UEFA Champions League · 2024

Real Madrid 2–1 Atlético Madrid · UEFA Champions League

2–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Real Madrid won 2–1.

Shots
136
Shots on target
72
Expected goals
0.680.2
Possession
51%49%

Full time

What the match recorded

Real Madrid beat Atlético Madrid 2–1. Recorded in this match (Real Madrid – Atlético Madrid): shots 13–6, shots on target 7–2, expected goals 0.68–0.2, possession 51%–49%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Atlético Madrid's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Atlético Madrid's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

3.2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season2.33 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for3.2 goals/match2.33 goals/match1.61 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Real Madrid have a visible home split

moderate

Real Madrid's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

18.2 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season15.5 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots18.2 shots/match15.5 shots/match12.9 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots13 shots6 shotsReal Madrid 13 shots, Atlético Madrid 6 shots
  • Shots on target7 shots2 shotsReal Madrid 7 shots, Atlético Madrid 2 shots
  • Expected goals0.68 xG0.2 xGReal Madrid 0.68 xG, Atlético Madrid 0.2 xG
  • Possession51%49%Real Madrid 51%, Atlético Madrid 49%
  • Corners6 corners3 cornersReal Madrid 6 corners, Atlético Madrid 3 corners
  • Fouls10 fouls13 foulsReal Madrid 10 fouls, Atlético Madrid 13 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Vinícius Júnior · Real Madrid · 22′ · 0.01 xG · on targetAntonio Rüdiger · Real Madrid · 73′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedAntonio Rüdiger · Real Madrid · 36′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedJosé María Giménez · Atlético Madrid · 61′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedFerland Mendy · Real Madrid · 65′ · 0.02 xG · on targetRodrygo · Real Madrid · 69′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedPablo Barrios · Atlético Madrid · 27′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedJulián Alvarez · Atlético Madrid · 32′ · 0.03 xG · goalFederico Valverde · Real Madrid · 45′ · 0.03 xG · on targetKylian Mbappé · Real Madrid · 47′ · 0.03 xG · on targetAntoine Griezmann · Atlético Madrid · 60′ · 0.03 xG · on targetVinícius Júnior · Real Madrid · 90′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedVinícius Júnior · Real Madrid · 13′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedGiuliano Simeone · Atlético Madrid · 17′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedRodrigo De Paul · Atlético Madrid · 53′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedBrahim Díaz · Real Madrid · 55′ · 0.09 xG · goalRaúl Asencio · Real Madrid · 74′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedLuka Modrić · Real Madrid · 90′ · 0.11 xG · on targetRodrygo · Real Madrid · 4′ · 0.16 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Real Madrid: 13 shots, 7 on target, 0.68 xG. Atlético Madrid: 6 shots, 2 on target, 0.21 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.510′HT90′Rodrygo · Real Madrid · 4′Brahim Díaz · Real Madrid · 55′Julián Alvarez · Atlético Madrid · 32′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Real Madrid 0.68 xG · Atlético Madrid 0.21 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Real Madrid
4Draws
1Atlético Madrid
Real Madrid — Atlético Madrid · La Liga1–1
Atlético Madrid — Real Madrid · La Liga1–1
Real Madrid — Atlético Madrid · La Liga1–1
Atlético Madrid — Real Madrid · La Liga3–1
Real Madrid — Atlético Madrid · La Liga1–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Real Madrid favored in 5 of 11 directional metrics · Atlético Madrid in 6

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Real Madrid11 matchesAtlético Madrid9 matches
2.55 goals/match ▲Goals scored11/92.33 goals/match
1.45 goals/match ▲Goals allowed11/91.56 goals/match
2.31 xG/match ▲Expected goals10/91.47 xG/match
15.5 shots/match ▲Shots10/911.8 shots/match
7 shots/match ▲Shots on target10/94.56 shots/match
52.2% ●Possession10/948.7%
6 corners/match ●Corners10/94.67 corners/match
10.6 fouls/matchFouls10/910.1 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples11 / 9home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Wed, 5 Mar 2025, 00:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in UEFA Champions League

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