PitchMath
La Liga · 2024

Real Madrid 4–1 Las Palmas · La Liga

4–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Real Madrid won 4–1.

Shots
256
Shots on target
132
Expected goals
5.811.18
Possession
62%38%

Full time

What the match recorded

Real Madrid beat Las Palmas 4–1. Recorded in this match (Real Madrid – Las Palmas): shots 25–6, shots on target 13–2, expected goals 5.81–1.18, possession 62%–38%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Real Madrid show a distinct attacking-volume record

strong

Real Madrid's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

15.7 shots/match ▲ShotsReal Madrid · Las Palmas10.8 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricReal MadridLas PalmasBaseline
Shots15.7 shots/match10.8 shots/match11.3 shots/match
Shots against9.7 shots/match15.4 shots/match11.1 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Real Madrid's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Real Madrid's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

3.2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season2.35 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for3.2 goals/match2.35 goals/match1.18 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Las Palmas have a visible away split

moderate

Las Palmas's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

8.3 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season10.8 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots8.3 shots/match10.8 shots/match11.3 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots25 shots6 shotsReal Madrid 25 shots, Las Palmas 6 shots
  • Shots on target13 shots2 shotsReal Madrid 13 shots, Las Palmas 2 shots
  • Expected goals5.81 xG1.18 xGReal Madrid 5.81 xG, Las Palmas 1.18 xG
  • Possession62%38%Real Madrid 62%, Las Palmas 38%
  • Corners8 corners2 cornersReal Madrid 8 corners, Las Palmas 2 corners
  • Fouls11 fouls13 foulsReal Madrid 11 fouls, Las Palmas 13 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Federico Valverde · Real Madrid · 50′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedJude Bellingham · Real Madrid · 53′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedFábio Silva · Las Palmas · 58′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedKylian Mbappé · Real Madrid · 28′ · 0.02 xG · on targetSandro Ramírez · Las Palmas · 9′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedRodrygo · Real Madrid · 30′ · 0.03 xG · on targetManuel Fuster · Las Palmas · 61′ · 0.03 xG · on targetAntonio Rüdiger · Real Madrid · 64′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedJavier Muñoz · Las Palmas · 88′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedRodrygo · Real Madrid · 31′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedBrahim Díaz · Real Madrid · 26′ · 0.05 xG · on targetKylian Mbappé · Real Madrid · 33′ · 0.06 xG · on targetBrahim Díaz · Real Madrid · 67′ · 0.06 xG · on targetKylian Mbappé · Real Madrid · 45′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedJude Bellingham · Real Madrid · 90′ · 0.07 xG · on targetBrahim Díaz · Real Madrid · 25′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedBrahim Díaz · Real Madrid · 48′ · 0.08 xG · on targetEndrick · Real Madrid · 90′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedKylian Mbappé · Real Madrid · 8′ · 0.13 xG · on targetFran García · Real Madrid · 40′ · 0.15 xG · off target or blockedJude Bellingham · Real Madrid · 36′ · 0.21 xG · on targetKylian Mbappé · Real Madrid · 36′ · 0.23 xG · goalRodrygo · Real Madrid · 57′ · 0.23 xG · goalFábio Silva · Las Palmas · 5′ · 0.29 xG · off target or blockedJude Bellingham · Real Madrid · 49′ · 0.32 xG · off target or blockedBrahim Díaz · Real Madrid · 3′ · 0.40 xG · off target or blockedJude Bellingham · Real Madrid · 79′ · 0.49 xG · off target or blockedLucas Vázquez · Real Madrid · 21′ · 0.53 xG · off target or blockedFábio Silva · Las Palmas · 1′ · 0.70 xG · goalBrahim Díaz · Real Madrid · 33′ · 0.79 xG · goalKylian Mbappé · Real Madrid · 18′ · 0.82 xG · goalJude Bellingham · Real Madrid · 83′ · 0.83 xG · off target or blocked
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Real Madrid: 26 shots, 13 on target, 5.86 xG. Las Palmas: 6 shots, 2 on target, 1.09 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0360′HT90′Kylian Mbappé · Real Madrid · 18′Brahim Díaz · Real Madrid · 33′Kylian Mbappé · Real Madrid · 36′Rodrygo · Real Madrid · 57′Fábio Silva · Las Palmas · 1′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Real Madrid 5.86 xG · Las Palmas 1.09 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2Real Madrid
1Draws
0Las Palmas
Las Palmas — Real Madrid · La Liga1–1
Las Palmas — Real Madrid · La Liga1–2
Real Madrid — Las Palmas · La Liga2–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Real Madrid favored in 11 of 11 directional metrics · Las Palmas in 0

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Real Madrid20 matchesLas Palmas20 matches
2.35 goals/match ▲Goals scored20/201.25 goals/match
1 goal/match ▲Goals allowed20/201.65 goals/match
2.09 xG/match ▲Expected goals20/200.97 xG/match
15.7 shots/match ▲Shots20/2010.8 shots/match
6.55 shots/match ▲Shots on target20/204 shots/match
60.7% ●Possession20/2052.3%
5.5 corners/match ●Corners20/203.9 corners/match
9.15 fouls/matchFouls20/2012.3 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples20 / 20home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 19 Jan 2025, 19:15 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in La Liga

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsReal MadridLas Palmas
CompetitionLa LigaLa Liga 2024/25
Head-to-headReal Madrid — Las Palmas
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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