PitchMath
Bundesliga · 2024

SV Werder Bremen 0–0 FC St. Pauli · Bundesliga

0–0Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

SV Werder Bremen and FC St. Pauli drew 0–0.

Shots
1110
Shots on target
24
Expected goals
1.240.62
Possession
51%49%

Full time

What the match recorded

SV Werder Bremen and FC St. Pauli drew 0–0. Recorded in this match (SV Werder Bremen – FC St. Pauli): shots 11–10, shots on target 2–4, expected goals 1.24–0.62, possession 51%–49%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

FC St. Pauli's recent record differs from the season

moderate

FC St. Pauli's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.84 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.2 goals/match0.84 goals/match1.55 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots11 shots10 shotsSV Werder Bremen 11 shots, FC St. Pauli 10 shots
  • Shots on target2 shots4 shotsSV Werder Bremen 2 shots, FC St. Pauli 4 shots
  • Expected goals1.24 xG0.62 xGSV Werder Bremen 1.24 xG, FC St. Pauli 0.62 xG
  • Possession51%49%SV Werder Bremen 51%, FC St. Pauli 49%
  • Corners1 corner3 cornersSV Werder Bremen 1 corner, FC St. Pauli 3 corners
  • Fouls9 fouls16 foulsSV Werder Bremen 9 fouls, FC St. Pauli 16 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Morgan Guilavogui · FC St. Pauli · 9′ · 0.01 xG · on targetCarlo Boukhalfa · FC St. Pauli · 43′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedOliver Burke · SV Werder Bremen · 69′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedLeonardo Bittencourt · SV Werder Bremen · 90′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedRomano Schmid · SV Werder Bremen · 90′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedDanel Sinani · FC St. Pauli · 14′ · 0.02 xG · on targetCarlo Boukhalfa · FC St. Pauli · 30′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedDavid Nemeth · FC St. Pauli · 52′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedConnor Metcalfe · FC St. Pauli · 78′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedOliver Burke · SV Werder Bremen · 71′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedRomano Schmid · SV Werder Bremen · 38′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedHauke Wahl · FC St. Pauli · 41′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedMitchell Weiser · SV Werder Bremen · 4′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedJustin Njinmah · SV Werder Bremen · 34′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedJustin Njinmah · SV Werder Bremen · 58′ · 0.08 xG · on targetPhilipp Treu · FC St. Pauli · 8′ · 0.14 xG · on targetMorgan Guilavogui · FC St. Pauli · 36′ · 0.16 xG · on targetNoah Weißhaupt · FC St. Pauli · 52′ · 0.16 xG · off target or blockedNiklas Stark · SV Werder Bremen · 87′ · 0.20 xG · off target or blockedJustin Njinmah · SV Werder Bremen · 59′ · 0.27 xG · off target or blockedNiklas Stark · SV Werder Bremen · 49′ · 0.31 xG · on target
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

SV Werder Bremen: 11 shots, 2 on target, 1.11 xG. FC St. Pauli: 10 shots, 4 on target, 0.62 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.751.50′HT90′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: SV Werder Bremen 1.11 xG · FC St. Pauli 0.62 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1SV Werder Bremen
2Draws
0FC St. Pauli
FC St. Pauli — SV Werder Bremen · Bundesliga0–2
FC St. Pauli — SV Werder Bremen · 2. Bundesliga1–1
SV Werder Bremen — FC St. Pauli · 2. Bundesliga1–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: SV Werder Bremen favored in 5 of 11 directional metrics · FC St. Pauli in 4 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

SV Werder Bremen31 matchesFC St. Pauli31 matches
1.55 goals/match ▲Goals scored31/310.84 goals/match
1.74 goals/matchGoals allowed31/31▲ 1.16 goals/match
1.46 xG/match ▲Expected goals31/311.06 xG/match
12.3 shots/match ▲Shots31/3111.5 shots/match
4.06 shots/match ▲Shots on target31/313.45 shots/match
49.4% ●Possession31/3144.5%
4.55 corners/match ●Corners31/314.39 corners/match
10 fouls/matchFouls31/3110.4 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples31 / 31home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 27 Apr 2025, 19:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Bundesliga

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsSV Werder BremenFC St. Pauli
CompetitionBundesligaBundesliga 2024/25
Head-to-headSV Werder Bremen — FC St. Pauli
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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