PitchMath
Bundesliga · 2024

SC Freiburg 2–2 Bayer 04 Leverkusen · Bundesliga

2–2Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

SC Freiburg and Bayer 04 Leverkusen drew 2–2.

Shots
75
Shots on target
32
Expected goals
0.910.29
Possession
32%68%

Full time

What the match recorded

SC Freiburg and Bayer 04 Leverkusen drew 2–2. Recorded in this match (SC Freiburg – Bayer 04 Leverkusen): shots 7–5, shots on target 3–2, expected goals 0.91–0.29, possession 32%–68%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Bayer 04 Leverkusen's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Bayer 04 Leverkusen's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

1.2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season2.13 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.2 goals/match2.13 goals/match1.55 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Bayer 04 Leverkusen have a visible away split

moderate

Bayer 04 Leverkusen's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

12.6 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season14.9 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots12.6 shots/match14.9 shots/match12.3 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

SC Freiburg show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

SC Freiburg's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

12.3 shots/match ▲ShotsSC Freiburg · Bayer 04 Leverkusen14.9 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricSC FreiburgBayer 04 LeverkusenBaseline
Shots12.3 shots/match14.9 shots/match12.3 shots/match
Shots against12.7 shots/match9.53 shots/match13.6 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots7 shots5 shotsSC Freiburg 7 shots, Bayer 04 Leverkusen 5 shots
  • Shots on target3 shots2 shotsSC Freiburg 3 shots, Bayer 04 Leverkusen 2 shots
  • Expected goals0.91 xG0.29 xGSC Freiburg 0.91 xG, Bayer 04 Leverkusen 0.29 xG
  • Possession32%68%SC Freiburg 32%, Bayer 04 Leverkusen 68%
  • Corners4 corners1 cornerSC Freiburg 4 corners, Bayer 04 Leverkusen 1 corner
  • Fouls10 fouls16 foulsSC Freiburg 10 fouls, Bayer 04 Leverkusen 16 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1SC Freiburg
1Draws
3Bayer 04 Leverkusen
Bayer 04 Leverkusen — SC Freiburg · Bundesliga5–1
SC Freiburg — Bayer 04 Leverkusen · Bundesliga2–3
Bayer 04 Leverkusen — SC Freiburg · Bundesliga2–1
SC Freiburg — Bayer 04 Leverkusen · Bundesliga1–1
Bayer 04 Leverkusen — SC Freiburg · Bundesliga2–3

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: SC Freiburg favored in 1 of 11 directional metrics · Bayer 04 Leverkusen in 10

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

SC Freiburg32 matchesBayer 04 Leverkusen32 matches
1.44 goals/matchGoals scored32/32▲ 2.13 goals/match
1.53 goals/matchGoals allowed32/32▲ 1.16 goals/match
1.34 xG/matchExpected goals32/32▲ 1.71 xG/match
12.3 shots/matchShots32/32▲ 14.9 shots/match
4.34 shots/matchShots on target32/32▲ 5.53 shots/match
48.7%Possession32/32● 59.6%
3.84 corners/matchCorners32/32● 6.28 corners/match
9.06 fouls/matchFouls32/329.53 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples32 / 32home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 4 May 2025, 19:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Bundesliga

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsSC FreiburgBayer 04 Leverkusen
CompetitionBundesligaBundesliga 2024/25
Head-to-headSC Freiburg — Bayer 04 Leverkusen
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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