PitchMath
UEFA Champions League · 2024

Atlético Madrid 2–1 Bayer 04 Leverkusen · UEFA Champions League

2–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Atlético Madrid won 2–1.

Shots
513
Shots on target
24
Expected goals
0.770.84
Possession
30%70%

Full time

What the match recorded

Atlético Madrid beat Bayer 04 Leverkusen 2–1. Recorded in this match (Atlético Madrid – Bayer 04 Leverkusen): shots 5–13, shots on target 2–4, expected goals 0.77–0.84, possession 30%–70%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Bayer 04 Leverkusen have a visible away split

weak

Bayer 04 Leverkusen's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

11 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season15.1 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots11 shots/match15.1 shots/match12.6 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Atlético Madrid's recent record differs from the season

weak

Atlético Madrid's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2.8 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season2.29 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for2.8 goals/match2.29 goals/match1.69 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Bayer 04 Leverkusen have recorded the higher season possession share.

48.4%PossessionAtlético Madrid · Bayer 04 Leverkusen● 57.7%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 9.3 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricAtlético MadridBayer 04 LeverkusenBaseline
Possession48.4%57.7%50.3%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots5 shots13 shotsAtlético Madrid 5 shots, Bayer 04 Leverkusen 13 shots
  • Shots on target2 shots4 shotsAtlético Madrid 2 shots, Bayer 04 Leverkusen 4 shots
  • Expected goals0.77 xG0.84 xGAtlético Madrid 0.77 xG, Bayer 04 Leverkusen 0.84 xG
  • Possession30%70%Atlético Madrid 30%, Bayer 04 Leverkusen 70%
  • Corners3 corners4 cornersAtlético Madrid 3 corners, Bayer 04 Leverkusen 4 corners
  • Fouls7 fouls14 foulsAtlético Madrid 7 fouls, Bayer 04 Leverkusen 14 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Alejandro Grimaldo · Bayer 04 Leverkusen · 69′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedJulián Alvarez · Atlético Madrid · 8′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedEdmond Tapsoba · Bayer 04 Leverkusen · 39′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedExequiel Palacios · Bayer 04 Leverkusen · 5′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedGranit Xhaka · Bayer 04 Leverkusen · 37′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedAntoine Griezmann · Atlético Madrid · 84′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedNathan Tella · Bayer 04 Leverkusen · 22′ · 0.04 xG · on targetJavi Galán · Atlético Madrid · 38′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedPiero Hincapié · Bayer 04 Leverkusen · 61′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedGranit Xhaka · Bayer 04 Leverkusen · 30′ · 0.05 xG · on targetJeremie Frimpong · Bayer 04 Leverkusen · 52′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedFlorian Wirtz · Bayer 04 Leverkusen · 20′ · 0.08 xG · on targetFlorian Wirtz · Bayer 04 Leverkusen · 45′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedNathan Tella · Bayer 04 Leverkusen · 30′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedPiero Hincapié · Bayer 04 Leverkusen · 45′ · 0.12 xG · goalPiero Hincapié · Bayer 04 Leverkusen · 17′ · 0.13 xG · off target or blockedJulián Alvarez · Atlético Madrid · 52′ · 0.22 xG · goalJulián Alvarez · Atlético Madrid · 90′ · 0.47 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Atlético Madrid: 5 shots, 2 on target, 0.78 xG. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: 13 shots, 4 on target, 0.82 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.510′HT90′Julián Alvarez · Atlético Madrid · 52′Julián Alvarez · Atlético Madrid · 90′Piero Hincapié · Bayer 04 Leverkusen · 45′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Atlético Madrid 0.78 xG · Bayer 04 Leverkusen 0.82 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Atlético Madrid
1Draws
1Bayer 04 Leverkusen
Atlético Madrid — Bayer 04 Leverkusen · UEFA Champions League2–2
Bayer 04 Leverkusen — Atlético Madrid · UEFA Champions League2–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Atlético Madrid favored in 1 of 11 directional metrics · Bayer 04 Leverkusen in 8 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Atlético Madrid7 matchesBayer 04 Leverkusen7 matches
2.29 goals/match ▲Goals scored7/71.86 goals/match
1.57 goals/matchGoals allowed7/7▲ 1 goal/match
1.55 xG/matchExpected goals7/7▲ 1.7 xG/match
12.6 shots/matchShots7/7▲ 15.1 shots/match
4.43 shots/matchShots on target7/7▲ 6.14 shots/match
48.4%Possession7/7● 57.7%
4.86 corners/match ●Corners7/74.14 corners/match
9.71 fouls/matchFouls7/711.4 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples7 / 7home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Wed, 22 Jan 2025, 00:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in UEFA Champions League

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsAtlético MadridBayer 04 Leverkusen
CompetitionUEFA Champions LeagueUEFA Champions League 2024/25
Head-to-headAtlético Madrid — Bayer 04 Leverkusen
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

Make a graphic from this match

Creator Studio builds a branded post from this match's recorded data, with its evidence grade and source cutoff carried into the export.

Turn this match into a graphicReady-made from PitchMath data · No sign-up required