PitchMath
Bundesliga · 2024

1. FC Union Berlin 2–2 SV Werder Bremen · Bundesliga

2–2Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

1. FC Union Berlin and SV Werder Bremen drew 2–2.

Shots
1813
Shots on target
86
Expected goals
1.481.56
Possession
40%60%

Full time

What the match recorded

1. FC Union Berlin and SV Werder Bremen drew 2–2. Recorded in this match (1. FC Union Berlin – SV Werder Bremen): shots 18–13, shots on target 8–6, expected goals 1.48–1.56, possession 40%–60%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

1. FC Union Berlin's recent record differs from the season

moderate

1. FC Union Berlin's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.03 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.6 goals/match1.03 goals/match1.56 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

SV Werder Bremen have recorded the higher season possession share.

39.3%Possession1. FC Union Berlin · SV Werder Bremen● 49.8%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 10.4 percentage points.

Window: season

Metric1. FC Union BerlinSV Werder BremenBaseline
Possession39.3%49.8%49.6%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots18 shots13 shots1. FC Union Berlin 18 shots, SV Werder Bremen 13 shots
  • Shots on target8 shots6 shots1. FC Union Berlin 8 shots, SV Werder Bremen 6 shots
  • Expected goals1.48 xG1.56 xG1. FC Union Berlin 1.48 xG, SV Werder Bremen 1.56 xG
  • Possession40%60%1. FC Union Berlin 40%, SV Werder Bremen 60%
  • Corners5 corners5 corners1. FC Union Berlin 5 corners, SV Werder Bremen 5 corners
  • Fouls9 fouls8 fouls1. FC Union Berlin 9 fouls, SV Werder Bremen 8 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Benedict Hollerbach · 1. FC Union Berlin · 34′ · 0.01 xG · on targetTom Alexander Rothe · 1. FC Union Berlin · 45′ · 0.01 xG · on targetChristopher Trimmel · 1. FC Union Berlin · 20′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedLeopold Querfeld · 1. FC Union Berlin · 34′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedSenne Lynen · SV Werder Bremen · 36′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedBenedict Hollerbach · 1. FC Union Berlin · 40′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedBenedict Hollerbach · 1. FC Union Berlin · 50′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedAndrás Schäfer · 1. FC Union Berlin · 72′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedLászló Bénes · 1. FC Union Berlin · 84′ · 0.02 xG · goalJens Stage · SV Werder Bremen · 39′ · 0.03 xG · on targetJanik Haberer · 1. FC Union Berlin · 44′ · 0.03 xG · on targetSenne Lynen · SV Werder Bremen · 78′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedAndrej Ilić · 1. FC Union Berlin · 12′ · 0.04 xG · on targetOliver Burke · SV Werder Bremen · 28′ · 0.04 xG · on targetTom Alexander Rothe · 1. FC Union Berlin · 37′ · 0.04 xG · goalSenne Lynen · SV Werder Bremen · 24′ · 0.06 xG · on targetTom Alexander Rothe · 1. FC Union Berlin · 48′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedMitchell Weiser · SV Werder Bremen · 71′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedBenedict Hollerbach · 1. FC Union Berlin · 87′ · 0.06 xG · on targetJens Stage · SV Werder Bremen · 15′ · 0.07 xG · goalMitchell Weiser · SV Werder Bremen · 51′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedJens Stage · SV Werder Bremen · 60′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedLeopold Querfeld · 1. FC Union Berlin · 76′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedAndrej Ilić · 1. FC Union Berlin · 12′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedBenedict Hollerbach · 1. FC Union Berlin · 51′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedMitchell Weiser · SV Werder Bremen · 20′ · 0.12 xG · on targetMitchell Weiser · SV Werder Bremen · 21′ · 0.22 xG · off target or blockedMarvin Ducksch · SV Werder Bremen · 2′ · 0.28 xG · off target or blockedBenedict Hollerbach · 1. FC Union Berlin · 54′ · 0.40 xG · on targetAndrej Ilić · 1. FC Union Berlin · 69′ · 0.50 xG · off target or blockedJens Stage · SV Werder Bremen · 2′ · 0.66 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

1. FC Union Berlin: 18 shots, 8 on target, 1.52 xG. SV Werder Bremen: 13 shots, 6 on target, 1.73 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0120′HT90′Tom Alexander Rothe · 1. FC Union Berlin · 37′László Bénes · 1. FC Union Berlin · 84′Jens Stage · SV Werder Bremen · 2′Jens Stage · SV Werder Bremen · 15′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: 1. FC Union Berlin 1.52 xG · SV Werder Bremen 1.73 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

31. FC Union Berlin
0Draws
2SV Werder Bremen
SV Werder Bremen — 1. FC Union Berlin · Bundesliga4–1
1. FC Union Berlin — SV Werder Bremen · Bundesliga2–1
SV Werder Bremen — 1. FC Union Berlin · Bundesliga2–0
1. FC Union Berlin — SV Werder Bremen · Bundesliga1–0
SV Werder Bremen — 1. FC Union Berlin · Bundesliga1–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: 1. FC Union Berlin favored in 3 of 11 directional metrics · SV Werder Bremen in 6 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

1. FC Union Berlin32 matchesSV Werder Bremen32 matches
1.03 goals/matchGoals scored32/32▲ 1.56 goals/match
1.47 goals/match ▲Goals allowed32/321.75 goals/match
1.09 xG/matchExpected goals31/32▲ 1.47 xG/match
12.3 shots/matchShots31/3212.3 shots/match
3.74 shots/matchShots on target31/32▲ 4.13 shots/match
39.3%Possession31/32● 49.8%
4.65 corners/match ●Corners31/324.56 corners/match
12.5 fouls/matchFouls31/329.94 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples32 / 32home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 3 May 2025, 17:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Bundesliga

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
Teams1. FC Union BerlinSV Werder Bremen
CompetitionBundesligaBundesliga 2024/25
Head-to-head1. FC Union Berlin — SV Werder Bremen
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

Make a graphic from this match

Creator Studio builds a branded post from this match's recorded data, with its evidence grade and source cutoff carried into the export.

Turn this match into a graphicReady-made from PitchMath data · No sign-up required