Bundesliga · 2024

FC St. Pauli 0–2 SV Werder Bremen · Bundesliga

0–2Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

SV Werder Bremen won 0–2.

Shots
158
Shots on target
44
Expected goals
0.631.02
Possession
57%43%

Full time

What the match recorded

SV Werder Bremen beat FC St. Pauli 2–0. Recorded in this match (FC St. Pauli – SV Werder Bremen): shots 15–8, shots on target 4–4, expected goals 0.63–1.02, possession 57%–43%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

SV Werder Bremen show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

SV Werder Bremen's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

11.6 shots/match ▲ShotsFC St. Pauli · SV Werder Bremen12.1 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricFC St. PauliSV Werder BremenBaseline
Shots11.6 shots/match12.1 shots/match12.7 shots/match
Shots against11 shots/match13.9 shots/match13.9 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots15 shots8 shotsFC St. Pauli 15 shots, SV Werder Bremen 8 shots
  • Shots on target4 shots4 shotsFC St. Pauli 4 shots, SV Werder Bremen 4 shots
  • Expected goals0.63 xG1.02 xGFC St. Pauli 0.63 xG, SV Werder Bremen 1.02 xG
  • Possession57%43%FC St. Pauli 57%, SV Werder Bremen 43%
  • Corners4 corners5 cornersFC St. Pauli 4 corners, SV Werder Bremen 5 corners
  • Fouls10 fouls9 foulsFC St. Pauli 10 fouls, SV Werder Bremen 9 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Manolis Saliakas · FC St. Pauli · 38′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedJohannes Eggestein · FC St. Pauli · 18′ · 0.02 xG · on targetOladapo Afolayan · FC St. Pauli · 22′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedDanel Sinani · FC St. Pauli · 49′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedCarlo Boukhalfa · FC St. Pauli · 69′ · 0.02 xG · on targetDanel Sinani · FC St. Pauli · 75′ · 0.02 xG · on targetOladapo Afolayan · FC St. Pauli · 78′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedJackson Irvine · FC St. Pauli · 17′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedJens Stage · SV Werder Bremen · 59′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedDanel Sinani · FC St. Pauli · 61′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedSenne Lynen · SV Werder Bremen · 90′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedJohannes Eggestein · FC St. Pauli · 54′ · 0.04 xG · on targetEric Smith · FC St. Pauli · 75′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedOladapo Afolayan · FC St. Pauli · 45′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedJackson Irvine · FC St. Pauli · 55′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedDerrick Köhn · SV Werder Bremen · 24′ · 0.06 xG · goalRomano Schmid · SV Werder Bremen · 66′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedMarco Grüll · SV Werder Bremen · 41′ · 0.08 xG · on targetMarvin Ducksch · SV Werder Bremen · 47′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedJohannes Eggestein · FC St. Pauli · 37′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedMarvin Ducksch · SV Werder Bremen · 54′ · 0.18 xG · goalCarlo Boukhalfa · FC St. Pauli · 65′ · 0.18 xG · off target or blockedOliver Burke · SV Werder Bremen · 90′ · 0.51 xG · on target
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

FC St. Pauli: 15 shots, 4 on target, 0.64 xG. SV Werder Bremen: 8 shots, 4 on target, 1.03 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.751.50′HT90′Derrick Köhn · SV Werder Bremen · 24′Marvin Ducksch · SV Werder Bremen · 54′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: FC St. Pauli 0.64 xG · SV Werder Bremen 1.03 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0FC St. Pauli
2Draws
0SV Werder Bremen
FC St. Pauli — SV Werder Bremen · 2. Bundesliga1–1
SV Werder Bremen — FC St. Pauli · 2. Bundesliga1–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: FC St. Pauli favored in 3 of 11 directional metrics · SV Werder Bremen in 4 · 4 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

FC St. Pauli14 matchesSV Werder Bremen14 matches
0.79 goals/matchGoals scored14/14▲ 1.57 goals/match
1.36 goals/match ▲Goals allowed14/141.71 goals/match
0.95 xG/matchExpected goals14/14▲ 1.32 xG/match
11.6 shots/matchShots14/1412.1 shots/match
3.21 shots/matchShots on target14/14▲ 4.36 shots/match
44.3%Possession14/14● 49.5%
3.79 corners/matchCorners14/14● 5.14 corners/match
10.1 fouls/matchFouls14/149.43 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples14 / 14home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 14 Dec 2024, 21:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Bundesliga

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