PitchMath
Bundesliga · 2024

TSG Hoffenheim 1–2 Borussia M'gladbach · Bundesliga

1–2Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Borussia M'gladbach won 1–2.

Shots
185
Shots on target
83
Expected goals
3.440.76
Possession
65%35%

Full time

What the match recorded

Borussia M'gladbach beat TSG Hoffenheim 2–1. Recorded in this match (TSG Hoffenheim – Borussia M'gladbach): shots 18–5, shots on target 8–3, expected goals 3.44–0.76, possession 65%–35%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Borussia M'gladbach's recent record differs from the season

weak

Borussia M'gladbach's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.67 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for2 goals/match1.67 goals/match1.63 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

TSG Hoffenheim have a visible home split

moderate

TSG Hoffenheim's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

15.4 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season12.9 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots15.4 shots/match12.9 shots/match12.7 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots18 shots5 shotsTSG Hoffenheim 18 shots, Borussia M'gladbach 5 shots
  • Shots on target8 shots3 shotsTSG Hoffenheim 8 shots, Borussia M'gladbach 3 shots
  • Expected goals3.44 xG0.76 xGTSG Hoffenheim 3.44 xG, Borussia M'gladbach 0.76 xG
  • Possession65%35%TSG Hoffenheim 65%, Borussia M'gladbach 35%
  • Corners8 corners4 cornersTSG Hoffenheim 8 corners, Borussia M'gladbach 4 corners
  • Fouls14 fouls6 foulsTSG Hoffenheim 14 fouls, Borussia M'gladbach 6 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Haris Tabaković · TSG Hoffenheim · 86′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedDiadié Samassékou · TSG Hoffenheim · 52′ · 0.03 xG · on targetTom Bischof · TSG Hoffenheim · 29′ · 0.04 xG · on targetTom Bischof · TSG Hoffenheim · 39′ · 0.04 xG · on targetAnton Stach · TSG Hoffenheim · 40′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedAndrej Kramarić · TSG Hoffenheim · 52′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedTim Kleindienst · Borussia M'gladbach · 2′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedValentin Gendrey · TSG Hoffenheim · 69′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedHaris Tabaković · TSG Hoffenheim · 87′ · 0.09 xG · on targetPhilipp Sander · Borussia M'gladbach · 23′ · 0.10 xG · goalAdam Hložek · TSG Hoffenheim · 45′ · 0.10 xG · on targetJacob Bruun Larsen · TSG Hoffenheim · 11′ · 0.13 xG · off target or blockedAlassane Pléa · Borussia M'gladbach · 39′ · 0.13 xG · off target or blockedAdam Hložek · TSG Hoffenheim · 29′ · 0.14 xG · off target or blockedRobin Hack · Borussia M'gladbach · 1′ · 0.18 xG · on targetValentin Gendrey · TSG Hoffenheim · 41′ · 0.18 xG · off target or blockedAdam Hložek · TSG Hoffenheim · 6′ · 0.19 xG · off target or blockedHaris Tabaković · TSG Hoffenheim · 90′ · 0.26 xG · on targetAndrej Kramarić · TSG Hoffenheim · 88′ · 0.30 xG · on targetAlassane Pléa · Borussia M'gladbach · 61′ · 0.31 xG · goalJacob Bruun Larsen · TSG Hoffenheim · 49′ · 0.43 xG · off target or blockedAdam Hložek · TSG Hoffenheim · 77′ · 0.72 xG · off target or blockedAndrej Kramarić · TSG Hoffenheim · 58′ · 0.82 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

TSG Hoffenheim: 18 shots, 8 on target, 3.66 xG. Borussia M'gladbach: 5 shots, 3 on target, 0.79 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0240′HT90′Andrej Kramarić · TSG Hoffenheim · 58′Philipp Sander · Borussia M'gladbach · 23′Alassane Pléa · Borussia M'gladbach · 61′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: TSG Hoffenheim 3.66 xG · Borussia M'gladbach 0.79 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1TSG Hoffenheim
0Draws
4Borussia M'gladbach
TSG Hoffenheim — Borussia M'gladbach · Bundesliga4–3
Borussia M'gladbach — TSG Hoffenheim · Bundesliga2–1
TSG Hoffenheim — Borussia M'gladbach · Bundesliga1–4
Borussia M'gladbach — TSG Hoffenheim · Bundesliga3–1
Borussia M'gladbach — TSG Hoffenheim · Bundesliga5–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: TSG Hoffenheim favored in 1 of 11 directional metrics · Borussia M'gladbach in 9 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

TSG Hoffenheim15 matchesBorussia M'gladbach15 matches
1.33 goals/matchGoals scored15/15▲ 1.67 goals/match
1.87 goals/matchGoals allowed15/15▲ 1.33 goals/match
1.37 xG/matchExpected goals15/15▲ 1.67 xG/match
12.9 shots/matchShots15/15▲ 13.9 shots/match
4.73 shots/matchShots on target15/15▲ 5.33 shots/match
50.5%Possession15/15● 51.5%
5.2 corners/match ●Corners15/154.8 corners/match
11.1 fouls/matchFouls15/1511.7 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples15 / 15home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 21 Dec 2024, 18:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Bundesliga

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsTSG HoffenheimBorussia M'gladbach
CompetitionBundesligaBundesliga 2024/25
Head-to-headTSG Hoffenheim — Borussia M'gladbach
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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