PitchMath
La Liga · 2024

Celta Vigo 2–1 Leganés · La Liga

2–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Celta Vigo won 2–1.

Shots
712
Shots on target
46
Expected goals
0.981.06
Possession
57%43%

Full time

What the match recorded

Celta Vigo beat Leganés 2–1. Recorded in this match (Celta Vigo – Leganés): shots 7–12, shots on target 4–6, expected goals 0.98–1.06, possession 57%–43%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Celta Vigo's recent record differs from the season

weak

Celta Vigo's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.8 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.48 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.8 goals/match1.48 goals/match1.17 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Celta Vigo show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Celta Vigo's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

11 shots/match ▲ShotsCelta Vigo · Leganés8.11 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricCelta VigoLeganésBaseline
Shots11 shots/match8.11 shots/match10.9 shots/match
Shots against11 shots/match14.9 shots/match11.3 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Celta Vigo have recorded the higher season possession share.

53.7% ●PossessionCelta Vigo · Leganés42.4%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 11.2 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricCelta VigoLeganésBaseline
Possession53.7%42.4%49.8%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots7 shots12 shotsCelta Vigo 7 shots, Leganés 12 shots
  • Shots on target4 shots6 shotsCelta Vigo 4 shots, Leganés 6 shots
  • Expected goals0.98 xG1.06 xGCelta Vigo 0.98 xG, Leganés 1.06 xG
  • Possession57%43%Celta Vigo 57%, Leganés 43%
  • Corners2 corners5 cornersCelta Vigo 2 corners, Leganés 5 corners
  • Fouls10 fouls9 foulsCelta Vigo 10 fouls, Leganés 9 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Diego García · Leganés · 45′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMiguel de la Fuente · Leganés · 72′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedÓscar Rodríguez · Leganés · 28′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedAlfon González · Celta Vigo · 78′ · 0.03 xG · on targetDiego García · Leganés · 31′ · 0.04 xG · on targetBorja Iglesias · Celta Vigo · 36′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedBorja Iglesias · Celta Vigo · 58′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedMiguel de la Fuente · Leganés · 73′ · 0.04 xG · on targetJulián Chicco · Leganés · 90′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedAlfon González · Celta Vigo · 8′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedDiego García · Leganés · 49′ · 0.05 xG · on targetÓscar Mingueza · Celta Vigo · 26′ · 0.06 xG · goalValentin Rosier · Leganés · 56′ · 0.06 xG · on targetSergio Carreira · Celta Vigo · 51′ · 0.09 xG · on targetJavier Hernández · Leganés · 90′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedRenato Tapia · Leganés · 32′ · 0.14 xG · on targetDani Raba · Leganés · 90′ · 0.19 xG · off target or blockedValentin Rosier · Leganés · 19′ · 0.31 xG · goalAlfon González · Celta Vigo · 45′ · 0.57 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Celta Vigo: 7 shots, 4 on target, 0.88 xG. Leganés: 12 shots, 6 on target, 1.05 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.751.50′HT90′Óscar Mingueza · Celta Vigo · 26′Alfon González · Celta Vigo · 45′Valentin Rosier · Leganés · 19′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Celta Vigo 0.88 xG · Leganés 1.05 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Celta Vigo
0Draws
1Leganés
Leganés — Celta Vigo · La Liga3–0

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Celta Vigo favored in 9 of 11 directional metrics · Leganés in 1 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Celta Vigo27 matchesLeganés27 matches
1.48 goals/match ▲Goals scored27/270.89 goals/match
1.52 goals/matchGoals allowed27/271.48 goals/match
1.41 xG/match ▲Expected goals27/270.8 xG/match
11 shots/match ▲Shots27/278.11 shots/match
4.37 shots/match ▲Shots on target27/272.78 shots/match
53.7% ●Possession27/2742.4%
3.48 corners/match ●Corners27/272.78 corners/match
12 fouls/matchFouls27/2713.1 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples27 / 27home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 8 Mar 2025, 17:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in La Liga

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsCelta VigoLeganés
CompetitionLa LigaLa Liga 2024/25
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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