La Liga · 2024Sat, 1 Mar 2025, 13:00 UTCFull timeFull-time recap

Girona FC

LWLLL

2–2Full-time recap

Celta Vigo

DLWDW

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	Girona FC	Celta Vigo
Shots	9 shots/match	10 shots/match▲
Shots on target	6 shots/match	6 shots/match
Expected goals	0.71 xG/match	1.85 xG/match▲
Possession	51%●	49%
Corners	4 corners/match●	2 corners/match
Fouls	8 fouls/match	17 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

off target
on target
goal
penalty
size = xG

Girona FC: 9 shots, 6 on target, 0.62 xG. Celta Vigo: 10 shots, 6 on target, 1.91 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Girona FC 0.62 xG · Celta Vigo 1.91 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Girona FC's last-five goals scored average is below their season average. No second pattern clears the sample and coverage gates. Limitation: The fixture is outside the configured active season.

Girona FC's recent record differs from the season

weak

Girona FC's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

1 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.31 goals/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

Metric	Last 5	Season	Baseline
Goals for	1 goals/match	1.31 goals/match	1.16 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

2Girona FC

2Draws

1Celta Vigo

29 Sept 2024Celta Vigo — Girona FC · La Liga1–1

28 Jan 2024Celta Vigo — Girona FC · La Liga0–1

27 Oct 2023Girona FC — Celta Vigo · La Liga1–0

23 May 2023Celta Vigo — Girona FC · La Liga1–1

26 Aug 2022Girona FC — Celta Vigo · La Liga0–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages · sample sizes shown with each metric. Context, not a forecast.

Where the edge is

Girona FC favored in 1 of 13 directional metrics · Celta Vigo in 7 · 5 too close

1.31 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 26/26▲1.46 goals/match

1.5 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 26/261.54 goals/match

1.18 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 26/26▲1.43 xG/match

1.29 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 26/26▲1.1 xG/match

10.3 shots/matchShotsseason · 26/26▲11.1 shots/match

11.5 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 26/26▲10.9 shots/match

3.73 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 26/26▲4.38 shots/match

3.85 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 26/263.88 shots/match

57.1%●Possessionseason · 26/2653.5%

4.88 corners/match●Cornersseason · 26/263.54 corners/match

3.85 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 26/264.04 corners/match

—Cardsseason · 0/0—

10.8 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 26/2612 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

23%▲Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 26/2619%

69%Scoring frequencyseason · 26/26▲88%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Girona FC87.5

Celta Vigo77.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Girona FC45.8

Celta Vigo64.2

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Girona FC42.5

Celta Vigo40.8

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Girona FC2.5

Celta Vigo22.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Girona FC17.5

Celta Vigo35

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Girona FC62.5

Celta Vigo12.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Girona FC37.5

Celta Vigo41.9

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Season

Girona FC26 matchesCelta Vigo26 matches

1.31 goals/matchGoals scored26/26▲1.46 goals/match

1.5 goals/matchGoals allowed26/261.54 goals/match

1.18 xG/matchExpected goals26/26▲1.43 xG/match

10.3 shots/matchShots26/26▲11.1 shots/match

3.73 shots/matchShots on target26/26▲4.38 shots/match

57.1%●Possession26/2653.5%

4.88 corners/match●Corners26/263.54 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

10.8 fouls/matchFouls26/2612 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

Girona FC13 matchesCelta Vigo13 matches

1.85 goals/match▲Goals scored13/131.23 goals/match

1.54 goals/match▲Goals allowed13/132.08 goals/match

1.62 xG/match▲Expected goals13/131.38 xG/match

11.7 shots/matchShots13/1311.5 shots/match

4.54 shots/match▲Shots on target13/133.85 shots/match

58.5%●Possession13/1355.5%

5.69 corners/match●Corners13/133.38 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

10 fouls/matchFouls13/1312.1 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

5.91 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/17.71 days

1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidencelimited

Season samples26 / 26home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

The fixture is outside the configured active season.
Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.

Analysis cutoff: Sat, 1 Mar 2025, 17:00 UTC · analysis-v4