La Liga · 2024Fri, 24 Jan 2025, 20:00 UTCFull timeFull-time recap

Las Palmas

WDWLL

1–1Full-time recap

Osasuna

DDLLD

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	Las Palmas	Osasuna
Shots	16 shots/match	16 shots/match
Shots on target	7 shots/match▲	4 shots/match
Expected goals	0.75 xG/match	2.7 xG/match▲
Possession	51%●	49%
Corners	4 corners/match●	2 corners/match
Fouls	14 fouls/match	17 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

off target
on target
goal
penalty
size = xG

Las Palmas: 16 shots, 7 on target, 0.79 xG. Osasuna: 16 shots, 4 on target, 2.74 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Las Palmas 0.79 xG · Osasuna 2.74 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Osasuna's last-five goals scored average is below their season average. A second useful context is: Osasuna's away-only shot average is below their full-season average. Limitation: The fixture is outside the configured active season.

Osasuna's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Osasuna's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.6 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.19 goals/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

Metric	Last 5	Season	Baseline
Goals for	0.6 goals/match	1.19 goals/match	1.17 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Osasuna have a visible away split

strong

Osasuna's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

6.8 shots/match▲ShotsAway only · Season10 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

Metric	Away only	Season	Baseline
Shots	6.8 shots/match	10 shots/match	11.4 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Osasuna show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Osasuna's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

11 shots/match▲ShotsLas Palmas · Osasuna10 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

Metric	Las Palmas	Osasuna	Baseline
Shots	11 shots/match	10 shots/match	11.4 shots/match
Shots against	15.4 shots/match	11.8 shots/match	11 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

0Las Palmas

2Draws

1Osasuna

21 Sept 2024Osasuna — Las Palmas · La Liga2–1

25 Feb 2024Las Palmas — Osasuna · La Liga1–1

11 Nov 2023Osasuna — Las Palmas · La Liga1–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages · sample sizes shown with each metric. Context, not a forecast.

Where the edge is

Las Palmas favored in 4 of 13 directional metrics · Osasuna in 5 · 4 too close

1.24 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 21/211.19 goals/match

1.62 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 21/21▲1.43 goals/match

0.96 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 21/21▲1.07 xG/match

1.96 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 21/21▲1.37 xG/match

11 shots/match▲Shotsseason · 21/2110 shots/match

15.4 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 21/21▲11.8 shots/match

4.14 shots/match▲Shots on targetseason · 21/213.24 shots/match

4.86 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 21/215.1 shots/match

52.2%●Possessionseason · 21/2145.8%

3.9 corners/matchCornersseason · 21/21●4 corners/match

5.1 corners/match▲Corners allowedseason · 21/215.38 corners/match

—Cardsseason · 0/0—

12.3 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 21/2113.4 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

14%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 21/21▲24%

81%▲Scoring frequencyseason · 21/2176%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Las Palmas62.5

Osasuna32.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Las Palmas57.5

Osasuna32.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Las Palmas10.8

Osasuna30.8

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Las Palmas27.5

Osasuna37.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Las Palmas52.5

Osasuna67.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Las Palmas17.5

Osasuna25

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Las Palmas45

Osasuna34.4

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Season

Las Palmas21 matchesOsasuna21 matches

1.24 goals/matchGoals scored21/211.19 goals/match

1.62 goals/matchGoals allowed21/21▲1.43 goals/match

0.96 xG/matchExpected goals21/21▲1.07 xG/match

11 shots/match▲Shots21/2110 shots/match

4.14 shots/match▲Shots on target21/213.24 shots/match

52.2%●Possession21/2145.8%

3.9 corners/matchCorners21/21●4 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

12.3 fouls/matchFouls21/2113.4 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

Las Palmas11 matchesOsasuna10 matches

1.27 goals/match▲Goals scored11/100.6 goals/match

1.36 goals/match▲Goals allowed11/101.5 goals/match

1.11 xG/match▲Expected goals11/100.62 xG/match

13.5 shots/match▲Shots11/106.8 shots/match

4.45 shots/match▲Shots on target11/101.8 shots/match

55.4%●Possession11/1043%

4.45 corners/match●Corners11/102.5 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

13.1 fouls/matchFouls11/1013.4 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

5.2 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/15.1 days

2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidencelimited

Season samples21 / 21home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

The fixture is outside the configured active season.
Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.

Analysis cutoff: Sat, 25 Jan 2025, 00:00 UTC · analysis-v4