La Liga · 2024Sat, 18 Jan 2025, 17:30 UTCFull timeFull-time recap
13Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricReal BetisDeportivo Alavés
Shots7 shots/match9 shots/match
Shots on target2 shots/match5 shots/match
Expected goals0.53 xG/match1.49 xG/match
Possession50%50%
Corners2 corners/match3 corners/match
Fouls12 fouls/match24 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

Natan · Real Betis · 55′ · 0.00 xG · on targetJesús Rodriguez · Real Betis · 28′ · 0.01 xG · goalNahuel Tenaglia · Deportivo Alavés · 27′ · 0.02 xG · on targetCarlos Benavídez · Deportivo Alavés · 90′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedStoichkov · Deportivo Alavés · 90′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedDiego Llorente · Real Betis · 4′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedKike García · Deportivo Alavés · 84′ · 0.05 xG · goalVitor Roque · Real Betis · 2′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedIsco · Real Betis · 28′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedJon Guridi · Deportivo Alavés · 8′ · 0.12 xG · on targetKike García · Deportivo Alavés · 80′ · 0.12 xG · goalPablo Fornals · Real Betis · 28′ · 0.14 xG · off target or blockedIsco · Real Betis · 28′ · 0.15 xG · off target or blockedTomás Conechny · Deportivo Alavés · 44′ · 0.16 xG · off target or blockedKike García · Deportivo Alavés · 78′ · 0.19 xG · off target or blockedKike García · Deportivo Alavés · 11′ · 0.82 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Real Betis: 7 shots, 2 on target, 0.51 xG. Deportivo Alavés: 9 shots, 5 on target, 1.55 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0120′HT90′Jesús Rodriguez · Real Betis · 28′Kike García · Deportivo Alavés · 11′Kike García · Deportivo Alavés · 80′Kike García · Deportivo Alavés · 84′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Real Betis 0.51 xG · Deportivo Alavés 1.55 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Deportivo Alavés's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. A second useful context is: Real Betis's home-only shot average is above their full-season average. Limitation: The fixture is outside the configured active season.

Deportivo Alavés's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Deportivo Alavés's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.6 goals/matchGoals forLast 5 · Season1.2 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.6 goals/match1.2 goals/match1.18 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Real Betis have a visible home split

moderate

Real Betis's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

16.2 shots/matchShotsHome only · Season13.4 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots16.2 shots/match13.4 shots/match11.3 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

2Real Betis
3Draws
0Deportivo Alavés
Deportivo AlavésReal Betis · La Liga00
Real BetisDeportivo Alavés · La Liga00
Deportivo AlavésReal Betis · La Liga11
Real BetisDeportivo Alavés · La Liga40
Deportivo AlavésReal Betis · La Liga01

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages · sample sizes shown with each metric. Context, not a forecast.

Where the edge is

Real Betis favored in 8 of 13 directional metrics · Deportivo Alavés in 1 · 4 too close

1.1 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 20/201.2 goals/match
1.3 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 20/201.6 goals/match
1.49 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 20/201.13 xG/match
1.34 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 20/201.32 xG/match
13.4 shots/matchShotsseason · 20/2010.9 shots/match
10.7 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 20/2010.3 shots/match
4.55 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 20/203.5 shots/match
3.55 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 20/204.05 shots/match
51.2%Possessionseason · 20/2043.8%
4.8 corners/matchCornersseason · 20/204.5 corners/match
3.85 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 20/204.7 corners/match
Cardsseason · 0/0
11.7 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 20/2016.2 fouls/match
Passesseason · 0/0
Pass accuracyseason · 0/0
Shots inside boxseason · 0/0
Blocked shotsseason · 0/0
Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0
Offsidesseason · 0/0
20%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 20/2015%
75%Scoring frequencyseason · 20/2070%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Real Betis57.5
Deportivo Alavés22.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Real Betis64.2
Deportivo Alavés42.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Real Betis57.5
Deportivo Alavés43.3
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Real Betis87.5
Deportivo Alavés67.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Real Betis27.5
Deportivo Alavés92.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Real Betis52.5
Deportivo Alavés42.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Real Betis58.8
Deportivo Alavés52.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Season

Real Betis20 matchesDeportivo Alavés20 matches
1.1 goals/matchGoals scored20/201.2 goals/match
1.3 goals/matchGoals allowed20/201.6 goals/match
1.49 xG/matchExpected goals20/201.13 xG/match
13.4 shots/matchShots20/2010.9 shots/match
4.55 shots/matchShots on target20/203.5 shots/match
51.2%Possession20/2043.8%
4.8 corners/matchCorners20/204.5 corners/match
Cards0/0
11.7 fouls/matchFouls20/2016.2 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

Real Betis10 matchesDeportivo Alavés11 matches
1.4 goals/matchGoals scored10/111.36 goals/match
1.2 goals/matchGoals allowed10/112 goals/match
1.9 xG/matchExpected goals10/111.22 xG/match
16.2 shots/matchShots10/1110.7 shots/match
5.5 shots/matchShots on target10/113.55 shots/match
52.6%Possession10/1143.3%
5.5 corners/matchCorners10/113.09 corners/match
Cards0/0
11.4 fouls/matchFouls10/1117.4 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

7.09 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/17.19 days
1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidencelimited
Season samples20 / 20home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 18 Jan 2025, 21:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Make a graphic from this match

Creator Studio builds a branded post from this match's recorded data, with its evidence grade and source cutoff carried into the export.

Create a graphic from this match