PitchMath
Bundesliga · 2024

Eintracht Frankfurt 1–3 1. FSV Mainz 05 · Bundesliga

1–3Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

1. FSV Mainz 05 won 1–3.

Shots
349
Shots on target
93
Expected goals
2.580.6
Possession
71%29%

Full time

What the match recorded

1. FSV Mainz 05 beat Eintracht Frankfurt 3–1. Recorded in this match (Eintracht Frankfurt – 1. FSV Mainz 05): shots 34–9, shots on target 9–3, expected goals 2.58–0.6, possession 71%–29%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

1. FSV Mainz 05's recent record differs from the season

moderate

1. FSV Mainz 05's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.87 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for2.6 goals/match1.87 goals/match1.63 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

1. FSV Mainz 05 have a visible away split

moderate

1. FSV Mainz 05's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

10.3 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season12.5 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots10.3 shots/match12.5 shots/match12.7 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Eintracht Frankfurt show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Eintracht Frankfurt's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

15.3 shots/match ▲ShotsEintracht Frankfurt · 1. FSV Mainz 0512.5 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricEintracht Frankfurt1. FSV Mainz 05Baseline
Shots15.3 shots/match12.5 shots/match12.7 shots/match
Shots against15.5 shots/match15 shots/match14.1 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots34 shots9 shotsEintracht Frankfurt 34 shots, 1. FSV Mainz 05 9 shots
  • Shots on target9 shots3 shotsEintracht Frankfurt 9 shots, 1. FSV Mainz 05 3 shots
  • Expected goals2.58 xG0.6 xGEintracht Frankfurt 2.58 xG, 1. FSV Mainz 05 0.6 xG
  • Possession71%29%Eintracht Frankfurt 71%, 1. FSV Mainz 05 29%
  • Corners17 corners2 cornersEintracht Frankfurt 17 corners, 1. FSV Mainz 05 2 corners
  • Fouls10 fouls10 foulsEintracht Frankfurt 10 fouls, 1. FSV Mainz 05 10 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2Eintracht Frankfurt
3Draws
01. FSV Mainz 05
Eintracht Frankfurt — 1. FSV Mainz 05 · Bundesliga1–0
1. FSV Mainz 05 — Eintracht Frankfurt · Bundesliga1–1
Eintracht Frankfurt — 1. FSV Mainz 05 · Bundesliga3–0
1. FSV Mainz 05 — Eintracht Frankfurt · Bundesliga1–1
1. FSV Mainz 05 — Eintracht Frankfurt · Bundesliga2–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Eintracht Frankfurt favored in 6 of 11 directional metrics · 1. FSV Mainz 05 in 4 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Eintracht Frankfurt15 matches1. FSV Mainz 0515 matches
2.33 goals/match ▲Goals scored15/151.87 goals/match
1.53 goals/matchGoals allowed15/15▲ 1.33 goals/match
2.01 xG/match ▲Expected goals15/151.41 xG/match
15.3 shots/match ▲Shots15/1512.5 shots/match
5.53 shots/match ▲Shots on target15/154.67 shots/match
49.1% ●Possession15/1547.1%
5.53 corners/match ●Corners15/154.87 corners/match
10.5 fouls/matchFouls15/1513 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples15 / 15home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 21 Dec 2024, 18:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Bundesliga

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsEintracht Frankfurt1. FSV Mainz 05
CompetitionBundesligaBundesliga 2024/25
Head-to-headEintracht Frankfurt — 1. FSV Mainz 05
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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