PitchMath
Bundesliga · 2024

Borussia Dortmund 0–1 FC Augsburg · Bundesliga

0–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

FC Augsburg won 0–1.

Shots
156
Shots on target
11
Expected goals
1.230.2
Possession
72%28%

Full time

What the match recorded

FC Augsburg beat Borussia Dortmund 1–0. Recorded in this match (Borussia Dortmund – FC Augsburg): shots 15–6, shots on target 1–1, expected goals 1.23–0.2, possession 72%–28%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

FC Augsburg's recent record differs from the season

moderate

FC Augsburg's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.8 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.12 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.8 goals/match1.12 goals/match1.54 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

FC Augsburg have a visible away split

moderate

FC Augsburg's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

8.85 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season11.3 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots8.85 shots/match11.3 shots/match12.4 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

The teams have contrasting possession records

strong

Borussia Dortmund have recorded the higher season possession share.

61.2% ●PossessionBorussia Dortmund · FC Augsburg43.1%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 18.1 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricBorussia DortmundFC AugsburgBaseline
Possession61.2%43.1%49.1%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots15 shots6 shotsBorussia Dortmund 15 shots, FC Augsburg 6 shots
  • Shots on target1 shot1 shotBorussia Dortmund 1 shot, FC Augsburg 1 shot
  • Expected goals1.23 xG0.2 xGBorussia Dortmund 1.23 xG, FC Augsburg 0.2 xG
  • Possession72%28%Borussia Dortmund 72%, FC Augsburg 28%
  • Corners12 corners3 cornersBorussia Dortmund 12 corners, FC Augsburg 3 corners
  • Fouls6 fouls12 foulsBorussia Dortmund 6 fouls, FC Augsburg 12 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Ramy Bensebaini · Borussia Dortmund · 19′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedJeffrey Gouweleeuw · FC Augsburg · 23′ · 0.01 xG · goalKarim Adeyemi · Borussia Dortmund · 6′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedJamie Gittens · Borussia Dortmund · 30′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedChrislain Matsima · FC Augsburg · 83′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedJulien Duranville · Borussia Dortmund · 89′ · 0.02 xG · on targetSalih Özcan · Borussia Dortmund · 29′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedSamuel Essende · FC Augsburg · 82′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedAlexis Claude-Maurice · FC Augsburg · 72′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedRamy Bensebaini · Borussia Dortmund · 34′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedNico Schlotterbeck · Borussia Dortmund · 50′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedElvis Rexhbeçaj · FC Augsburg · 53′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedSerhou Guirassy · Borussia Dortmund · 86′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedMarcel Sabitzer · Borussia Dortmund · 90′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedSamuel Essende · FC Augsburg · 90′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedSerhou Guirassy · Borussia Dortmund · 90′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedJamie Gittens · Borussia Dortmund · 55′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedPascal Groß · Borussia Dortmund · 50′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedJulian Brandt · Borussia Dortmund · 42′ · 0.13 xG · off target or blockedSerhou Guirassy · Borussia Dortmund · 71′ · 0.26 xG · off target or blockedSerhou Guirassy · Borussia Dortmund · 90′ · 0.30 xG · off target or blocked
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Borussia Dortmund: 15 shots, 1 on target, 1.25 xG. FC Augsburg: 6 shots, 1 on target, 0.21 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.751.50′HT90′Jeffrey Gouweleeuw · FC Augsburg · 23′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Borussia Dortmund 1.25 xG · FC Augsburg 0.21 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

3Borussia Dortmund
1Draws
1FC Augsburg
FC Augsburg — Borussia Dortmund · Bundesliga2–1
Borussia Dortmund — FC Augsburg · Bundesliga5–1
FC Augsburg — Borussia Dortmund · Bundesliga1–1
FC Augsburg — Borussia Dortmund · Bundesliga0–3
Borussia Dortmund — FC Augsburg · Bundesliga4–3

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Borussia Dortmund favored in 9 of 11 directional metrics · FC Augsburg in 2

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Borussia Dortmund25 matchesFC Augsburg25 matches
1.8 goals/match ▲Goals scored25/251.12 goals/match
1.56 goals/matchGoals allowed25/25▲ 1.4 goals/match
1.67 xG/match ▲Expected goals25/250.98 xG/match
13.7 shots/match ▲Shots25/2511.3 shots/match
4.28 shots/match ▲Shots on target25/253.52 shots/match
61.2% ●Possession25/2543.1%
5.68 corners/match ●Corners25/254.68 corners/match
9.76 fouls/matchFouls25/2511.3 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples25 / 25home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 8 Mar 2025, 18:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Bundesliga

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsBorussia DortmundFC Augsburg
CompetitionBundesligaBundesliga 2024/25
Head-to-headBorussia Dortmund — FC Augsburg
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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