PitchMath
Bundesliga · 2024

SV Werder Bremen 4–1 1. FC Union Berlin · Bundesliga

4–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

SV Werder Bremen won 4–1.

Shots
1016
Shots on target
54
Expected goals
2.391.34
Possession
54%46%

Full time

What the match recorded

SV Werder Bremen beat 1. FC Union Berlin 4–1. Recorded in this match (SV Werder Bremen – 1. FC Union Berlin): shots 10–16, shots on target 5–4, expected goals 2.39–1.34, possession 54%–46%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

SV Werder Bremen show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

SV Werder Bremen's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

11.9 shots/match ▲ShotsSV Werder Bremen · 1. FC Union Berlin11.9 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricSV Werder Bremen1. FC Union BerlinBaseline
Shots11.9 shots/match11.9 shots/match12.7 shots/match
Shots against14 shots/match11 shots/match14.1 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

SV Werder Bremen have recorded the higher season possession share.

49.8% ●PossessionSV Werder Bremen · 1. FC Union Berlin40.4%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 9.4 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricSV Werder Bremen1. FC Union BerlinBaseline
Possession49.8%40.4%49.3%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots10 shots16 shotsSV Werder Bremen 10 shots, 1. FC Union Berlin 16 shots
  • Shots on target5 shots4 shotsSV Werder Bremen 5 shots, 1. FC Union Berlin 4 shots
  • Expected goals2.39 xG1.34 xGSV Werder Bremen 2.39 xG, 1. FC Union Berlin 1.34 xG
  • Possession54%46%SV Werder Bremen 54%, 1. FC Union Berlin 46%
  • Corners4 corners9 cornersSV Werder Bremen 4 corners, 1. FC Union Berlin 9 corners
  • Fouls9 fouls12 foulsSV Werder Bremen 9 fouls, 1. FC Union Berlin 12 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Yorbe Vertessen · 1. FC Union Berlin · 72′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedBenedict Hollerbach · 1. FC Union Berlin · 28′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedYorbe Vertessen · 1. FC Union Berlin · 30′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedTim Skarke · 1. FC Union Berlin · 63′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedDanilho Doekhi · 1. FC Union Berlin · 90′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedLeopold Querfeld · 1. FC Union Berlin · 76′ · 0.03 xG · on targetRani Khedira · 1. FC Union Berlin · 47′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedYorbe Vertessen · 1. FC Union Berlin · 54′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedLucas Tousart · 1. FC Union Berlin · 89′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedYorbe Vertessen · 1. FC Union Berlin · 28′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedRomano Schmid · SV Werder Bremen · 26′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedYorbe Vertessen · 1. FC Union Berlin · 34′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedTim Skarke · 1. FC Union Berlin · 64′ · 0.06 xG · on targetMarvin Ducksch · SV Werder Bremen · 62′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedRomano Schmid · SV Werder Bremen · 87′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedMitchell Weiser · SV Werder Bremen · 45′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedDanilho Doekhi · 1. FC Union Berlin · 9′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedMarco Grüll · SV Werder Bremen · 17′ · 0.12 xG · goalRomano Schmid · SV Werder Bremen · 45′ · 0.16 xG · on targetMarco Grüll · SV Werder Bremen · 13′ · 0.23 xG · goalDanilho Doekhi · 1. FC Union Berlin · 9′ · 0.25 xG · on targetMarvin Ducksch · SV Werder Bremen · 8′ · 0.26 xG · off target or blockedAndrás Schäfer · 1. FC Union Berlin · 23′ · 0.26 xG · goalBenedict Hollerbach · 1. FC Union Berlin · 49′ · 0.27 xG · off target or blockedMitchell Weiser · SV Werder Bremen · 45′ · 0.41 xG · goalJens Stage · SV Werder Bremen · 87′ · 0.97 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

SV Werder Bremen: 10 shots, 5 on target, 2.47 xG. 1. FC Union Berlin: 16 shots, 4 on target, 1.30 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.252.50′HT90′Marco Grüll · SV Werder Bremen · 13′Marco Grüll · SV Werder Bremen · 17′Mitchell Weiser · SV Werder Bremen · 45′Jens Stage · SV Werder Bremen · 87′András Schäfer · 1. FC Union Berlin · 23′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: SV Werder Bremen 2.47 xG · 1. FC Union Berlin 1.30 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1SV Werder Bremen
0Draws
31. FC Union Berlin
1. FC Union Berlin — SV Werder Bremen · Bundesliga2–1
SV Werder Bremen — 1. FC Union Berlin · Bundesliga2–0
1. FC Union Berlin — SV Werder Bremen · Bundesliga1–0
SV Werder Bremen — 1. FC Union Berlin · Bundesliga1–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: SV Werder Bremen favored in 4 of 11 directional metrics · 1. FC Union Berlin in 5 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

SV Werder Bremen15 matches1. FC Union Berlin15 matches
1.73 goals/match ▲Goals scored15/150.87 goals/match
1.67 goals/matchGoals allowed15/15▲ 1.33 goals/match
1.39 xG/match ▲Expected goals15/140.96 xG/match
11.9 shots/matchShots15/1411.9 shots/match
4.4 shots/match ▲Shots on target15/143.57 shots/match
49.8% ●Possession15/1440.4%
5.07 corners/match ●Corners15/144.79 corners/match
9.4 fouls/matchFouls15/1414 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples15 / 15home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 21 Dec 2024, 18:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Bundesliga

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsSV Werder Bremen1. FC Union Berlin
CompetitionBundesligaBundesliga 2024/25
Head-to-headSV Werder Bremen — 1. FC Union Berlin
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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