PitchMath
La Liga · 2024Fri, 17 Jan 2025, 20:00 UTCFull timeFull-time recap
2–1Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricEspanyolReal Valladolid
Shots12 shots/match▲11 shots/match
Shots on target4 shots/match4 shots/match
Expected goals1.01 xG/match1.24 xG/match▲
Possession36%64%●
Corners1 corners/match7 corners/match●
Fouls13 fouls/match16 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

Álvaro Tejero · Espanyol · 23′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedEdu Expósito · Espanyol · 71′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedMario Martín · Real Valladolid · 76′ · 0.01 xG · on targetMarash Kumbulla · Espanyol · 84′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedRaúl Moro · Real Valladolid · 45′ · 0.02 xG · on targetAlejo Véliz · Espanyol · 63′ · 0.02 xG · on targetEdu Expósito · Espanyol · 90′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedRaúl Moro · Real Valladolid · 21′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedSelim Amallah · Real Valladolid · 89′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedMario Martín · Real Valladolid · 17′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedÁlvaro Tejero · Espanyol · 50′ · 0.04 xG · on targetRaúl Moro · Real Valladolid · 51′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedJavi Sánchez · Real Valladolid · 57′ · 0.04 xG · goalEdu Expósito · Espanyol · 90′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedLeandro Cabrera · Espanyol · 7′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedAlejo Véliz · Espanyol · 61′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedJavi Puado · Espanyol · 31′ · 0.14 xG · goalBrian Oliván · Espanyol · 82′ · 0.14 xG · off target or blockedKike Pérez · Real Valladolid · 90′ · 0.18 xG · off target or blockedMarcos André · Real Valladolid · 90′ · 0.19 xG · off target or blockedMarcos André · Real Valladolid · 41′ · 0.20 xG · off target or blockedRoberto Fernández · Espanyol · 74′ · 0.41 xG · goalLucas Rosa · Real Valladolid · 16′ · 0.50 xG · on target
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Espanyol: 12 shots, 4 on target, 1.00 xG. Real Valladolid: 11 shots, 4 on target, 1.28 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.751.50′HT90′Javi Puado · Espanyol · 31′Roberto Fernández · Espanyol · 74′Javi Sánchez · Real Valladolid · 57′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Espanyol 1.00 xG · Real Valladolid 1.28 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Real Valladolid's last-five shots average is below their season average. A second useful context is: Real Valladolid's away-only shot average is below their full-season average. Limitation: The fixture is outside the configured active season.

Real Valladolid's recent record differs from the season

weak

Real Valladolid's last-five shots average is below their season average.

7 shots/match▲ShotsLast 5 · Season8.65 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Shots7 shots/match8.65 shots/match11.3 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Real Valladolid have a visible away split

moderate

Real Valladolid's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

7.2 shots/match▲ShotsAway only · Season8.65 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots7.2 shots/match8.65 shots/match11.3 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Espanyol show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Espanyol's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

9.9 shots/match▲ShotsEspanyol · Real Valladolid8.65 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricEspanyolReal ValladolidBaseline
Shots9.9 shots/match8.65 shots/match11.3 shots/match
Shots against14.3 shots/match15.4 shots/match11.1 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

1Espanyol
0Draws
2Real Valladolid
Real Valladolid — Espanyol · La Liga1–0
Real Valladolid — Espanyol · La Liga2–1
Espanyol — Real Valladolid · La Liga1–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages · sample sizes shown with each metric. Context, not a forecast.

Where the edge is

Espanyol favored in 6 of 13 directional metrics · Real Valladolid in 2 · 5 too close

0.95 goals/match▲Goals scoredseason · 20/200.7 goals/match
1.6 goals/match▲Goals allowedseason · 20/201.95 goals/match
0.89 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 20/20▲0.94 xG/match
1.65 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 20/201.72 xG/match
9.9 shots/match▲Shotsseason · 20/208.65 shots/match
14.3 shots/match▲Shots allowedseason · 20/2015.4 shots/match
2.55 shots/match▲Shots on targetseason · 20/202.2 shots/match
5.25 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 20/205.15 shots/match
40.6%Possessionseason · 20/20●42.6%
4.1 corners/match●Cornersseason · 20/203.6 corners/match
5.3 corners/match▲Corners allowedseason · 20/205.75 corners/match
—Cardsseason · 0/0—
14 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 20/2013.4 fouls/match
—Passesseason · 0/0—
—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—
—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—
—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—
—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—
—Offsidesseason · 0/0—
10%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 20/20▲25%
60%Scoring frequencyseason · 20/2060%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Espanyol2.5
Real Valladolid12.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Espanyol19.2
Real Valladolid5.8
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Espanyol12.5
Real Valladolid4.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Espanyol57.5
Real Valladolid22.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Espanyol77.5
Real Valladolid57.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Espanyol32.5
Real Valladolid12.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Espanyol35
Real Valladolid20
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Season

Espanyol20 matchesReal Valladolid20 matches
0.95 goals/match▲Goals scored20/200.7 goals/match
1.6 goals/match▲Goals allowed20/201.95 goals/match
0.89 xG/matchExpected goals20/20▲0.94 xG/match
9.9 shots/match▲Shots20/208.65 shots/match
2.55 shots/match▲Shots on target20/202.2 shots/match
40.6%Possession20/20●42.6%
4.1 corners/match●Corners20/203.6 corners/match
—Cards0/0—
14 fouls/matchFouls20/2013.4 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

Espanyol11 matchesReal Valladolid10 matches
1.36 goals/match▲Goals scored11/100.7 goals/match
1.18 goals/match▲Goals allowed11/102.7 goals/match
1.14 xG/match▲Expected goals11/100.86 xG/match
10.9 shots/match▲Shots11/107.2 shots/match
3.36 shots/match▲Shots on target11/102.3 shots/match
41.4%Possession11/10●42.3%
4.64 corners/match●Corners11/103.4 corners/match
—Cards0/0—
13.8 fouls/matchFouls11/1013.1 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

6.1 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/16.2 days
1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidencelimited
Season samples20 / 20home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 18 Jan 2025, 00:00 UTC · analysis-v4
TeamsEspanyolReal Valladolid
CompetitionLa Liga
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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