PitchMath
La Liga · 2024

Leganés 1–0 Atlético Madrid · La Liga

1–0Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Leganés won 1–0.

Shots
912
Shots on target
33
Expected goals
0.411.03
Possession
36%64%

Full time

What the match recorded

Leganés beat Atlético Madrid 1–0. Recorded in this match (Leganés – Atlético Madrid): shots 9–12, shots on target 3–3, expected goals 0.41–1.03, possession 36%–64%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Atlético Madrid have a visible away split

moderate

Atlético Madrid's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

8.9 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season11.8 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots8.9 shots/match11.8 shots/match11.3 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Leganés show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Leganés's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

8.15 shots/match ▲ShotsLeganés · Atlético Madrid11.8 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricLeganésAtlético MadridBaseline
Shots8.15 shots/match11.8 shots/match11.3 shots/match
Shots against14.6 shots/match9.9 shots/match11.1 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Atlético Madrid have recorded the higher season possession share.

41.8%PossessionLeganés · Atlético Madrid● 52.3%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 10.5 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricLeganésAtlético MadridBaseline
Possession41.8%52.3%48.6%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots9 shots12 shotsLeganés 9 shots, Atlético Madrid 12 shots
  • Shots on target3 shots3 shotsLeganés 3 shots, Atlético Madrid 3 shots
  • Expected goals0.41 xG1.03 xGLeganés 0.41 xG, Atlético Madrid 1.03 xG
  • Possession36%64%Leganés 36%, Atlético Madrid 64%
  • Corners2 corners5 cornersLeganés 2 corners, Atlético Madrid 5 corners
  • Fouls14 fouls6 foulsLeganés 14 fouls, Atlético Madrid 6 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Rodrigo De Paul · Atlético Madrid · 3′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedYvan Neyou · Leganés · 73′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedMiguel de la Fuente · Leganés · 19′ · 0.02 xG · on targetJuan Cruz · Leganés · 32′ · 0.02 xG · on targetConor Gallagher · Atlético Madrid · 34′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedClément Lenglet · Atlético Madrid · 80′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedPablo Barrios · Atlético Madrid · 21′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedMatija Nastasić · Leganés · 49′ · 0.03 xG · goalRodrigo De Paul · Atlético Madrid · 90′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedRodrigo De Paul · Atlético Madrid · 30′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedRobin Le Normand · Atlético Madrid · 30′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedSamuel Lino · Atlético Madrid · 67′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedJuan Cruz · Leganés · 76′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedDani Raba · Leganés · 19′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedAdrián Niño · Atlético Madrid · 84′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedAntoine Griezmann · Atlético Madrid · 54′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedPablo Barrios · Atlético Madrid · 27′ · 0.10 xG · on targetDani Raba · Leganés · 73′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedMiguel de la Fuente · Leganés · 73′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedJuan Cruz · Leganés · 1′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedAntoine Griezmann · Atlético Madrid · 26′ · 0.12 xG · on targetAdrián Niño · Atlético Madrid · 90′ · 0.13 xG · off target or blockedJulián Alvarez · Atlético Madrid · 12′ · 0.14 xG · off target or blockedÁngel Correa · Atlético Madrid · 90′ · 0.15 xG · on targetÁngel Correa · Atlético Madrid · 81′ · 0.18 xG · off target or blockedJulián Alvarez · Atlético Madrid · 14′ · 0.21 xG · on targetAntoine Griezmann · Atlético Madrid · 26′ · 0.23 xG · off target or blockedAntoine Griezmann · Atlético Madrid · 90′ · 0.82 xG · off target or blocked
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Leganés: 9 shots, 3 on target, 0.50 xG. Atlético Madrid: 19 shots, 4 on target, 2.46 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.252.50′HT90′Matija Nastasić · Leganés · 49′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Leganés 0.50 xG · Atlético Madrid 2.46 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Leganés
0Draws
1Atlético Madrid
Atlético Madrid — Leganés · La Liga3–1

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Leganés favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · Atlético Madrid in 11

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Leganés20 matchesAtlético Madrid20 matches
0.95 goals/matchGoals scored20/20▲ 1.7 goals/match
1.45 goals/matchGoals allowed20/20▲ 0.65 goals/match
0.76 xG/matchExpected goals20/20▲ 1.68 xG/match
8.15 shots/matchShots20/20▲ 11.8 shots/match
2.8 shots/matchShots on target20/20▲ 4.65 shots/match
41.8%Possession20/20● 52.3%
2.8 corners/matchCorners20/20● 4.95 corners/match
13.7 fouls/matchFouls20/2010.7 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples20 / 20home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 18 Jan 2025, 19:15 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in La Liga

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsLeganésAtlético Madrid
CompetitionLa LigaLa Liga 2024/25
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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