV Werder Bremen · 89′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedJens Stage · SV Werder Bremen · 77′ · 0.08 xG · goalMitchell Weiser · SV Werder Bremen · 77′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedJens Stage · SV Werder Bremen · 90′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedAngelo Stiller · VfB Stuttgart · 33′ · 0.09 xG · on targetMarvin Ducksch · SV Werder Bremen · 84′ · 0.10 xG · on targetNick Woltemade · VfB Stuttgart · 90′ · 0.10 xG · on targetJustin Njinmah · SV Werder Bremen · 6′ · 0.21 xG · goalMarvin Ducksch · SV Werder Bremen · 88′ · 0.23 xG · on targetJosha Vagnoman · VfB Stuttgart · 50′ · 0.33 xG · off target or blockedMitchell Weiser · SV Werder Bremen · 56′ · 0.34 xG · off target or blockedErmedin Demirović · VfB Stuttgart · 85′ · 0.42 xG · goalErmedin Demirović · VfB Stuttgart · 20′ · 0.59 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

SV Werder Bremen: 20 shots, 6 on target, 1.57 xG. VfB Stuttgart: 10 shots, 4 on target, 1.69 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0120′HT90′Justin Njinmah · SV Werder Bremen · 6′Jens Stage · SV Werder Bremen · 77′Ermedin Demirović · VfB Stuttgart · 20′Ermedin Demirović · VfB Stuttgart · 85′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: SV Werder Bremen 1.57 xG · VfB Stuttgart 1.69 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2SV Werder Bremen
1Draws
1VfB Stuttgart
SV Werder Bremen — VfB Stuttgart · Bundesliga2–1
VfB Stuttgart — SV Werder Bremen · Bundesliga2–0
VfB Stuttgart — SV Werder Bremen · Bundesliga0–2
SV Werder Bremen — VfB Stuttgart · Bundesliga2–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: SV Werder Bremen favored in 2 of 11 directional metrics · VfB Stuttgart in 8 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

SV Werder Bremen12 matchesVfB Stuttgart12 matches
1.58 goals/matchGoals scored12/12▲ 1.92 goals/match
2 goals/matchGoals allowed12/12▲ 1.75 goals/match
1.39 xG/matchExpected goals12/12▲ 1.84 xG/match
12.7 shots/matchShots12/12▲ 14.6 shots/match
4.67 shots/matchShots on target12/12▲ 5.67 shots/match
50.2%Possession12/12● 57.8%
5.17 corners/matchCorners12/12● 5.5 corners/match
9.42 fouls/matchFouls12/129.83 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples12 / 12home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 30 Nov 2024, 18:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Bundesliga

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsSV Werder BremenVfB Stuttgart
CompetitionBundesligaBundesliga 2024/25
Head-to-headSV Werder Bremen — VfB Stuttgart
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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