Premier League · 2024

Manchester United 1–1 Arsenal · Premier League

1–1Historical match

Arsenal

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A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Manchester United and Arsenal drew 1–1.

Shots
1017
Shots on target
66
Expected goals
1.521.62
Possession
32%68%

Full time

What the match recorded

Manchester United and Arsenal drew 1–1. Recorded in this match (Manchester United – Arsenal): shots 10–17, shots on target 6–6, expected goals 1.52–1.62, possession 32%–68%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Arsenal have a visible away split

moderate

Arsenal's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

11 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season13.9 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots11 shots/match13.9 shots/match13.1 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Manchester United show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Manchester United's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

13 shots/match ▲ShotsManchester United · Arsenal13.9 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricManchester UnitedArsenalBaseline
Shots13 shots/match13.9 shots/match13.1 shots/match
Shots against11.6 shots/match9.79 shots/match12.8 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots10 shots17 shotsManchester United 10 shots, Arsenal 17 shots
  • Shots on target6 shots6 shotsManchester United 6 shots, Arsenal 6 shots
  • Expected goals1.52 xG1.62 xGManchester United 1.52 xG, Arsenal 1.62 xG
  • Possession32%68%Manchester United 32%, Arsenal 68%
  • Corners2 corners9 cornersManchester United 2 corners, Arsenal 9 corners
  • Fouls8 fouls11 foulsManchester United 8 fouls, Arsenal 11 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Casemiro · Manchester United · 48′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedThomas Partey · Arsenal · 27′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedLeandro Trossard · Arsenal · 46′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedLeandro Trossard · Arsenal · 90′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMartin Ødegaard · Arsenal · 20′ · 0.03 xG · on targetLeandro Trossard · Arsenal · 32′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedMartin Ødegaard · Arsenal · 51′ · 0.03 xG · on targetBruno Fernandes · Manchester United · 78′ · 0.03 xG · on targetAlejandro Garnacho · Manchester United · 90′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedAlejandro Garnacho · Manchester United · 15′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedDeclan Rice · Arsenal · 52′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedLeandro Trossard · Arsenal · 66′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedBruno Fernandes · Manchester United · 45′ · 0.07 xG · goalDeclan Rice · Arsenal · 74′ · 0.07 xG · goalGabriel Martinelli · Arsenal · 82′ · 0.07 xG · on targetMartin Ødegaard · Arsenal · 35′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedMatthijs de Ligt · Manchester United · 78′ · 0.09 xG · on targetMikel Merino · Arsenal · 10′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedMartin Ødegaard · Arsenal · 71′ · 0.14 xG · off target or blockedMartin Ødegaard · Arsenal · 90′ · 0.14 xG · on targetNoussair Mazraoui · Manchester United · 54′ · 0.16 xG · on targetLeandro Trossard · Arsenal · 85′ · 0.17 xG · off target or blockedRasmus Højlund · Manchester United · 87′ · 0.20 xG · off target or blockedBruno Fernandes · Manchester United · 90′ · 0.27 xG · on targetGabriel Martinelli · Arsenal · 90′ · 0.29 xG · off target or blockedLeandro Trossard · Arsenal · 34′ · 0.36 xG · on targetJoshua Zirkzee · Manchester United · 59′ · 0.62 xG · on target
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Manchester United: 10 shots, 6 on target, 1.52 xG. Arsenal: 17 shots, 6 on target, 1.67 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0120′HT90′Bruno Fernandes · Manchester United · 45′Declan Rice · Arsenal · 74′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Manchester United 1.52 xG · Arsenal 1.67 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Manchester United
0Draws
4Arsenal
Arsenal — Manchester United · Premier League2–0
Manchester United — Arsenal · Premier League0–1
Arsenal — Manchester United · Premier League3–1
Arsenal — Manchester United · Premier League3–2
Manchester United — Arsenal · Premier League3–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Manchester United favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · Arsenal in 11

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Manchester United28 matchesArsenal28 matches
1.21 goals/matchGoals scored28/28▲ 1.86 goals/match
1.43 goals/matchGoals allowed28/28▲ 0.86 goals/match
1.38 xG/matchExpected goals28/28▲ 1.61 xG/match
13 shots/matchShots28/28▲ 13.9 shots/match
4.57 shots/matchShots on target28/28▲ 4.86 shots/match
52.9%Possession28/28● 56.4%
5 corners/matchCorners28/28● 6.57 corners/match
10.8 fouls/matchFouls28/2811.5 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples28 / 28home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 9 Mar 2025, 20:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Premier League

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