PitchMath
La Liga · 2024

Real Betis 2–1 Real Madrid · La Liga

2–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Real Betis won 2–1.

Shots
189
Shots on target
32
Expected goals
2.391.13
Possession
42%58%

Full time

What the match recorded

Real Betis beat Real Madrid 2–1. Recorded in this match (Real Betis – Real Madrid): shots 18–9, shots on target 3–2, expected goals 2.39–1.13, possession 42%–58%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Real Betis's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Real Betis's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2.2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.31 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for2.2 goals/match1.31 goals/match1.16 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Real Madrid show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Real Madrid's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

13.6 shots/match ▲ShotsReal Betis · Real Madrid16.4 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricReal BetisReal MadridBaseline
Shots13.6 shots/match16.4 shots/match11 shots/match
Shots against10.8 shots/match9.62 shots/match11.1 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Real Betis have a visible home split

moderate

Real Betis's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

16.5 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season13.6 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots16.5 shots/match13.6 shots/match11 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots18 shots9 shotsReal Betis 18 shots, Real Madrid 9 shots
  • Shots on target3 shots2 shotsReal Betis 3 shots, Real Madrid 2 shots
  • Expected goals2.39 xG1.13 xGReal Betis 2.39 xG, Real Madrid 1.13 xG
  • Possession42%58%Real Betis 42%, Real Madrid 58%
  • Corners9 corners2 cornersReal Betis 9 corners, Real Madrid 2 corners
  • Fouls17 fouls12 foulsReal Betis 17 fouls, Real Madrid 12 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Youssouf Sabaly · Real Betis · 50′ · 0.00 xG · off target or blockedLucas Vázquez · Real Madrid · 17′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedRicardo Rodríguez · Real Betis · 22′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedIsco · Real Betis · 36′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedSergi Altimira · Real Betis · 43′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMarc Bartra · Real Betis · 26′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedCucho Hernández · Real Betis · 47′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedMarc Bartra · Real Betis · 59′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedVinícius Júnior · Real Madrid · 83′ · 0.03 xG · on targetAntony · Real Betis · 45′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedArda Güler · Real Madrid · 61′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedCucho Hernández · Real Betis · 33′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedRicardo Rodríguez · Real Betis · 58′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedArda Güler · Real Madrid · 79′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedEndrick · Real Madrid · 90′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedJohnny Cardoso · Real Betis · 45′ · 0.06 xG · on targetBrahim Díaz · Real Madrid · 52′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedIsco · Real Betis · 50′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedJohnny Cardoso · Real Betis · 47′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedRodrygo · Real Madrid · 13′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedMarc Bartra · Real Betis · 73′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedEndrick · Real Madrid · 79′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedJesús Rodriguez · Real Betis · 30′ · 0.24 xG · off target or blockedCucho Hernández · Real Betis · 67′ · 0.32 xG · off target or blockedBrahim Díaz · Real Madrid · 10′ · 0.44 xG · goalJohnny Cardoso · Real Betis · 34′ · 0.44 xG · goalIsco · Real Betis · 54′ · 0.82 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Real Betis: 18 shots, 3 on target, 2.41 xG. Real Madrid: 9 shots, 2 on target, 0.89 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.252.50′HT90′Johnny Cardoso · Real Betis · 34′Isco · Real Betis · 54′Brahim Díaz · Real Madrid · 10′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Real Betis 2.41 xG · Real Madrid 0.89 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Real Betis
3Draws
2Real Madrid
Real Madrid — Real Betis · La Liga2–0
Real Madrid — Real Betis · La Liga0–0
Real Betis — Real Madrid · La Liga1–1
Real Betis — Real Madrid · La Liga0–0
Real Madrid — Real Betis · La Liga2–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Real Betis favored in 1 of 11 directional metrics · Real Madrid in 10

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Real Betis26 matchesReal Madrid26 matches
1.31 goals/matchGoals scored26/26▲ 2.12 goals/match
1.27 goals/matchGoals allowed26/26▲ 0.96 goals/match
1.52 xG/matchExpected goals26/26▲ 2 xG/match
13.6 shots/matchShots26/26▲ 16.4 shots/match
4.69 shots/matchShots on target26/26▲ 6.31 shots/match
51.3%Possession26/26● 61.2%
4.96 corners/matchCorners26/26● 5.62 corners/match
12.3 fouls/matchFouls26/268.92 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples26 / 26home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 1 Mar 2025, 21:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in La Liga

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsReal BetisReal Madrid
CompetitionLa LigaLa Liga 2024/25
Head-to-headReal Betis — Real Madrid
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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