PitchMath
UEFA Champions League · 2024

PSV Eindhoven 1–7 Arsenal · UEFA Champions League

1–7Historical match

Arsenal

LWWWW

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Arsenal won 1–7.

Shots
1215
Shots on target
28
Expected goals
1.381.91
Possession
53%47%

Full time

What the match recorded

Arsenal beat PSV Eindhoven 7–1. Recorded in this match (PSV Eindhoven – Arsenal): shots 12–15, shots on target 2–8, expected goals 1.38–1.91, possession 53%–47%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Arsenal's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Arsenal's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

4 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season2.56 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for4 goals/match2.56 goals/match1.61 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

PSV Eindhoven have a visible home split

moderate

PSV Eindhoven's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

21.2 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season17.7 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots21.2 shots/match17.7 shots/match12.9 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Both teams have elevated corners records

moderate

Each team's season corners average is above the competition baseline.

5.82 corners/matchCornersPSV Eindhoven · Arsenal● 6 corners/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Both team averages are compared with the same competition baseline.

Window: season

MetricPSV EindhovenArsenalBaseline
Corners5.82 corners/match6 corners/match4.88 corners/match

Caveat: A shared historical pattern is descriptive and may not repeat in one fixture.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots12 shots15 shotsPSV Eindhoven 12 shots, Arsenal 15 shots
  • Shots on target2 shots8 shotsPSV Eindhoven 2 shots, Arsenal 8 shots
  • Expected goals1.38 xG1.91 xGPSV Eindhoven 1.38 xG, Arsenal 1.91 xG
  • Possession53%47%PSV Eindhoven 53%, Arsenal 47%
  • Corners5 corners3 cornersPSV Eindhoven 5 corners, Arsenal 3 corners
  • Fouls9 fouls10 foulsPSV Eindhoven 9 fouls, Arsenal 10 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Tyrell Malacia · PSV Eindhoven · 63′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedRichard Ledezma · PSV Eindhoven · 27′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedNoa Lang · PSV Eindhoven · 51′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedTyrell Malacia · PSV Eindhoven · 75′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedIvan Perišić · PSV Eindhoven · 81′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedJurriën Timber · Arsenal · 31′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedDeclan Rice · Arsenal · 44′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedLeandro Trossard · Arsenal · 55′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedNoa Lang · PSV Eindhoven · 25′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedRyan Flamingo · PSV Eindhoven · 16′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedLuuk de Jong · PSV Eindhoven · 53′ · 0.05 xG · on targetEthan Nwaneri · Arsenal · 60′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedIvan Perišić · PSV Eindhoven · 52′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedEthan Nwaneri · Arsenal · 21′ · 0.07 xG · goalEthan Nwaneri · Arsenal · 56′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedOleksandr Zinchenko · Arsenal · 81′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedMartin Ødegaard · Arsenal · 73′ · 0.09 xG · goalMikel Merino · Arsenal · 31′ · 0.10 xG · goalIsmael Saibari · PSV Eindhoven · 16′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedEthan Nwaneri · Arsenal · 55′ · 0.16 xG · on targetJurriën Timber · Arsenal · 18′ · 0.17 xG · goalLeandro Trossard · Arsenal · 48′ · 0.18 xG · goalGabriel Magalhães · Arsenal · 61′ · 0.19 xG · off target or blockedLuuk de Jong · PSV Eindhoven · 45′ · 0.20 xG · off target or blockedMartin Ødegaard · Arsenal · 47′ · 0.32 xG · goalRiccardo Calafiori · Arsenal · 85′ · 0.39 xG · goalNoa Lang · PSV Eindhoven · 43′ · 0.82 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

PSV Eindhoven: 12 shots, 2 on target, 1.43 xG. Arsenal: 15 shots, 8 on target, 1.97 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0120′HT90′Noa Lang · PSV Eindhoven · 43′Jurriën Timber · Arsenal · 18′Ethan Nwaneri · Arsenal · 21′Mikel Merino · Arsenal · 31′Martin Ødegaard · Arsenal · 47′Leandro Trossard · Arsenal · 48′Martin Ødegaard · Arsenal · 73′Riccardo Calafiori · Arsenal · 85′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: PSV Eindhoven 1.43 xG · Arsenal 1.97 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1PSV Eindhoven
1Draws
2Arsenal
PSV Eindhoven — Arsenal · UEFA Champions League1–1
Arsenal — PSV Eindhoven · UEFA Champions League4–0
PSV Eindhoven — Arsenal · UEFA Europa League2–0
Arsenal — PSV Eindhoven · UEFA Europa League1–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: PSV Eindhoven favored in 3 of 11 directional metrics · Arsenal in 8

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

PSV Eindhoven11 matchesArsenal9 matches
1.82 goals/matchGoals scored11/9▲ 2.56 goals/match
2 goals/matchGoals allowed11/9▲ 0.44 goals/match
1.66 xG/matchExpected goals11/9▲ 1.98 xG/match
17.7 shots/match ▲Shots11/913.6 shots/match
6.64 shots/match ▲Shots on target11/95.67 shots/match
55.5% ●Possession11/952.7%
5.82 corners/matchCorners11/9● 6 corners/match
10.7 fouls/matchFouls11/910.9 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples11 / 9home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Wed, 5 Mar 2025, 00:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in UEFA Champions League

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsPSV EindhovenArsenal
CompetitionUEFA Champions LeagueUEFA Champions League 2024/25
Head-to-headPSV Eindhoven — Arsenal
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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