PitchMath
La Liga · 2024

Valencia 1–0 Real Sociedad · La Liga

1–0Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Valencia won 1–0.

Shots
79
Shots on target
23
Expected goals
1.640.81
Possession
35%65%

Full time

What the match recorded

Valencia beat Real Sociedad 1–0. Recorded in this match (Valencia – Real Sociedad): shots 7–9, shots on target 2–3, expected goals 1.64–0.81, possession 35%–65%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Valencia's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Valencia's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.95 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.2 goals/match0.95 goals/match1.18 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Valencia have a visible home split

moderate

Valencia's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

10.8 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season9.25 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots10.8 shots/match9.25 shots/match11.3 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Both teams have elevated corners records

weak

Each team's season corners average is above the competition baseline.

5.35 corners/matchCornersValencia · Real Sociedad● 6 corners/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Both team averages are compared with the same competition baseline.

Window: season

MetricValenciaReal SociedadBaseline
Corners5.35 corners/match6 corners/match4.77 corners/match

Caveat: A shared historical pattern is descriptive and may not repeat in one fixture.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots7 shots9 shotsValencia 7 shots, Real Sociedad 9 shots
  • Shots on target2 shots3 shotsValencia 2 shots, Real Sociedad 3 shots
  • Expected goals1.64 xG0.81 xGValencia 1.64 xG, Real Sociedad 0.81 xG
  • Possession35%65%Valencia 35%, Real Sociedad 65%
  • Corners4 corners7 cornersValencia 4 corners, Real Sociedad 7 corners
  • Fouls10 fouls12 foulsValencia 10 fouls, Real Sociedad 12 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Dimitri Foulquier · Valencia · 2′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedLuka Sučić · Real Sociedad · 80′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedJavi López · Real Sociedad · 37′ · 0.03 xG · on targetSheraldo Becker · Real Sociedad · 41′ · 0.03 xG · on targetDimitri Foulquier · Valencia · 26′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedTakefusa Kubo · Real Sociedad · 90′ · 0.05 xG · on targetCésar Tárrega · Valencia · 70′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedNayef Aguerd · Real Sociedad · 32′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedBrais Méndez · Real Sociedad · 65′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedAritz Elustondo · Real Sociedad · 32′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedOrri Óskarsson · Real Sociedad · 53′ · 0.14 xG · off target or blockedDiego López · Valencia · 4′ · 0.29 xG · off target or blockedOrri Óskarsson · Real Sociedad · 10′ · 0.29 xG · off target or blockedHugo Duro · Valencia · 61′ · 0.32 xG · off target or blockedHugo Duro · Valencia · 26′ · 0.44 xG · goalHugo Duro · Valencia · 71′ · 0.44 xG · on target
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Valencia: 7 shots, 2 on target, 1.61 xG. Real Sociedad: 9 shots, 3 on target, 0.84 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0120′HT90′Hugo Duro · Valencia · 26′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Valencia 1.61 xG · Real Sociedad 0.84 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Valencia
1Draws
3Real Sociedad
Real Sociedad — Valencia · La Liga3–0
Real Sociedad — Valencia · La Liga1–0
Valencia — Real Sociedad · La Liga0–1
Valencia — Real Sociedad · La Liga1–0
Real Sociedad — Valencia · La Liga1–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Valencia favored in 2 of 11 directional metrics · Real Sociedad in 7 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Valencia20 matchesReal Sociedad20 matches
0.95 goals/match ▲Goals scored20/200.85 goals/match
1.45 goals/matchGoals allowed20/20▲ 0.7 goals/match
1 xG/matchExpected goals20/20▲ 1.17 xG/match
9.25 shots/matchShots20/20▲ 10.6 shots/match
3 shots/matchShots on target20/20▲ 3.6 shots/match
47.6%Possession20/20● 56.2%
5.35 corners/matchCorners20/20● 6 corners/match
11.8 fouls/matchFouls20/2014 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples20 / 20home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Mon, 20 Jan 2025, 00:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in La Liga

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsValenciaReal Sociedad
CompetitionLa LigaLa Liga 2024/25
Head-to-headValencia — Real Sociedad
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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