Bundesliga · 2024

1. FSV Mainz 05 1–1 Eintracht Frankfurt · Bundesliga

1–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

1. FSV Mainz 05 and Eintracht Frankfurt drew 1–1.

Shots
128
Shots on target
32
Expected goals
1.451.39
Possession
65%35%

Full time

What the match recorded

1. FSV Mainz 05 and Eintracht Frankfurt drew 1–1. Recorded in this match (1. FSV Mainz 05 – Eintracht Frankfurt): shots 12–8, shots on target 3–2, expected goals 1.45–1.39, possession 65%–35%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

1. FSV Mainz 05's recent record differs from the season

moderate

1. FSV Mainz 05's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.8 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.53 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.8 goals/match1.53 goals/match1.55 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots12 shots8 shots1. FSV Mainz 05 12 shots, Eintracht Frankfurt 8 shots
  • Shots on target3 shots2 shots1. FSV Mainz 05 3 shots, Eintracht Frankfurt 2 shots
  • Expected goals1.45 xG1.39 xG1. FSV Mainz 05 1.45 xG, Eintracht Frankfurt 1.39 xG
  • Possession65%35%1. FSV Mainz 05 65%, Eintracht Frankfurt 35%
  • Corners8 corners1 corner1. FSV Mainz 05 8 corners, Eintracht Frankfurt 1 corner
  • Fouls10 fouls10 fouls1. FSV Mainz 05 10 fouls, Eintracht Frankfurt 10 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Nadiem Amiri · 1. FSV Mainz 05 · 59′ · 0.01 xG · on targetStefan Bell · 1. FSV Mainz 05 · 77′ · 0.02 xG · on targetHugo Ekitiké · Eintracht Frankfurt · 45′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedKaishu Sano · 1. FSV Mainz 05 · 61′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedHugo Larsson · Eintracht Frankfurt · 45′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedFarès Chaïbi · Eintracht Frankfurt · 82′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedStefan Bell · 1. FSV Mainz 05 · 34′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedJae-sung Lee · 1. FSV Mainz 05 · 37′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedAnsgar Knauff · Eintracht Frankfurt · 45′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedJonathan Burkardt · 1. FSV Mainz 05 · 90′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedAndreas Hanche Olsen · 1. FSV Mainz 05 · 34′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedHugo Ekitiké · Eintracht Frankfurt · 1′ · 0.10 xG · on targetNelson Weiper · 1. FSV Mainz 05 · 90′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedHugo Ekitiké · Eintracht Frankfurt · 69′ · 0.13 xG · off target or blockedNadiem Amiri · 1. FSV Mainz 05 · 85′ · 0.14 xG · off target or blockedJonathan Burkardt · 1. FSV Mainz 05 · 90′ · 0.14 xG · off target or blockedJonathan Burkardt · 1. FSV Mainz 05 · 57′ · 0.32 xG · goalJae-sung Lee · 1. FSV Mainz 05 · 45′ · 0.36 xG · off target or blockedHugo Ekitiké · Eintracht Frankfurt · 88′ · 0.40 xG · off target or blockedRasmus Kristensen · Eintracht Frankfurt · 16′ · 0.46 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

1. FSV Mainz 05: 12 shots, 3 on target, 1.42 xG. Eintracht Frankfurt: 8 shots, 2 on target, 1.30 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.751.50′HT90′Jonathan Burkardt · 1. FSV Mainz 05 · 57′Rasmus Kristensen · Eintracht Frankfurt · 16′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: 1. FSV Mainz 05 1.42 xG · Eintracht Frankfurt 1.30 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

11. FSV Mainz 05
2Draws
2Eintracht Frankfurt
Eintracht Frankfurt — 1. FSV Mainz 05 · Bundesliga1–3
Eintracht Frankfurt — 1. FSV Mainz 05 · Bundesliga1–0
1. FSV Mainz 05 — Eintracht Frankfurt · Bundesliga1–1
Eintracht Frankfurt — 1. FSV Mainz 05 · Bundesliga3–0
1. FSV Mainz 05 — Eintracht Frankfurt · Bundesliga1–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: 1. FSV Mainz 05 favored in 2 of 11 directional metrics · Eintracht Frankfurt in 5 · 4 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

1. FSV Mainz 0532 matchesEintracht Frankfurt32 matches
1.53 goals/matchGoals scored32/32▲ 1.97 goals/match
1.25 goals/match ▲Goals allowed32/321.34 goals/match
1.45 xG/matchExpected goals32/32▲ 1.94 xG/match
11.8 shots/matchShots32/32▲ 14.4 shots/match
4.25 shots/matchShots on target32/32▲ 5.34 shots/match
50.3% ●Possession32/3249.5%
4.72 corners/matchCorners32/32● 4.94 corners/match
12.1 fouls/matchFouls32/329.81 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples32 / 32home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 4 May 2025, 21:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Bundesliga

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