La Liga · 2024Sat, 18 Jan 2025, 13:00 UTCFull timeFull-time recap

Girona FC

DLLWW

1–2Full-time recap

Sevilla

DLWLD

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	Girona FC	Sevilla
Shots	5 shots/match	12 shots/match▲
Shots on target	4 shots/match	5 shots/match▲
Expected goals	0.99 xG/match	2.27 xG/match▲
Possession	59%●	41%
Corners	7 corners/match●	4 corners/match
Fouls	6 fouls/match	12 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

off target
on target
goal
penalty
size = xG

Girona FC: 7 shots, 4 on target, 1.03 xG. Sevilla: 14 shots, 6 on target, 2.75 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Girona FC 1.03 xG · Sevilla 2.75 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Sevilla's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. No second pattern clears the sample and coverage gates. Limitation: The fixture is outside the configured active season.

Sevilla's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Sevilla's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.8 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.15 goals/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

Metric	Last 5	Season	Baseline
Goals for	1.8 goals/match	1.15 goals/match	1.15 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

5Girona FC

0Draws

0Sevilla

1 Sept 2024Sevilla — Girona FC · La Liga0–2

21 Jan 2024Girona FC — Sevilla · La Liga5–1

26 Aug 2023Sevilla — Girona FC · La Liga1–2

1 May 2023Sevilla — Girona FC · La Liga0–2

14 Jan 2023Girona FC — Sevilla · La Liga2–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages · sample sizes shown with each metric. Context, not a forecast.

Where the edge is

Girona FC favored in 7 of 13 directional metrics · Sevilla in 2 · 4 too close

1.4 goals/match▲Goals scoredseason · 20/201.15 goals/match

1.35 goals/match▲Goals allowedseason · 20/201.45 goals/match

1.27 xG/match▲Expected goalsseason · 20/201.12 xG/match

1.08 xG/match▲Expected goals allowedseason · 20/201.32 xG/match

10.6 shots/matchShotsseason · 20/20▲12 shots/match

10.4 shots/match▲Shots allowedseason · 20/2011.2 shots/match

3.75 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 20/203.9 shots/match

3.3 shots/match▲Shots on target allowedseason · 20/204.1 shots/match

59.1%●Possessionseason · 20/2052.7%

5.05 corners/matchCornersseason · 20/20●5.4 corners/match

3.3 corners/match▲Corners allowedseason · 20/204.4 corners/match

—Cardsseason · 0/0—

11.2 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 20/2012.2 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

30%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 20/2030%

70%Scoring frequencyseason · 20/20▲80%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Girona FC87.5

Sevilla67.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Girona FC50.8

Sevilla55.8

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Girona FC65.8

Sevilla43.3

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Girona FC2.5

Sevilla47.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Girona FC22.5

Sevilla47.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Girona FC67.5

Sevilla82.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Girona FC43.8

Sevilla62.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Season

Girona FC20 matchesSevilla20 matches

1.4 goals/match▲Goals scored20/201.15 goals/match

1.35 goals/match▲Goals allowed20/201.45 goals/match

1.27 xG/match▲Expected goals20/201.12 xG/match

10.6 shots/matchShots20/20▲12 shots/match

3.75 shots/matchShots on target20/203.9 shots/match

59.1%●Possession20/2052.7%

5.05 corners/matchCorners20/20●5.4 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

11.2 fouls/matchFouls20/2012.2 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

Girona FC10 matchesSevilla10 matches

1.9 goals/match▲Goals scored10/101.4 goals/match

1.5 goals/match▲Goals allowed10/102 goals/match

1.75 xG/match▲Expected goals10/101.06 xG/match

11.7 shots/match▲Shots10/1010.7 shots/match

4.5 shots/match▲Shots on target10/103.6 shots/match

59.1%●Possession10/1050.6%

5.6 corners/match●Corners10/105 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

9.9 fouls/matchFouls10/1011.5 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

7 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/16.71 days

1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidencelimited

Season samples20 / 20home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

The fixture is outside the configured active season.
Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.

Analysis cutoff: Sat, 18 Jan 2025, 17:00 UTC · analysis-v4