PitchMath
Bundesliga · 2024

1. FC Heidenheim 0–2 FC St. Pauli · Bundesliga

0–2Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

FC St. Pauli won 0–2.

Shots
65
Shots on target
13
Expected goals
0.621.41
Possession
59%41%

Full time

What the match recorded

FC St. Pauli beat 1. FC Heidenheim 2–0. Recorded in this match (1. FC Heidenheim – FC St. Pauli): shots 6–5, shots on target 1–3, expected goals 0.62–1.41, possession 59%–41%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

moderate

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for 1. FC Heidenheim, FC St. Pauli.

2.79 days ▲Rest days1. FC Heidenheim · FC St. Pauli2.88 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

Metric1. FC HeidenheimFC St. PauliBaseline
Rest days2.79 days2.88 days—
Matches last 14 days2 matches2 matches—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

FC St. Pauli's recent record differs from the season

weak

FC St. Pauli's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.78 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.6 goals/match0.78 goals/match1.63 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots6 shots5 shots1. FC Heidenheim 6 shots, FC St. Pauli 5 shots
  • Shots on target1 shot3 shots1. FC Heidenheim 1 shot, FC St. Pauli 3 shots
  • Expected goals0.62 xG1.41 xG1. FC Heidenheim 0.62 xG, FC St. Pauli 1.41 xG
  • Possession59%41%1. FC Heidenheim 59%, FC St. Pauli 41%
  • Corners3 corners4 corners1. FC Heidenheim 3 corners, FC St. Pauli 4 corners
  • Fouls9 fouls17 fouls1. FC Heidenheim 9 fouls, FC St. Pauli 17 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Johannes Eggestein · FC St. Pauli · 16′ · 0.01 xG · on targetManolis Saliakas · FC St. Pauli · 90′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedNorman Theuerkauf · 1. FC Heidenheim · 73′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedMarvin Pieringer · 1. FC Heidenheim · 52′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedPaul Wanner · 1. FC Heidenheim · 90′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedMaximilian Breunig · 1. FC Heidenheim · 90′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedPhilipp Treu · FC St. Pauli · 34′ · 0.07 xG · on targetMarvin Pieringer · 1. FC Heidenheim · 7′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedBenedikt Gimber · 1. FC Heidenheim · 45′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedFrans Krätzig · 1. FC Heidenheim · 76′ · 0.09 xG · on targetJohannes Eggestein · FC St. Pauli · 79′ · 0.15 xG · off target or blockedBudu Zivzivadze · 1. FC Heidenheim · 22′ · 0.22 xG · off target or blockedManolis Saliakas · FC St. Pauli · 10′ · 0.23 xG · off target or blockedMorgan Guilavogui · FC St. Pauli · 90′ · 0.66 xG · goalJohannes Eggestein · FC St. Pauli · 25′ · 0.82 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

1. FC Heidenheim: 8 shots, 1 on target, 0.65 xG. FC St. Pauli: 7 shots, 4 on target, 1.95 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0120′HT90′Johannes Eggestein · FC St. Pauli · 25′Morgan Guilavogui · FC St. Pauli · 90′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: 1. FC Heidenheim 0.65 xG · FC St. Pauli 1.95 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

11. FC Heidenheim
1Draws
3FC St. Pauli
FC St. Pauli — 1. FC Heidenheim · Bundesliga0–2
1. FC Heidenheim — FC St. Pauli · 2. Bundesliga0–1
FC St. Pauli — 1. FC Heidenheim · 2. Bundesliga0–0
FC St. Pauli — 1. FC Heidenheim · 2. Bundesliga1–0
1. FC Heidenheim — FC St. Pauli · 2. Bundesliga2–4

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: 1. FC Heidenheim favored in 4 of 11 directional metrics · FC St. Pauli in 5 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

1. FC Heidenheim18 matchesFC St. Pauli18 matches
1.28 goals/match ▲Goals scored18/180.78 goals/match
2.11 goals/matchGoals allowed18/18▲ 1.17 goals/match
1.34 xG/match ▲Expected goals18/181.1 xG/match
11.6 shots/matchShots18/1811.6 shots/match
3.83 shots/match ▲Shots on target18/183.22 shots/match
43.6% ●Possession18/1843.3%
3.78 corners/matchCorners18/183.78 corners/match
11.9 fouls/matchFouls18/1810.7 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples18 / 18home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 18 Jan 2025, 18:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Bundesliga

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
Teams1. FC HeidenheimFC St. Pauli
CompetitionBundesligaBundesliga 2024/25
Head-to-head1. FC Heidenheim — FC St. Pauli
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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