La Liga · 2024Sat, 18 Jan 2025, 15:15 UTCFull timeFull-time recap

Leganés

DLWLD

1–0Full-time recap

Atlético Madrid

WWWWW

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	Leganés	Atlético Madrid
Shots	9 shots/match	12 shots/match▲
Shots on target	3 shots/match	3 shots/match
Expected goals	0.41 xG/match	1.03 xG/match▲
Possession	36%	64%●
Corners	2 corners/match	5 corners/match●
Fouls	14 fouls/match	6 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

off target
on target
goal
penalty
size = xG

Leganés: 9 shots, 3 on target, 0.50 xG. Atlético Madrid: 19 shots, 4 on target, 2.46 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Leganés 0.50 xG · Atlético Madrid 2.46 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Atlético Madrid's away-only shot average is below their full-season average. A second useful context is: Leganés's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines. Limitation: The fixture is outside the configured active season.

Atlético Madrid have a visible away split

moderate

Atlético Madrid's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

8.9 shots/match▲ShotsAway only · Season11.8 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

Metric	Away only	Season	Baseline
Shots	8.9 shots/match	11.8 shots/match	11.3 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Leganés show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Leganés's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

8.15 shots/match▲ShotsLeganés · Atlético Madrid11.8 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

Metric	Leganés	Atlético Madrid	Baseline
Shots	8.15 shots/match	11.8 shots/match	11.3 shots/match
Shots against	14.6 shots/match	9.9 shots/match	11.1 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Atlético Madrid have recorded the higher season possession share.

41.8%PossessionLeganés · Atlético Madrid●52.3%

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 10.5 percentage points.

Window: season

Metric	Leganés	Atlético Madrid	Baseline
Possession	41.8%	52.3%	48.6%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

0Leganés

0Draws

1Atlético Madrid

20 Oct 2024Atlético Madrid — Leganés · La Liga3–1

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages · sample sizes shown with each metric. Context, not a forecast.

Where the edge is

Leganés favored in 0 of 13 directional metrics · Atlético Madrid in 11 · 2 too close

0.95 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 20/20▲1.7 goals/match

1.45 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 20/20▲0.65 goals/match

0.76 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 20/20▲1.68 xG/match

1.58 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 20/20▲0.8 xG/match

8.15 shots/matchShotsseason · 20/20▲11.8 shots/match

14.6 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 20/20▲9.9 shots/match

2.8 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 20/20▲4.65 shots/match

5 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 20/20▲2.9 shots/match

41.8%Possessionseason · 20/20●52.3%

2.8 corners/matchCornersseason · 20/20●4.95 corners/match

5.95 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 20/20▲3.45 corners/match

—Cardsseason · 0/0—

13.7 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 20/2010.7 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

30%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 20/20▲50%

65%Scoring frequencyseason · 20/20▲85%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Leganés7.5

Atlético Madrid62.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Leganés13.3

Atlético Madrid74.2

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Leganés25

Atlético Madrid89.2

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Leganés17.5

Atlético Madrid37.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Leganés72.5

Atlético Madrid12.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Leganés2.5

Atlético Madrid62.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Leganés22.5

Atlético Madrid53.8

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Season

Leganés20 matchesAtlético Madrid20 matches

0.95 goals/matchGoals scored20/20▲1.7 goals/match

1.45 goals/matchGoals allowed20/20▲0.65 goals/match

0.76 xG/matchExpected goals20/20▲1.68 xG/match

8.15 shots/matchShots20/20▲11.8 shots/match

2.8 shots/matchShots on target20/20▲4.65 shots/match

41.8%Possession20/20●52.3%

2.8 corners/matchCorners20/20●4.95 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

13.7 fouls/matchFouls20/2010.7 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

Leganés10 matchesAtlético Madrid10 matches

0.9 goals/matchGoals scored10/10▲1.4 goals/match

1.5 goals/matchGoals allowed10/10▲0.7 goals/match

0.86 xG/matchExpected goals10/10▲1.14 xG/match

8.5 shots/matchShots10/108.9 shots/match

2.6 shots/matchShots on target10/10▲3.5 shots/match

44.3%Possession10/10●48.3%

2.3 corners/matchCorners10/10●3.8 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

13.1 fouls/matchFouls10/109.8 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

6.91 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/16 days

1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidencelimited

Season samples20 / 20home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

The fixture is outside the configured active season.
Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.

Analysis cutoff: Sat, 18 Jan 2025, 19:15 UTC · analysis-v4