La Liga · 2024

Celta Vigo 1–2 Athletic Club · La Liga

1–2Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Athletic Club won 1–2.

Shots
314
Shots on target
16
Expected goals
0.591.83
Possession
59%41%

Full time

What the match recorded

Athletic Club beat Celta Vigo 2–1. Recorded in this match (Celta Vigo – Athletic Club): shots 3–14, shots on target 1–6, expected goals 0.59–1.83, possession 59%–41%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Celta Vigo's recent record differs from the season

weak

Celta Vigo's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

1.2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.45 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.2 goals/match1.45 goals/match1.18 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots3 shots14 shotsCelta Vigo 3 shots, Athletic Club 14 shots
  • Shots on target1 shot6 shotsCelta Vigo 1 shot, Athletic Club 6 shots
  • Expected goals0.59 xG1.83 xGCelta Vigo 0.59 xG, Athletic Club 1.83 xG
  • Possession59%41%Celta Vigo 59%, Athletic Club 41%
  • Corners3 corners4 cornersCelta Vigo 3 corners, Athletic Club 4 corners
  • Fouls14 fouls6 foulsCelta Vigo 14 fouls, Athletic Club 6 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Beñat Prados · Athletic Club · 13′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedGorka Guruzeta · Athletic Club · 90′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedUnai Gómez · Athletic Club · 26′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedPablo Durán · Celta Vigo · 30′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedNico Williams · Athletic Club · 64′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedBeñat Prados · Athletic Club · 36′ · 0.04 xG · on targetHugo Álvarez · Celta Vigo · 48′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedNico Williams · Athletic Club · 68′ · 0.04 xG · on targetIñaki Williams · Athletic Club · 82′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedÁlex Berenguer · Athletic Club · 55′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedÁlex Berenguer · Athletic Club · 12′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedNico Williams · Athletic Club · 84′ · 0.11 xG · on targetUnai Gómez · Athletic Club · 71′ · 0.15 xG · on targetÁlex Berenguer · Athletic Club · 62′ · 0.30 xG · goalDani Vivian · Athletic Club · 71′ · 0.35 xG · goalHugo Álvarez · Celta Vigo · 74′ · 0.51 xG · goalÁlex Berenguer · Athletic Club · 25′ · 0.54 xG · off target or blocked
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Celta Vigo: 3 shots, 1 on target, 0.58 xG. Athletic Club: 14 shots, 6 on target, 1.83 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0120′HT90′Hugo Álvarez · Celta Vigo · 74′Álex Berenguer · Athletic Club · 62′Dani Vivian · Athletic Club · 71′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Celta Vigo 0.58 xG · Athletic Club 1.83 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2Celta Vigo
0Draws
3Athletic Club
Athletic Club — Celta Vigo · La Liga3–1
Celta Vigo — Athletic Club · La Liga2–1
Athletic Club — Celta Vigo · La Liga4–3
Athletic Club — Celta Vigo · La Liga2–1
Celta Vigo — Athletic Club · La Liga1–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Celta Vigo favored in 1 of 11 directional metrics · Athletic Club in 7 · 3 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Celta Vigo20 matchesAthletic Club20 matches
1.45 goals/matchGoals scored20/20▲ 1.55 goals/match
1.6 goals/matchGoals allowed20/20▲ 0.9 goals/match
1.43 xG/matchExpected goals20/201.41 xG/match
11.7 shots/matchShots20/2011.8 shots/match
4.45 shots/match ▲Shots on target20/204.15 shots/match
53.6% ●Possession20/2047.4%
3.4 corners/matchCorners20/20● 4.8 corners/match
11.3 fouls/matchFouls20/2013.1 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples20 / 20home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 19 Jan 2025, 17:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in La Liga

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