La Liga · 2024

Rayo Vallecano 1–1 Sevilla · La Liga

1–1Historical match

Sevilla

DDLWD

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Rayo Vallecano and Sevilla drew 1–1.

Shots
2010
Shots on target
85
Expected goals
2.870.57
Possession
64%36%

Full time

What the match recorded

Rayo Vallecano and Sevilla drew 1–1. Recorded in this match (Rayo Vallecano – Sevilla): shots 20–10, shots on target 8–5, expected goals 2.87–0.57, possession 64%–36%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Rayo Vallecano's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Rayo Vallecano's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.08 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.6 goals/match1.08 goals/match1.16 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Rayo Vallecano have a visible home split

moderate

Rayo Vallecano's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

15.5 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season13.1 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots15.5 shots/match13.1 shots/match11 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Sevilla show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Sevilla's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

13.1 shots/match ▲ShotsRayo Vallecano · Sevilla12.5 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricRayo VallecanoSevillaBaseline
Shots13.1 shots/match12.5 shots/match11 shots/match
Shots against12.5 shots/match11 shots/match11.1 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots20 shots10 shotsRayo Vallecano 20 shots, Sevilla 10 shots
  • Shots on target8 shots5 shotsRayo Vallecano 8 shots, Sevilla 5 shots
  • Expected goals2.87 xG0.57 xGRayo Vallecano 2.87 xG, Sevilla 0.57 xG
  • Possession64%36%Rayo Vallecano 64%, Sevilla 36%
  • Corners6 corners6 cornersRayo Vallecano 6 corners, Sevilla 6 corners
  • Fouls14 fouls9 foulsRayo Vallecano 14 fouls, Sevilla 9 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Adrián Embarba · Rayo Vallecano · 26′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedAdrià Pedrosa · Sevilla · 60′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedAdrià Pedrosa · Sevilla · 1′ · 0.02 xG · on targetPedro Díaz · Rayo Vallecano · 69′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedÓscar Valentín · Rayo Vallecano · 80′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedFlorian Lejeune · Rayo Vallecano · 84′ · 0.02 xG · on targetAdrià Pedrosa · Sevilla · 7′ · 0.03 xG · on targetAdrián Embarba · Rayo Vallecano · 9′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedDodi Lukebakio · Sevilla · 81′ · 0.03 xG · goalKike Salas · Sevilla · 59′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedAndrei Rațiu · Rayo Vallecano · 67′ · 0.04 xG · on targetFlorian Lejeune · Rayo Vallecano · 84′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedKike Salas · Sevilla · 36′ · 0.05 xG · on targetRubén Vargas · Sevilla · 40′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedÁlvaro García · Rayo Vallecano · 54′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedDjibril Sow · Sevilla · 61′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedPathé Ismaël Ciss · Rayo Vallecano · 81′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedSergi Guardiola · Rayo Vallecano · 29′ · 0.06 xG · on targetAndrei Rațiu · Rayo Vallecano · 55′ · 0.06 xG · goalPathé Ismaël Ciss · Rayo Vallecano · 11′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedÁlvaro García · Rayo Vallecano · 85′ · 0.07 xG · on targetAdrián Embarba · Rayo Vallecano · 19′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedFlorian Lejeune · Rayo Vallecano · 49′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedRubén Vargas · Sevilla · 42′ · 0.09 xG · on targetSergi Guardiola · Rayo Vallecano · 85′ · 0.13 xG · off target or blockedRubén Vargas · Sevilla · 46′ · 0.23 xG · off target or blockedSergi Guardiola · Rayo Vallecano · 52′ · 0.31 xG · on targetRandy Nteka · Rayo Vallecano · 19′ · 0.42 xG · on targetÁlvaro García · Rayo Vallecano · 3′ · 0.59 xG · on targetSergi Guardiola · Rayo Vallecano · 90′ · 0.70 xG · off target or blocked
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Rayo Vallecano: 20 shots, 8 on target, 2.85 xG. Sevilla: 10 shots, 5 on target, 0.60 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.530′HT90′Andrei Rațiu · Rayo Vallecano · 55′Dodi Lukebakio · Sevilla · 81′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Rayo Vallecano 2.85 xG · Sevilla 0.60 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Rayo Vallecano
2Draws
2Sevilla
Sevilla — Rayo Vallecano · La Liga1–0
Rayo Vallecano — Sevilla · La Liga1–2
Sevilla — Rayo Vallecano · La Liga2–2
Rayo Vallecano — Sevilla · La Liga1–1
Sevilla — Rayo Vallecano · La Liga0–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Rayo Vallecano favored in 3 of 11 directional metrics · Sevilla in 5 · 3 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Rayo Vallecano26 matchesSevilla26 matches
1.08 goals/matchGoals scored26/26▲ 1.19 goals/match
1.04 goals/match ▲Goals allowed26/261.38 goals/match
1.28 xG/match ▲Expected goals26/261.08 xG/match
13.1 shots/matchShots26/2612.5 shots/match
4 shots/matchShots on target26/263.92 shots/match
50.5%Possession26/26● 52.3%
5.08 corners/matchCorners26/26● 5.19 corners/match
14.4 fouls/matchFouls26/2612 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples26 / 26home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 1 Mar 2025, 19:15 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in La Liga

Make a graphic from this match

Creator Studio builds a branded post from this match's recorded data, with its evidence grade and source cutoff carried into the export.

Turn this match into a graphicReady-made from PitchMath data · No sign-up required