PitchMath
Bundesliga · 2024

VfL Bochum 1848 1–1 1. FC Union Berlin · Bundesliga

1–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

VfL Bochum 1848 and 1. FC Union Berlin drew 1–1.

Shots
105
Shots on target
41
Expected goals
1.510.29
Possession
66%34%

Full time

What the match recorded

VfL Bochum 1848 and 1. FC Union Berlin drew 1–1. Recorded in this match (VfL Bochum 1848 – 1. FC Union Berlin): shots 10–5, shots on target 4–1, expected goals 1.51–0.29, possession 66%–34%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

1. FC Union Berlin's recent record differs from the season

moderate

1. FC Union Berlin's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1 goal/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.6 goals/match1 goal/match1.55 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Both teams have elevated fouls records

moderate

Each team's season fouls average is above the competition baseline.

14 fouls/matchFoulsVfL Bochum 1848 · 1. FC Union Berlin12.7 fouls/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Both team averages are compared with the same competition baseline.

Window: season

MetricVfL Bochum 18481. FC Union BerlinBaseline
Fouls14 fouls/match12.7 fouls/match10.5 fouls/match

Caveat: A shared historical pattern is descriptive and may not repeat in one fixture.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots10 shots5 shotsVfL Bochum 1848 10 shots, 1. FC Union Berlin 5 shots
  • Shots on target4 shots1 shotVfL Bochum 1848 4 shots, 1. FC Union Berlin 1 shot
  • Expected goals1.51 xG0.29 xGVfL Bochum 1848 1.51 xG, 1. FC Union Berlin 0.29 xG
  • Possession66%34%VfL Bochum 1848 66%, 1. FC Union Berlin 34%
  • Corners10 corners4 cornersVfL Bochum 1848 10 corners, 1. FC Union Berlin 4 corners
  • Fouls11 fouls9 foulsVfL Bochum 1848 11 fouls, 1. FC Union Berlin 9 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Tom Krauß · VfL Bochum 1848 · 10′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedBenedict Hollerbach · 1. FC Union Berlin · 17′ · 0.01 xG · goalMaximilian Wittek · VfL Bochum 1848 · 22′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedDani De Wit · VfL Bochum 1848 · 84′ · 0.01 xG · on targetTom Krauß · VfL Bochum 1848 · 56′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMatúš Bero · VfL Bochum 1848 · 57′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedTom Alexander Rothe · 1. FC Union Berlin · 47′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedBenedict Hollerbach · 1. FC Union Berlin · 77′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedBenedict Hollerbach · 1. FC Union Berlin · 77′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedMaximilian Wittek · VfL Bochum 1848 · 7′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedJakov Medić · VfL Bochum 1848 · 32′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedAndrej Ilić · 1. FC Union Berlin · 50′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedDani De Wit · VfL Bochum 1848 · 90′ · 0.32 xG · on targetMatúš Bero · VfL Bochum 1848 · 68′ · 0.70 xG · goalMatúš Bero · VfL Bochum 1848 · 68′ · 0.82 xG · on target
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

VfL Bochum 1848: 10 shots, 4 on target, 2.08 xG. 1. FC Union Berlin: 5 shots, 1 on target, 0.29 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.252.50′HT90′Matúš Bero · VfL Bochum 1848 · 68′Benedict Hollerbach · 1. FC Union Berlin · 17′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: VfL Bochum 1848 2.08 xG · 1. FC Union Berlin 0.29 xG.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: VfL Bochum 1848 favored in 4 of 11 directional metrics · 1. FC Union Berlin in 6 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

VfL Bochum 184831 matches1. FC Union Berlin31 matches
0.97 goals/matchGoals scored31/311 goal/match
2.03 goals/matchGoals allowed31/31▲ 1.45 goals/match
1.24 xG/match ▲Expected goals30/301.08 xG/match
12.9 shots/match ▲Shots30/3012.1 shots/match
4.03 shots/match ▲Shots on target30/303.6 shots/match
45.1% ●Possession30/3039.3%
4.8 corners/match ●Corners30/304.63 corners/match
14 fouls/matchFouls30/3012.7 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples31 / 31home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 27 Apr 2025, 17:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Bundesliga

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsVfL Bochum 18481. FC Union Berlin
CompetitionBundesligaBundesliga 2024/25
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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