PitchMath
Bundesliga · 2024

FC Augsburg 1–0 VfL Wolfsburg · Bundesliga

1–0Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

FC Augsburg won 1–0.

Shots
913
Shots on target
22
Expected goals
0.840.77
Possession
43%57%

Full time

What the match recorded

FC Augsburg beat VfL Wolfsburg 1–0. Recorded in this match (FC Augsburg – VfL Wolfsburg): shots 9–13, shots on target 2–2, expected goals 0.84–0.77, possession 43%–57%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

VfL Wolfsburg's recent record differs from the season

moderate

VfL Wolfsburg's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

1.2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.88 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.2 goals/match1.88 goals/match1.56 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

FC Augsburg have a visible home split

moderate

FC Augsburg's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

13.6 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season11.2 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots13.6 shots/match11.2 shots/match12.5 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots9 shots13 shotsFC Augsburg 9 shots, VfL Wolfsburg 13 shots
  • Shots on target2 shots2 shotsFC Augsburg 2 shots, VfL Wolfsburg 2 shots
  • Expected goals0.84 xG0.77 xGFC Augsburg 0.84 xG, VfL Wolfsburg 0.77 xG
  • Possession43%57%FC Augsburg 43%, VfL Wolfsburg 57%
  • Corners1 corner4 cornersFC Augsburg 1 corner, VfL Wolfsburg 4 corners
  • Fouls7 fouls9 foulsFC Augsburg 7 fouls, VfL Wolfsburg 9 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Joakim Mæhle · VfL Wolfsburg · 4′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedFrank Onyeka · FC Augsburg · 22′ · 0.01 xG · on targetChrislain Matsima · FC Augsburg · 50′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedMarius Wolf · FC Augsburg · 14′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedElvis Rexhbeçaj · FC Augsburg · 22′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedAlexis Claude-Maurice · FC Augsburg · 37′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedDenis Vavro · VfL Wolfsburg · 66′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedJakub Kamiński · VfL Wolfsburg · 86′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedElvis Rexhbeçaj · FC Augsburg · 61′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedElvis Rexhbeçaj · FC Augsburg · 70′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedJakub Kamiński · VfL Wolfsburg · 90′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedBence Dárdai · VfL Wolfsburg · 56′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedPatrick Wimmer · VfL Wolfsburg · 90′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedJonas Wind · VfL Wolfsburg · 2′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedMaximilian Arnold · VfL Wolfsburg · 59′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedTiago Tomás · VfL Wolfsburg · 79′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedKevin Behrens · VfL Wolfsburg · 90′ · 0.08 xG · on targetPhillip Tietz · FC Augsburg · 64′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedAndreas Skov Olsen · VfL Wolfsburg · 83′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedPatrick Wimmer · VfL Wolfsburg · 81′ · 0.13 xG · off target or blockedPhillip Tietz · FC Augsburg · 70′ · 0.14 xG · off target or blockedTiago Tomás · VfL Wolfsburg · 83′ · 0.16 xG · on targetPhillip Tietz · FC Augsburg · 53′ · 0.37 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

FC Augsburg: 10 shots, 2 on target, 0.74 xG. VfL Wolfsburg: 13 shots, 2 on target, 0.79 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.510′HT90′Phillip Tietz · FC Augsburg · 53′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: FC Augsburg 0.74 xG · VfL Wolfsburg 0.79 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2FC Augsburg
3Draws
0VfL Wolfsburg
VfL Wolfsburg — FC Augsburg · Bundesliga1–1
VfL Wolfsburg — FC Augsburg · Bundesliga1–3
FC Augsburg — VfL Wolfsburg · Bundesliga3–2
VfL Wolfsburg — FC Augsburg · Bundesliga2–2
FC Augsburg — VfL Wolfsburg · Bundesliga1–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: FC Augsburg favored in 5 of 11 directional metrics · VfL Wolfsburg in 5 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

FC Augsburg26 matchesVfL Wolfsburg26 matches
1.12 goals/matchGoals scored26/26▲ 1.88 goals/match
1.35 goals/match ▲Goals allowed26/261.54 goals/match
0.98 xG/matchExpected goals26/26▲ 1.46 xG/match
11.2 shots/matchShots26/26▲ 12.6 shots/match
3.46 shots/matchShots on target26/26▲ 4.38 shots/match
43.1%Possession26/26● 44.9%
4.54 corners/matchCorners26/26● 4.65 corners/match
11.1 fouls/matchFouls26/2610.7 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples26 / 26home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 15 Mar 2025, 18:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Bundesliga

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsFC AugsburgVfL Wolfsburg
CompetitionBundesligaBundesliga 2024/25
Head-to-headFC Augsburg — VfL Wolfsburg
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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