PitchMath
La Liga · 2024

Sevilla 1–1 Valencia · La Liga

Sevilla

WDLWL
1–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Sevilla and Valencia drew 1–1.

Shots
155
Shots on target
51
Expected goals
0.550.66
Possession
53%47%

Full time

What the match recorded

Sevilla and Valencia drew 1–1. Recorded in this match (Sevilla – Valencia): shots 15–5, shots on target 5–1, expected goals 0.55–0.66, possession 53%–47%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Sevilla's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Sevilla's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.11 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.6 goals/match1.11 goals/match1.13 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Valencia have a visible away split

moderate

Valencia's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

7.7 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season9.37 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots7.7 shots/match9.37 shots/match11.3 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Both teams have elevated corners records

weak

Each team's season corners average is above the competition baseline.

5.47 corners/match ●CornersSevilla · Valencia5.42 corners/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Both team averages are compared with the same competition baseline.

Window: season

MetricSevillaValenciaBaseline
Corners5.47 corners/match5.42 corners/match4.73 corners/match

Caveat: A shared historical pattern is descriptive and may not repeat in one fixture.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots15 shots5 shotsSevilla 15 shots, Valencia 5 shots
  • Shots on target5 shots1 shotSevilla 5 shots, Valencia 1 shot
  • Expected goals0.55 xG0.66 xGSevilla 0.55 xG, Valencia 0.66 xG
  • Possession53%47%Sevilla 53%, Valencia 47%
  • Corners10 corners1 cornerSevilla 10 corners, Valencia 1 corner
  • Fouls16 fouls8 foulsSevilla 16 fouls, Valencia 8 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Isaac Romero · Sevilla · 24′ · 0.01 xG · on targetSaúl Ñíguez · Sevilla · 19′ · 0.02 xG · on targetIsaac Romero · Sevilla · 27′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedJavier Guerra · Valencia · 31′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedDjibril Sow · Sevilla · 52′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedDodi Lukebakio · Sevilla · 56′ · 0.02 xG · on targetSaúl Ñíguez · Sevilla · 57′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedIsaac Romero · Sevilla · 82′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedAdrià Pedrosa · Sevilla · 90′ · 0.02 xG · goalAlbert Sambi Lokonga · Sevilla · 8′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedRubén Vargas · Sevilla · 81′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedNemanja Gudelj · Sevilla · 83′ · 0.04 xG · on targetLuis Rioja · Valencia · 9′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedLucien Agoumé · Sevilla · 23′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedLucien Agoumé · Sevilla · 63′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedSaúl Ñíguez · Sevilla · 82′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedSaúl Ñíguez · Sevilla · 44′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedLuis Rioja · Valencia · 64′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedHugo Duro · Valencia · 45′ · 0.18 xG · off target or blockedLuis Rioja · Valencia · 61′ · 0.27 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Sevilla: 15 shots, 5 on target, 0.52 xG. Valencia: 5 shots, 1 on target, 0.64 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.510′HT90′Adrià Pedrosa · Sevilla · 90′Luis Rioja · Valencia · 61′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Sevilla 0.52 xG · Valencia 0.64 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Sevilla
3Draws
1Valencia
Valencia — Sevilla · La Liga0–0
Sevilla — Valencia · La Liga1–2
Valencia — Sevilla · La Liga0–2
Sevilla — Valencia · La Liga1–1
Valencia — Sevilla · La Liga1–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Sevilla favored in 8 of 11 directional metrics · Valencia in 2 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Sevilla19 matchesValencia19 matches
1.11 goals/match ▲Goals scored19/190.95 goals/match
1.47 goals/matchGoals allowed19/191.53 goals/match
1.06 xG/match ▲Expected goals19/190.97 xG/match
11.9 shots/match ▲Shots19/199.37 shots/match
3.84 shots/match ▲Shots on target19/193.05 shots/match
53.3% ●Possession19/1948.3%
5.47 corners/match ●Corners19/195.42 corners/match
12.2 fouls/matchFouls19/1911.8 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples19 / 19home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 12 Jan 2025, 00:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in La Liga

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsSevillaValencia
CompetitionLa LigaLa Liga 2024/25
Head-to-headSevilla — Valencia
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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