La Liga · 2024Sat, 11 Jan 2025, 20:00 UTCFull timeFull-time recap

Sevilla

WDLWL

1–1Full-time recap

Valencia

LLDDL

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	Sevilla	Valencia
Shots	15 shots/match▲	5 shots/match
Shots on target	5 shots/match▲	1 shots/match
Expected goals	0.55 xG/match	0.66 xG/match▲
Possession	53%●	47%
Corners	10 corners/match●	1 corners/match
Fouls	16 fouls/match	8 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

off target
on target
goal
penalty
size = xG

Sevilla: 15 shots, 5 on target, 0.52 xG. Valencia: 5 shots, 1 on target, 0.64 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Sevilla 0.52 xG · Valencia 0.64 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Sevilla's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. A second useful context is: Valencia's away-only shot average is below their full-season average. Limitation: The fixture is outside the configured active season.

Sevilla's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Sevilla's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.6 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.11 goals/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

Metric	Last 5	Season	Baseline
Goals for	1.6 goals/match	1.11 goals/match	1.13 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Valencia have a visible away split

moderate

Valencia's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

7.7 shots/match▲ShotsAway only · Season9.37 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

Metric	Away only	Season	Baseline
Shots	7.7 shots/match	9.37 shots/match	11.3 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Both teams have elevated corners records

weak

Each team's season corners average is above the competition baseline.

5.47 corners/match●CornersSevilla · Valencia5.42 corners/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Both team averages are compared with the same competition baseline.

Window: season

Metric	Sevilla	Valencia	Baseline
Corners	5.47 corners/match	5.42 corners/match	4.73 corners/match

Caveat: A shared historical pattern is descriptive and may not repeat in one fixture.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

1Sevilla

3Draws

1Valencia

17 Feb 2024Valencia — Sevilla · La Liga0–0

11 Aug 2023Sevilla — Valencia · La Liga1–2

16 Apr 2023Valencia — Sevilla · La Liga0–2

18 Oct 2022Sevilla — Valencia · La Liga1–1

19 Jan 2022Valencia — Sevilla · La Liga1–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages · sample sizes shown with each metric. Context, not a forecast.

Where the edge is

Sevilla favored in 8 of 13 directional metrics · Valencia in 2 · 3 too close

1.11 goals/match▲Goals scoredseason · 19/190.95 goals/match

1.47 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 19/191.53 goals/match

1.06 xG/match▲Expected goalsseason · 19/190.97 xG/match

1.34 xG/match▲Expected goals allowedseason · 19/191.49 xG/match

11.9 shots/match▲Shotsseason · 19/199.37 shots/match

11.5 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 19/19▲10.5 shots/match

3.84 shots/match▲Shots on targetseason · 19/193.05 shots/match

4.11 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 19/19▲3.47 shots/match

53.3%●Possessionseason · 19/1948.3%

5.47 corners/match●Cornersseason · 19/195.42 corners/match

4.26 corners/match▲Corners allowedseason · 19/194.63 corners/match

—Cardsseason · 0/0—

12.2 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 19/1911.8 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

32%▲Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 19/1916%

79%▲Scoring frequencyseason · 19/1963%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Sevilla75

Valencia42.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Sevilla54.2

Valencia18.3

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Sevilla44.2

Valencia50.8

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Sevilla37.5

Valencia12.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Sevilla52.5

Valencia32.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Sevilla87.5

Valencia82.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Sevilla65

Valencia36.2

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Season

Sevilla19 matchesValencia19 matches

1.11 goals/match▲Goals scored19/190.95 goals/match

1.47 goals/matchGoals allowed19/191.53 goals/match

1.06 xG/match▲Expected goals19/190.97 xG/match

11.9 shots/match▲Shots19/199.37 shots/match

3.84 shots/match▲Shots on target19/193.05 shots/match

53.3%●Possession19/1948.3%

5.47 corners/match●Corners19/195.42 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

12.2 fouls/matchFouls19/1911.8 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

Sevilla10 matchesValencia10 matches

0.9 goals/match▲Goals scored10/100.5 goals/match

0.9 goals/match▲Goals allowed10/101.6 goals/match

1.18 xG/match▲Expected goals10/100.79 xG/match

13.2 shots/match▲Shots10/107.7 shots/match

4.2 shots/match▲Shots on target10/102 shots/match

54.7%●Possession10/1048.2%

5.8 corners/match●Corners10/104.2 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

12.9 fouls/matchFouls10/1011.7 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

20.2 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/18 days

0 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidencelimited

Season samples19 / 19home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

The fixture is outside the configured active season.
Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.

Analysis cutoff: Sun, 12 Jan 2025, 00:00 UTC · analysis-v4