PitchMath
Bundesliga · 2024

RB Leipzig 2–2 Bayer 04 Leverkusen · Bundesliga

2–2Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

RB Leipzig and Bayer 04 Leverkusen drew 2–2.

Shots
713
Shots on target
37
Expected goals
0.72.51
Possession
66%34%

Full time

What the match recorded

RB Leipzig and Bayer 04 Leverkusen drew 2–2. Recorded in this match (RB Leipzig – Bayer 04 Leverkusen): shots 7–13, shots on target 3–7, expected goals 0.7–2.51, possession 66%–34%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

RB Leipzig's recent record differs from the season

weak

RB Leipzig's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2.2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.79 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for2.2 goals/match1.79 goals/match1.66 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

RB Leipzig have a visible home split

moderate

RB Leipzig's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

13.6 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season11.2 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots13.6 shots/match11.2 shots/match12.3 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Bayer 04 Leverkusen show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Bayer 04 Leverkusen's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

11.2 shots/match ▲ShotsRB Leipzig · Bayer 04 Leverkusen16.1 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricRB LeipzigBayer 04 LeverkusenBaseline
Shots11.2 shots/match16.1 shots/match12.3 shots/match
Shots against15 shots/match9.89 shots/match13.7 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots7 shots13 shotsRB Leipzig 7 shots, Bayer 04 Leverkusen 13 shots
  • Shots on target3 shots7 shotsRB Leipzig 3 shots, Bayer 04 Leverkusen 7 shots
  • Expected goals0.7 xG2.51 xGRB Leipzig 0.7 xG, Bayer 04 Leverkusen 2.51 xG
  • Possession66%34%RB Leipzig 66%, Bayer 04 Leverkusen 34%
  • Corners7 corners3 cornersRB Leipzig 7 corners, Bayer 04 Leverkusen 3 corners
  • Fouls12 fouls6 foulsRB Leipzig 12 fouls, Bayer 04 Leverkusen 6 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2RB Leipzig
0Draws
3Bayer 04 Leverkusen
Bayer 04 Leverkusen — RB Leipzig · Bundesliga2–3
RB Leipzig — Bayer 04 Leverkusen · Bundesliga2–3
Bayer 04 Leverkusen — RB Leipzig · Bundesliga3–2
Bayer 04 Leverkusen — RB Leipzig · Bundesliga2–0
RB Leipzig — Bayer 04 Leverkusen · Bundesliga2–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: RB Leipzig favored in 1 of 11 directional metrics · Bayer 04 Leverkusen in 10

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

RB Leipzig19 matchesBayer 04 Leverkusen19 matches
1.79 goals/matchGoals scored19/19▲ 2.42 goals/match
1.53 goals/matchGoals allowed19/19▲ 1.37 goals/match
1.35 xG/matchExpected goals19/19▲ 1.95 xG/match
11.2 shots/matchShots19/19▲ 16.1 shots/match
4.58 shots/matchShots on target19/19▲ 6.42 shots/match
51.3%Possession19/19● 59%
3.89 corners/matchCorners19/19● 6.74 corners/match
11.1 fouls/matchFouls19/198.42 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples19 / 19home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 25 Jan 2025, 18:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Bundesliga

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsRB LeipzigBayer 04 Leverkusen
CompetitionBundesligaBundesliga 2024/25
Head-to-headRB Leipzig — Bayer 04 Leverkusen
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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