La Liga · 2024Sun, 19 Jan 2025, 20:00 UTCFull timeFull-time recap

Valencia

LDDLD

1–0Full-time recap

Real Sociedad

WWDLW

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	Valencia	Real Sociedad
Shots	7 shots/match	9 shots/match▲
Shots on target	2 shots/match	3 shots/match▲
Expected goals	1.64 xG/match▲	0.81 xG/match
Possession	35%	65%●
Corners	4 corners/match	7 corners/match●
Fouls	10 fouls/match	12 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

off target
on target
goal
penalty
size = xG

Valencia: 7 shots, 2 on target, 1.61 xG. Real Sociedad: 9 shots, 3 on target, 0.84 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Valencia 1.61 xG · Real Sociedad 0.84 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Valencia's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. A second useful context is: Valencia's home-only shot average is above their full-season average. Limitation: The fixture is outside the configured active season.

Valencia's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Valencia's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.2 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.95 goals/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

Metric	Last 5	Season	Baseline
Goals for	1.2 goals/match	0.95 goals/match	1.18 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Valencia have a visible home split

moderate

Valencia's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

10.8 shots/match▲ShotsHome only · Season9.25 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

Metric	Home only	Season	Baseline
Shots	10.8 shots/match	9.25 shots/match	11.3 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Both teams have elevated corners records

weak

Each team's season corners average is above the competition baseline.

5.35 corners/matchCornersValencia · Real Sociedad●6 corners/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Both team averages are compared with the same competition baseline.

Window: season

Metric	Valencia	Real Sociedad	Baseline
Corners	5.35 corners/match	6 corners/match	4.77 corners/match

Caveat: A shared historical pattern is descriptive and may not repeat in one fixture.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

1Valencia

1Draws

3Real Sociedad

28 Sept 2024Real Sociedad — Valencia · La Liga3–0

16 May 2024Real Sociedad — Valencia · La Liga1–0

27 Sept 2023Valencia — Real Sociedad · La Liga0–1

25 Feb 2023Valencia — Real Sociedad · La Liga1–0

6 Nov 2022Real Sociedad — Valencia · La Liga1–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages · sample sizes shown with each metric. Context, not a forecast.

Where the edge is

Valencia favored in 2 of 13 directional metrics · Real Sociedad in 7 · 4 too close

0.95 goals/match▲Goals scoredseason · 20/200.85 goals/match

1.45 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 20/20▲0.7 goals/match

1 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 20/20▲1.17 xG/match

1.45 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 20/20▲1.08 xG/match

9.25 shots/matchShotsseason · 20/20▲10.6 shots/match

10.5 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 20/2010.9 shots/match

3 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 20/20▲3.6 shots/match

3.45 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 20/20▲3.2 shots/match

47.6%Possessionseason · 20/20●56.2%

5.35 corners/matchCornersseason · 20/20●6 corners/match

4.75 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 20/204.9 corners/match

—Cardsseason · 0/0—

11.8 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 20/2014 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

20%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 20/20▲55%

65%▲Scoring frequencyseason · 20/2055%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Valencia42.5

Real Sociedad82.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Valencia17.5

Real Sociedad31.7

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Valencia55.8

Real Sociedad74.2

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Valencia12.5

Real Sociedad7.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Valencia32.5

Real Sociedad77.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Valencia77.5

Real Sociedad92.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Valencia35

Real Sociedad63.1

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Season

Valencia20 matchesReal Sociedad20 matches

0.95 goals/match▲Goals scored20/200.85 goals/match

1.45 goals/matchGoals allowed20/20▲0.7 goals/match

1 xG/matchExpected goals20/20▲1.17 xG/match

9.25 shots/matchShots20/20▲10.6 shots/match

3 shots/matchShots on target20/20▲3.6 shots/match

47.6%Possession20/20●56.2%

5.35 corners/matchCorners20/20●6 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

11.8 fouls/matchFouls20/2014 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

Valencia10 matchesReal Sociedad10 matches

1.4 goals/match▲Goals scored10/100.7 goals/match

1.3 goals/matchGoals allowed10/10▲0.5 goals/match

1.21 xG/match▲Expected goals10/100.95 xG/match

10.8 shots/match▲Shots10/109.6 shots/match

4 shots/match▲Shots on target10/102.9 shots/match

47%Possession10/10●56.3%

6.5 corners/match●Corners10/105.3 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

11.8 fouls/matchFouls10/1013.4 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

8 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/16 days

1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidencelimited

Season samples20 / 20home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

The fixture is outside the configured active season.
Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.

Analysis cutoff: Mon, 20 Jan 2025, 00:00 UTC · analysis-v4