PitchMath
La Liga · 2024

Atlético Madrid 1–0 Athletic Club · La Liga

1–0Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Atlético Madrid won 1–0.

Shots
1215
Shots on target
43
Expected goals
2.251.12
Possession
51%49%

Full time

What the match recorded

Atlético Madrid beat Athletic Club 1–0. Recorded in this match (Atlético Madrid – Athletic Club): shots 12–15, shots on target 4–3, expected goals 2.25–1.12, possession 51%–49%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Athletic Club's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Athletic Club's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.69 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for2.6 goals/match1.69 goals/match1.16 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Atlético Madrid have a visible home split

moderate

Atlético Madrid's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

14.6 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season12.1 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots14.6 shots/match12.1 shots/match11 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Athletic Club show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Athletic Club's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

12.1 shots/match ▲ShotsAtlético Madrid · Athletic Club13.8 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricAtlético MadridAthletic ClubBaseline
Shots12.1 shots/match13.8 shots/match11 shots/match
Shots against11 shots/match8.38 shots/match11.1 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots12 shots15 shotsAtlético Madrid 12 shots, Athletic Club 15 shots
  • Shots on target4 shots3 shotsAtlético Madrid 4 shots, Athletic Club 3 shots
  • Expected goals2.25 xG1.12 xGAtlético Madrid 2.25 xG, Athletic Club 1.12 xG
  • Possession51%49%Atlético Madrid 51%, Athletic Club 49%
  • Corners6 corners2 cornersAtlético Madrid 6 corners, Athletic Club 2 corners
  • Fouls7 fouls8 foulsAtlético Madrid 7 fouls, Athletic Club 8 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Nico Williams · Athletic Club · 41′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedRodrigo De Paul · Atlético Madrid · 2′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedÁlex Berenguer · Athletic Club · 38′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedGiuliano Simeone · Atlético Madrid · 43′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedÁngel Correa · Atlético Madrid · 73′ · 0.03 xG · on targetIñaki Williams · Athletic Club · 82′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedRobin Le Normand · Atlético Madrid · 31′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedSamuel Lino · Atlético Madrid · 51′ · 0.04 xG · on targetIñaki Williams · Athletic Club · 22′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedAlexander Sørloth · Atlético Madrid · 37′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedJulián Alvarez · Atlético Madrid · 88′ · 0.05 xG · on targetIñaki Williams · Athletic Club · 39′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedIñigo Ruiz de Galarreta · Athletic Club · 16′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedMikel Jauregizar · Athletic Club · 61′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedBeñat Prados · Athletic Club · 75′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedIñaki Williams · Athletic Club · 11′ · 0.08 xG · on targetBeñat Prados · Athletic Club · 76′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedGorka Guruzeta · Athletic Club · 88′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedIñigo Ruiz de Galarreta · Athletic Club · 16′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedÁlex Berenguer · Athletic Club · 41′ · 0.11 xG · on targetÁlex Berenguer · Athletic Club · 60′ · 0.11 xG · on targetSamuel Lino · Atlético Madrid · 36′ · 0.13 xG · off target or blockedAlexander Sørloth · Atlético Madrid · 41′ · 0.19 xG · off target or blockedIñaki Williams · Athletic Club · 75′ · 0.19 xG · off target or blockedRobin Le Normand · Atlético Madrid · 4′ · 0.51 xG · off target or blockedAlexander Sørloth · Atlético Madrid · 18′ · 0.54 xG · off target or blockedJulián Alvarez · Atlético Madrid · 66′ · 0.63 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Atlético Madrid: 12 shots, 4 on target, 2.25 xG. Athletic Club: 15 shots, 3 on target, 1.13 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.252.50′HT90′Julián Alvarez · Atlético Madrid · 66′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Atlético Madrid 2.25 xG · Athletic Club 1.13 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

4Atlético Madrid
0Draws
1Athletic Club
Athletic Club — Atlético Madrid · La Liga0–1
Atlético Madrid — Athletic Club · La Liga3–1
Athletic Club — Atlético Madrid · La Liga2–0
Atlético Madrid — Athletic Club · La Liga1–0
Athletic Club — Atlético Madrid · La Liga0–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Atlético Madrid favored in 2 of 11 directional metrics · Athletic Club in 2 · 7 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Atlético Madrid26 matchesAthletic Club26 matches
1.65 goals/matchGoals scored26/261.69 goals/match
0.62 goals/match ▲Goals allowed26/260.88 goals/match
1.63 xG/matchExpected goals26/261.58 xG/match
12.1 shots/matchShots26/26▲ 13.8 shots/match
4.5 shots/matchShots on target26/264.65 shots/match
51.3% ●Possession26/2649.1%
4.73 corners/matchCorners26/26● 5.5 corners/match
10.6 fouls/matchFouls26/2612.5 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples26 / 26home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 2 Mar 2025, 00:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in La Liga

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsAtlético MadridAthletic Club
CompetitionLa LigaLa Liga 2024/25
Head-to-headAtlético Madrid — Athletic Club
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

Make a graphic from this match

Creator Studio builds a branded post from this match's recorded data, with its evidence grade and source cutoff carried into the export.

Turn this match into a graphicReady-made from PitchMath data · No sign-up required