PitchMath
La Liga · 2024Sat, 11 Jan 2025, 15:15 UTCFull timeFull-time recap
1–0Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricReal ValladolidReal Betis
Shots12 shots/match14 shots/match▲
Shots on target1 shots/match3 shots/match▲
Expected goals1.25 xG/match▲0.73 xG/match
Possession42%58%●
Corners1 corners/match8 corners/match●
Fouls21 fouls/match10 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

Raúl Moro · Real Valladolid · 3′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedJohnny Cardoso · Real Betis · 31′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMario Martín · Real Valladolid · 49′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedKike Pérez · Real Valladolid · 64′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedNatan · Real Betis · 90′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMario Martín · Real Valladolid · 8′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedRaúl Moro · Real Valladolid · 16′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedLucas Rosa · Real Valladolid · 46′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedJuanmi · Real Betis · 75′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedFrancisco Vieites · Real Betis · 90′ · 0.03 xG · on targetGiovani Lo Celso · Real Betis · 45′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedIsco · Real Betis · 60′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedAitor Ruibal · Real Betis · 83′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedJesús Rodriguez · Real Betis · 90′ · 0.04 xG · on targetRaúl Moro · Real Valladolid · 33′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedAbdessamad Ezzalzouli · Real Betis · 52′ · 0.05 xG · on targetCédric Bakambu · Real Betis · 10′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedKike Pérez · Real Valladolid · 31′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedGiovani Lo Celso · Real Betis · 14′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedAbdessamad Ezzalzouli · Real Betis · 20′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedCédric Bakambu · Real Betis · 40′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedMarcos André · Real Valladolid · 37′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedVitor Roque · Real Betis · 90′ · 0.14 xG · off target or blockedMarcos André · Real Valladolid · 67′ · 0.19 xG · off target or blockedAnuar · Real Valladolid · 1′ · 0.20 xG · off target or blockedKike Pérez · Real Valladolid · 58′ · 0.51 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Real Valladolid: 12 shots, 1 on target, 1.26 xG. Real Betis: 14 shots, 3 on target, 0.75 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.751.50′HT90′Kike Pérez · Real Valladolid · 58′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Real Valladolid 1.26 xG · Real Betis 0.75 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Real Betis's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines. A second useful context is: Real Betis's away-only shot average is below their full-season average. Limitation: The fixture is outside the configured active season.

Real Betis show a distinct attacking-volume record

strong

Real Betis's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

8.53 shots/match▲ShotsReal Valladolid · Real Betis13.7 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricReal ValladolidReal BetisBaseline
Shots8.53 shots/match13.7 shots/match11.3 shots/match
Shots against15.6 shots/match10.8 shots/match11 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Real Betis have a visible away split

moderate

Real Betis's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

10.6 shots/match▲ShotsAway only · Season13.7 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots10.6 shots/match13.7 shots/match11.3 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Real Valladolid's recent record differs from the season

weak

Real Valladolid's last-five shots average is below their season average.

6.6 shots/match▲ShotsLast 5 · Season8.53 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Shots6.6 shots/match8.53 shots/match11.3 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

0Real Valladolid
1Draws
1Real Betis
Real Betis — Real Valladolid · La Liga2–1
Real Valladolid — Real Betis · La Liga0–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages · sample sizes shown with each metric. Context, not a forecast.

Where the edge is

Real Valladolid favored in 1 of 13 directional metrics · Real Betis in 10 · 2 too close

0.68 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 19/19▲1.11 goals/match
1.95 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 19/19▲1.21 goals/match
0.92 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 19/19▲1.54 xG/match
1.76 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 19/19▲1.33 xG/match
8.53 shots/matchShotsseason · 19/19▲13.7 shots/match
15.6 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 19/19▲10.8 shots/match
2.11 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 19/19▲4.68 shots/match
5.21 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 19/19▲3.47 shots/match
41.4%Possessionseason · 19/19●51.3%
3.42 corners/matchCornersseason · 19/19●4.95 corners/match
6 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 19/19▲3.89 corners/match
—Cardsseason · 0/0—
13.3 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 19/1911.7 fouls/match
—Passesseason · 0/0—
—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—
—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—
—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—
—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—
—Offsidesseason · 0/0—
26%▲Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 19/1921%
58%Scoring frequencyseason · 19/19▲74%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Real Valladolid7.5
Real Betis57.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Real Valladolid5.8
Real Betis66.7
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Real Valladolid4.2
Real Betis57.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Real Valladolid27.5
Real Betis87.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Real Valladolid57.5
Real Betis27.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Real Valladolid10
Real Betis60
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Real Valladolid19.4
Real Betis61.9
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Season

Real Valladolid19 matchesReal Betis19 matches
0.68 goals/matchGoals scored19/19▲1.11 goals/match
1.95 goals/matchGoals allowed19/19▲1.21 goals/match
0.92 xG/matchExpected goals19/19▲1.54 xG/match
8.53 shots/matchShots19/19▲13.7 shots/match
2.11 shots/matchShots on target19/19▲4.68 shots/match
41.4%Possession19/19●51.3%
3.42 corners/matchCorners19/19●4.95 corners/match
—Cards0/0—
13.3 fouls/matchFouls19/1911.7 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

Real Valladolid10 matchesReal Betis10 matches
0.7 goals/matchGoals scored10/10▲0.8 goals/match
1.2 goals/match▲Goals allowed10/101.4 goals/match
1.02 xG/matchExpected goals10/10▲1.08 xG/match
10.1 shots/matchShots10/1010.6 shots/match
2.1 shots/matchShots on target10/10▲3.6 shots/match
42.8%Possession10/10●49.8%
3.8 corners/matchCorners10/10●4.1 corners/match
—Cards0/0—
13.7 fouls/matchFouls10/1012 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

21.8 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/119.8 days
0 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/10 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidencelimited
Season samples19 / 19home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 11 Jan 2025, 19:15 UTC · analysis-v4
TeamsReal ValladolidReal Betis
CompetitionLa Liga
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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