La Liga · 2024Sat, 1 Mar 2025, 17:30 UTCFull timeFull-time recap

Real Betis

WDLWW

2–1Full-time recap

Real Madrid

WLDDW

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	Real Betis	Real Madrid
Shots	18 shots/match▲	9 shots/match
Shots on target	3 shots/match▲	2 shots/match
Expected goals	2.39 xG/match▲	1.13 xG/match
Possession	42%	58%●
Corners	9 corners/match●	2 corners/match
Fouls	17 fouls/match	12 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

off target
on target
goal
penalty
size = xG

Real Betis: 18 shots, 3 on target, 2.41 xG. Real Madrid: 9 shots, 2 on target, 0.89 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Real Betis 2.41 xG · Real Madrid 0.89 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Real Betis's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. A second useful context is: Real Madrid's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines. Limitation: The fixture is outside the configured active season.

Real Betis's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Real Betis's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2.2 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.31 goals/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

Metric	Last 5	Season	Baseline
Goals for	2.2 goals/match	1.31 goals/match	1.16 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Real Madrid show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Real Madrid's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

13.6 shots/match▲ShotsReal Betis · Real Madrid16.4 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

Metric	Real Betis	Real Madrid	Baseline
Shots	13.6 shots/match	16.4 shots/match	11 shots/match
Shots against	10.8 shots/match	9.62 shots/match	11.1 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Real Betis have a visible home split

moderate

Real Betis's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

16.5 shots/match▲ShotsHome only · Season13.6 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

Metric	Home only	Season	Baseline
Shots	16.5 shots/match	13.6 shots/match	11 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

0Real Betis

3Draws

2Real Madrid

1 Sept 2024Real Madrid — Real Betis · La Liga2–0

25 May 2024Real Madrid — Real Betis · La Liga0–0

9 Dec 2023Real Betis — Real Madrid · La Liga1–1

5 Mar 2023Real Betis — Real Madrid · La Liga0–0

3 Sept 2022Real Madrid — Real Betis · La Liga2–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages · sample sizes shown with each metric. Context, not a forecast.

Where the edge is

Real Betis favored in 1 of 13 directional metrics · Real Madrid in 10 · 2 too close

1.31 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 26/26▲2.12 goals/match

1.27 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 26/26▲0.96 goals/match

1.52 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 26/26▲2 xG/match

1.3 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 26/26▲1.03 xG/match

13.6 shots/matchShotsseason · 26/26▲16.4 shots/match

10.8 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 26/26▲9.62 shots/match

4.69 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 26/26▲6.31 shots/match

3.5 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 26/26▲2.81 shots/match

51.3%Possessionseason · 26/26●61.2%

4.96 corners/matchCornersseason · 26/26●5.62 corners/match

3.88 corners/match▲Corners allowedseason · 26/264.12 corners/match

—Cardsseason · 0/0—

12.3 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 26/268.92 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

23%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 26/26▲38%

81%Scoring frequencyseason · 26/26▲92%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Real Betis67.5

Real Madrid92.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Real Betis75

Real Madrid92.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Real Betis65.8

Real Madrid87.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Real Betis77.5

Real Madrid82.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Real Betis52.5

Real Madrid7.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Real Betis62.5

Real Madrid87.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Real Betis68.8

Real Madrid70

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Season

Real Betis26 matchesReal Madrid26 matches

1.31 goals/matchGoals scored26/26▲2.12 goals/match

1.27 goals/matchGoals allowed26/26▲0.96 goals/match

1.52 xG/matchExpected goals26/26▲2 xG/match

13.6 shots/matchShots26/26▲16.4 shots/match

4.69 shots/matchShots on target26/26▲6.31 shots/match

51.3%Possession26/26●61.2%

4.96 corners/matchCorners26/26●5.62 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

12.3 fouls/matchFouls26/268.92 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

Real Betis13 matchesReal Madrid14 matches

1.62 goals/matchGoals scored13/14▲1.71 goals/match

1.15 goals/matchGoals allowed13/14▲1 goals/match

1.92 xG/match▲Expected goals13/141.56 xG/match

16.5 shots/match▲Shots13/1414.9 shots/match

5.54 shots/matchShots on target13/145.5 shots/match

53%Possession13/14●60.6%

5.54 corners/match●Corners13/144.43 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

11.5 fouls/matchFouls13/149.29 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

6 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/16.09 days

2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidencelimited

Season samples26 / 26home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

The fixture is outside the configured active season.
Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.

Analysis cutoff: Sat, 1 Mar 2025, 21:30 UTC · analysis-v4