PitchMath
Bundesliga · 2024

Eintracht Frankfurt 1–0 SV Werder Bremen · Bundesliga

1–0Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Eintracht Frankfurt won 1–0.

Shots
158
Shots on target
51
Expected goals
1.140.36
Possession
50%50%

Full time

What the match recorded

Eintracht Frankfurt beat SV Werder Bremen 1–0. Recorded in this match (Eintracht Frankfurt – SV Werder Bremen): shots 15–8, shots on target 5–1, expected goals 1.14–0.36, possession 50%–50%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

SV Werder Bremen have a visible away split

moderate

SV Werder Bremen's away-only shot average is above their full-season average.

14.3 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season12 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots14.3 shots/match12 shots/match12.5 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

SV Werder Bremen's recent record differs from the season

weak

SV Werder Bremen's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.8 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.55 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.8 goals/match1.55 goals/match1.52 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots15 shots8 shotsEintracht Frankfurt 15 shots, SV Werder Bremen 8 shots
  • Shots on target5 shots1 shotEintracht Frankfurt 5 shots, SV Werder Bremen 1 shot
  • Expected goals1.14 xG0.36 xGEintracht Frankfurt 1.14 xG, SV Werder Bremen 0.36 xG
  • Possession50%50%Eintracht Frankfurt 50%, SV Werder Bremen 50%
  • Corners5 corners6 cornersEintracht Frankfurt 5 corners, SV Werder Bremen 6 corners
  • Fouls15 fouls9 foulsEintracht Frankfurt 15 fouls, SV Werder Bremen 9 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Omar Marmoush · Eintracht Frankfurt · 35′ · 0.01 xG · on targetLeonardo Bittencourt · SV Werder Bremen · 63′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedDerrick Köhn · SV Werder Bremen · 26′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedLeonardo Bittencourt · SV Werder Bremen · 40′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedTuta · Eintracht Frankfurt · 47′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedArthur Theate · Eintracht Frankfurt · 47′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedLeonardo Bittencourt · SV Werder Bremen · 51′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedTuta · Eintracht Frankfurt · 53′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedOmar Marmoush · Eintracht Frankfurt · 5′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedEllyes Skhiri · Eintracht Frankfurt · 65′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedDerrick Köhn · SV Werder Bremen · 10′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedRomano Schmid · SV Werder Bremen · 38′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedOmar Marmoush · Eintracht Frankfurt · 64′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedOmar Marmoush · Eintracht Frankfurt · 66′ · 0.04 xG · on targetArthur Theate · Eintracht Frankfurt · 67′ · 0.04 xG · on targetHugo Ekitiké · Eintracht Frankfurt · 59′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedOmar Marmoush · Eintracht Frankfurt · 12′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedMarco Grüll · SV Werder Bremen · 38′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedHugo Ekitiké · Eintracht Frankfurt · 21′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedMitchell Weiser · SV Werder Bremen · 76′ · 0.14 xG · on targetHugo Ekitiké · Eintracht Frankfurt · 12′ · 0.17 xG · off target or blockedHugo Ekitiké · Eintracht Frankfurt · 13′ · 0.21 xG · on targetMario Götze · Eintracht Frankfurt · 45′ · 0.26 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Eintracht Frankfurt: 15 shots, 5 on target, 1.13 xG. SV Werder Bremen: 8 shots, 1 on target, 0.37 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.751.50′HT90′Mario Götze · Eintracht Frankfurt · 45′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Eintracht Frankfurt 1.13 xG · SV Werder Bremen 0.37 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2Eintracht Frankfurt
2Draws
0SV Werder Bremen
Eintracht Frankfurt — SV Werder Bremen · Bundesliga1–1
SV Werder Bremen — Eintracht Frankfurt · Bundesliga2–2
Eintracht Frankfurt — SV Werder Bremen · Bundesliga2–0
SV Werder Bremen — Eintracht Frankfurt · Bundesliga3–4

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Eintracht Frankfurt favored in 7 of 11 directional metrics · SV Werder Bremen in 4

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Eintracht Frankfurt11 matchesSV Werder Bremen11 matches
2.45 goals/match ▲Goals scored11/111.55 goals/match
1.45 goals/match ▲Goals allowed11/112 goals/match
2.02 xG/match ▲Expected goals11/111.37 xG/match
13.6 shots/match ▲Shots11/1112 shots/match
5.36 shots/match ▲Shots on target11/114.55 shots/match
44.4%Possession11/11● 50.8%
4.55 corners/matchCorners11/11● 4.64 corners/match
10.1 fouls/matchFouls11/119.55 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples11 / 11home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 23 Nov 2024, 21:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Bundesliga

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsEintracht FrankfurtSV Werder Bremen
CompetitionBundesligaBundesliga 2024/25
Head-to-headEintracht Frankfurt — SV Werder Bremen
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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