PitchMath
UEFA Champions League · 2024

Borussia Dortmund 1–1 Lille · UEFA Champions League

1–1Historical match

Lille

DWWLW

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Borussia Dortmund and Lille drew 1–1.

Shots
79
Shots on target
11
Expected goals
0.270.88
Possession
43%57%

Full time

What the match recorded

Borussia Dortmund and Lille drew 1–1. Recorded in this match (Borussia Dortmund – Lille): shots 7–9, shots on target 1–1, expected goals 0.27–0.88, possession 43%–57%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Lille's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Lille's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.77 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for2.6 goals/match1.77 goals/match1.61 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Lille have a visible away split

moderate

Lille's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

9.14 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season10.8 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots9.14 shots/match10.8 shots/match12.9 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Lille show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Lille's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

13.7 shots/match ▲ShotsBorussia Dortmund · Lille10.8 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricBorussia DortmundLilleBaseline
Shots13.7 shots/match10.8 shots/match12.9 shots/match
Shots against11.9 shots/match11.7 shots/match13 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots7 shots9 shotsBorussia Dortmund 7 shots, Lille 9 shots
  • Shots on target1 shot1 shotBorussia Dortmund 1 shot, Lille 1 shot
  • Expected goals0.27 xG0.88 xGBorussia Dortmund 0.27 xG, Lille 0.88 xG
  • Possession43%57%Borussia Dortmund 43%, Lille 57%
  • Corners5 corners1 cornerBorussia Dortmund 5 corners, Lille 1 corner
  • Fouls14 fouls6 foulsBorussia Dortmund 14 fouls, Lille 6 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Ngal'ayel Mukau · Lille · 26′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedNico Schlotterbeck · Borussia Dortmund · 38′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedAlexsandro Ribeiro · Lille · 8′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedKarim Adeyemi · Borussia Dortmund · 3′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedJulian Brandt · Borussia Dortmund · 45′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedMaximilian Beier · Borussia Dortmund · 74′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedBenjamin André · Lille · 2′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedKarim Adeyemi · Borussia Dortmund · 22′ · 0.04 xG · goalThomas Meunier · Lille · 43′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedEmre Can · Borussia Dortmund · 45′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedEthan Mbappé · Lille · 63′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedSerhou Guirassy · Borussia Dortmund · 10′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedEthan Mbappé · Lille · 54′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedJonathan David · Lille · 53′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedJonathan David · Lille · 88′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedHakon Arnar Haraldsson · Lille · 68′ · 0.42 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Borussia Dortmund: 7 shots, 1 on target, 0.27 xG. Lille: 9 shots, 1 on target, 0.88 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.510′HT90′Karim Adeyemi · Borussia Dortmund · 22′Hakon Arnar Haraldsson · Lille · 68′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Borussia Dortmund 0.27 xG · Lille 0.88 xG.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Borussia Dortmund favored in 8 of 11 directional metrics · Lille in 0 · 3 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Borussia Dortmund11 matchesLille13 matches
2.36 goals/match ▲Goals scored11/131.77 goals/match
1.18 goals/matchGoals allowed11/131.15 goals/match
1.82 xG/match ▲Expected goals11/91.17 xG/match
13.7 shots/match ▲Shots11/1310.8 shots/match
5.82 shots/match ▲Shots on target11/134.31 shots/match
53.5% ●Possession11/1350.8%
6 corners/match ●Corners11/133.69 corners/match
12.2 fouls/matchFouls11/1311.5 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples11 / 13home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Wed, 5 Mar 2025, 00:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in UEFA Champions League

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsBorussia DortmundLille
CompetitionUEFA Champions LeagueUEFA Champions League 2024/25
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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