PitchMath
La Liga · 2024

Girona FC 1–2 Sevilla · La Liga

1–2Historical match

Sevilla

DLWLD

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Sevilla won 1–2.

Shots
512
Shots on target
45
Expected goals
0.992.27
Possession
59%41%

Full time

What the match recorded

Sevilla beat Girona FC 2–1. Recorded in this match (Girona FC – Sevilla): shots 5–12, shots on target 4–5, expected goals 0.99–2.27, possession 59%–41%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Sevilla's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Sevilla's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.8 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.15 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.8 goals/match1.15 goals/match1.15 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots5 shots12 shotsGirona FC 5 shots, Sevilla 12 shots
  • Shots on target4 shots5 shotsGirona FC 4 shots, Sevilla 5 shots
  • Expected goals0.99 xG2.27 xGGirona FC 0.99 xG, Sevilla 2.27 xG
  • Possession59%41%Girona FC 59%, Sevilla 41%
  • Corners7 corners4 cornersGirona FC 7 corners, Sevilla 4 corners
  • Fouls6 fouls12 foulsGirona FC 6 fouls, Sevilla 12 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Saúl Ñíguez · Sevilla · 45′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedBryan Gil · Girona FC · 17′ · 0.02 xG · on targetRubén Vargas · Sevilla · 50′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedJosé Ángel Carmona · Sevilla · 64′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedKike Salas · Sevilla · 82′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedAdrià Pedrosa · Sevilla · 17′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedDodi Lukebakio · Sevilla · 15′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedDodi Lukebakio · Sevilla · 49′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedCristhian Stuani · Girona FC · 79′ · 0.05 xG · on targetArnau Martínez · Girona FC · 62′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedCristhian Stuani · Girona FC · 90′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedCristhian Stuani · Girona FC · 90′ · 0.13 xG · off target or blockedSaúl Ñíguez · Sevilla · 59′ · 0.17 xG · on targetRubén Vargas · Sevilla · 13′ · 0.18 xG · on targetArnau Martínez · Girona FC · 36′ · 0.20 xG · goalRubén Vargas · Sevilla · 13′ · 0.25 xG · off target or blockedDodi Lukebakio · Sevilla · 35′ · 0.26 xG · on targetSaúl Ñíguez · Sevilla · 59′ · 0.29 xG · goalAbel Ruíz · Girona FC · 27′ · 0.48 xG · on targetDodi Lukebakio · Sevilla · 88′ · 0.58 xG · goalIsaac Romero · Sevilla · 3′ · 0.82 xG · on target
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Girona FC: 7 shots, 4 on target, 1.03 xG. Sevilla: 14 shots, 6 on target, 2.75 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.530′HT90′Arnau Martínez · Girona FC · 36′Saúl Ñíguez · Sevilla · 59′Dodi Lukebakio · Sevilla · 88′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Girona FC 1.03 xG · Sevilla 2.75 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

5Girona FC
0Draws
0Sevilla
Sevilla — Girona FC · La Liga0–2
Girona FC — Sevilla · La Liga5–1
Sevilla — Girona FC · La Liga1–2
Sevilla — Girona FC · La Liga0–2
Girona FC — Sevilla · La Liga2–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Girona FC favored in 7 of 11 directional metrics · Sevilla in 2 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Girona FC20 matchesSevilla20 matches
1.4 goals/match ▲Goals scored20/201.15 goals/match
1.35 goals/match ▲Goals allowed20/201.45 goals/match
1.27 xG/match ▲Expected goals20/201.12 xG/match
10.6 shots/matchShots20/20▲ 12 shots/match
3.75 shots/matchShots on target20/203.9 shots/match
59.1% ●Possession20/2052.7%
5.05 corners/matchCorners20/20● 5.4 corners/match
11.2 fouls/matchFouls20/2012.2 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples20 / 20home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 18 Jan 2025, 17:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in La Liga

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsGirona FCSevilla
CompetitionLa LigaLa Liga 2024/25
Head-to-headGirona FC — Sevilla
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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