PitchMath
La Liga · 2024

Real Valladolid 0–1 Celta Vigo · La Liga

0–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Celta Vigo won 0–1.

Shots
510
Shots on target
21
Expected goals
0.671.58
Possession
39%61%

Full time

What the match recorded

Celta Vigo beat Real Valladolid 1–0. Recorded in this match (Real Valladolid – Celta Vigo): shots 5–10, shots on target 2–1, expected goals 0.67–1.58, possession 39%–61%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Celta Vigo show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Celta Vigo's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

8.79 shots/match ▲ShotsReal Valladolid · Celta Vigo10.9 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricReal ValladolidCelta VigoBaseline
Shots8.79 shots/match10.9 shots/match11 shots/match
Shots against15.8 shots/match10.8 shots/match11.2 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Real Valladolid's recent record differs from the season

weak

Real Valladolid's last-five shots average is above their season average.

10.2 shots/match ▲ShotsLast 5 · Season8.79 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Shots10.2 shots/match8.79 shots/match11 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Real Valladolid have a visible home split

moderate

Real Valladolid's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

10.1 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season8.79 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots10.1 shots/match8.79 shots/match11 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots5 shots10 shotsReal Valladolid 5 shots, Celta Vigo 10 shots
  • Shots on target2 shots1 shotReal Valladolid 2 shots, Celta Vigo 1 shot
  • Expected goals0.67 xG1.58 xGReal Valladolid 0.67 xG, Celta Vigo 1.58 xG
  • Possession39%61%Real Valladolid 39%, Celta Vigo 61%
  • Corners3 corners4 cornersReal Valladolid 3 corners, Celta Vigo 4 corners
  • Fouls9 fouls15 foulsReal Valladolid 9 fouls, Celta Vigo 15 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Mario Martín · Real Valladolid · 16′ · 0.01 xG · on targetFran Beltrán · Celta Vigo · 23′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedAlfon González · Celta Vigo · 49′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedIago Aspas · Celta Vigo · 11′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedMario Martín · Real Valladolid · 31′ · 0.03 xG · on targetMarcos André · Real Valladolid · 84′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedIago Aspas · Celta Vigo · 54′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedDamián Rodríguez · Celta Vigo · 90′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedFran Beltrán · Celta Vigo · 76′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedFer López · Celta Vigo · 79′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedChuki · Real Valladolid · 90′ · 0.15 xG · off target or blockedBorja Iglesias · Celta Vigo · 6′ · 0.16 xG · off target or blockedBorja Iglesias · Celta Vigo · 45′ · 0.30 xG · off target or blockedMarcos André · Real Valladolid · 77′ · 0.44 xG · off target or blockedMarcos Alonso · Celta Vigo · 83′ · 0.82 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Real Valladolid: 5 shots, 2 on target, 0.68 xG. Celta Vigo: 10 shots, 1 on target, 1.63 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0120′HT90′Marcos Alonso · Celta Vigo · 83′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Real Valladolid 0.68 xG · Celta Vigo 1.63 xG.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Real Valladolid favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · Celta Vigo in 11

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Real Valladolid28 matchesCelta Vigo28 matches
0.64 goals/matchGoals scored28/28▲ 1.46 goals/match
2.25 goals/matchGoals allowed28/28▲ 1.46 goals/match
0.86 xG/matchExpected goals28/28▲ 1.42 xG/match
8.79 shots/matchShots28/28▲ 10.9 shots/match
2.46 shots/matchShots on target28/28▲ 4.25 shots/match
42.8%Possession28/28● 53.9%
3.86 corners/match ●Corners28/283.5 corners/match
12.6 fouls/matchFouls28/2812.1 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples28 / 28home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 15 Mar 2025, 17:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in La Liga

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsReal ValladolidCelta Vigo
CompetitionLa LigaLa Liga 2024/25
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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