Bundesliga · 2024Sat, 21 Dec 2024, 14:30 UTCFull timeFull-time recap

Eintracht Frankfurt

WWWDL

1–3Full-time recap

1. FSV Mainz 05

WWWLW

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	Eintracht Frankfurt	1. FSV Mainz 05
Shots	34 shots/match▲	9 shots/match
Shots on target	9 shots/match▲	3 shots/match
Expected goals	2.58 xG/match▲	0.6 xG/match
Possession	71%●	29%
Corners	17 corners/match●	2 corners/match
Fouls	10 fouls/match	10 fouls/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: 1. FSV Mainz 05's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. A second useful context is: 1. FSV Mainz 05's away-only shot average is below their full-season average. Limitation: The fixture is outside the configured active season.

1. FSV Mainz 05's recent record differs from the season

moderate

1. FSV Mainz 05's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2.6 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.87 goals/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

Metric	Last 5	Season	Baseline
Goals for	2.6 goals/match	1.87 goals/match	1.63 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

1. FSV Mainz 05 have a visible away split

moderate

1. FSV Mainz 05's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

10.3 shots/match▲ShotsAway only · Season12.5 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

Metric	Away only	Season	Baseline
Shots	10.3 shots/match	12.5 shots/match	12.7 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Eintracht Frankfurt show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Eintracht Frankfurt's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

15.3 shots/match▲ShotsEintracht Frankfurt · 1. FSV Mainz 0512.5 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

Metric	Eintracht Frankfurt	1. FSV Mainz 05	Baseline
Shots	15.3 shots/match	12.5 shots/match	12.7 shots/match
Shots against	15.5 shots/match	15 shots/match	14.1 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

2Eintracht Frankfurt

3Draws

01. FSV Mainz 05

26 Jan 2024Eintracht Frankfurt — 1. FSV Mainz 05 · Bundesliga1–0

27 Aug 20231. FSV Mainz 05 — Eintracht Frankfurt · Bundesliga1–1

13 May 2023Eintracht Frankfurt — 1. FSV Mainz 05 · Bundesliga3–0

13 Nov 20221. FSV Mainz 05 — Eintracht Frankfurt · Bundesliga1–1

14 May 20221. FSV Mainz 05 — Eintracht Frankfurt · Bundesliga2–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages · sample sizes shown with each metric. Context, not a forecast.

Where the edge is

Eintracht Frankfurt favored in 6 of 13 directional metrics · 1. FSV Mainz 05 in 4 · 3 too close

2.33 goals/match▲Goals scoredseason · 15/151.87 goals/match

1.53 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 15/15▲1.33 goals/match

2.01 xG/match▲Expected goalsseason · 15/151.41 xG/match

1.55 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 15/15▲1.43 xG/match

15.3 shots/match▲Shotsseason · 15/1512.5 shots/match

15.5 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 15/1515 shots/match

5.53 shots/match▲Shots on targetseason · 15/154.67 shots/match

5.73 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 15/15▲4.8 shots/match

49.1%●Possessionseason · 15/1547.1%

5.53 corners/match●Cornersseason · 15/154.87 corners/match

5.2 corners/match▲Corners allowedseason · 15/155.87 corners/match

—Cardsseason · 0/0—

10.5 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 15/1513 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

20%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 15/15▲27%

93%▲Scoring frequencyseason · 15/1580%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Eintracht Frankfurt47.2

1. FSV Mainz 0541.7

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Eintracht Frankfurt84.3

1. FSV Mainz 0555.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Eintracht Frankfurt28.7

1. FSV Mainz 0553.7

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Eintracht Frankfurt97.2

1. FSV Mainz 0536.1

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Eintracht Frankfurt41.7

1. FSV Mainz 0586.1

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Eintracht Frankfurt86.1

1. FSV Mainz 0552.8

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Eintracht Frankfurt73.6

1. FSV Mainz 0559

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Season

Eintracht Frankfurt15 matches1. FSV Mainz 0515 matches

2.33 goals/match▲Goals scored15/151.87 goals/match

1.53 goals/matchGoals allowed15/15▲1.33 goals/match

2.01 xG/match▲Expected goals15/151.41 xG/match

15.3 shots/match▲Shots15/1512.5 shots/match

5.53 shots/match▲Shots on target15/154.67 shots/match

49.1%●Possession15/1547.1%

5.53 corners/match●Corners15/154.87 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

10.5 fouls/matchFouls15/1513 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

Eintracht Frankfurt7 matches1. FSV Mainz 057 matches

2.71 goals/match▲Goals scored7/72.57 goals/match

1.57 goals/matchGoals allowed7/7▲1.43 goals/match

2.19 xG/match▲Expected goals7/71.5 xG/match

17.9 shots/match▲Shots7/710.3 shots/match

6 shots/match▲Shots on target7/74.43 shots/match

52.3%●Possession7/743.4%

5.71 corners/match●Corners7/73.14 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

11.1 fouls/matchFouls7/712 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

5.83 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/17 days

2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidencelimited

Season samples15 / 15home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

The fixture is outside the configured active season.
Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.

Analysis cutoff: Sat, 21 Dec 2024, 18:30 UTC · analysis-v4