PitchMath
Bundesliga · 2024

1. FC Union Berlin 0–3 1. FC Heidenheim · Bundesliga

0–3Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

1. FC Heidenheim won 0–3.

Shots
108
Shots on target
14
Expected goals
0.451.12
Possession
50%50%

Full time

What the match recorded

1. FC Heidenheim beat 1. FC Union Berlin 3–0. Recorded in this match (1. FC Union Berlin – 1. FC Heidenheim): shots 10–8, shots on target 1–4, expected goals 0.45–1.12, possession 50%–50%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

1. FC Union Berlin's recent record differs from the season

moderate

1. FC Union Berlin's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.4 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1 goal/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.4 goals/match1 goal/match1.53 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots10 shots8 shots1. FC Union Berlin 10 shots, 1. FC Heidenheim 8 shots
  • Shots on target1 shot4 shots1. FC Union Berlin 1 shot, 1. FC Heidenheim 4 shots
  • Expected goals0.45 xG1.12 xG1. FC Union Berlin 0.45 xG, 1. FC Heidenheim 1.12 xG
  • Possession50%50%1. FC Union Berlin 50%, 1. FC Heidenheim 50%
  • Corners1 corner2 corners1. FC Union Berlin 1 corner, 1. FC Heidenheim 2 corners
  • Fouls14 fouls7 fouls1. FC Union Berlin 14 fouls, 1. FC Heidenheim 7 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Christopher Trimmel · 1. FC Union Berlin · 19′ · 0.02 xG · on targetJosip Juranović · 1. FC Union Berlin · 90′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedFrans Krätzig · 1. FC Heidenheim · 69′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedDavid Preu · 1. FC Union Berlin · 89′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedLászló Bénes · 1. FC Union Berlin · 15′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedBenedict Hollerbach · 1. FC Union Berlin · 65′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedAndrás Schäfer · 1. FC Union Berlin · 82′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedLászló Bénes · 1. FC Union Berlin · 49′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedAdrian Beck · 1. FC Heidenheim · 50′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedAdrian Beck · 1. FC Heidenheim · 71′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedAndrej Ilić · 1. FC Union Berlin · 41′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedBenedict Hollerbach · 1. FC Union Berlin · 90′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedAdrian Beck · 1. FC Heidenheim · 73′ · 0.08 xG · goalMarvin Pieringer · 1. FC Heidenheim · 72′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedDavid Preu · 1. FC Union Berlin · 87′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedPatrick Mainka · 1. FC Heidenheim · 70′ · 0.16 xG · on targetAdrian Beck · 1. FC Heidenheim · 12′ · 0.30 xG · goalJan Schöppner · 1. FC Heidenheim · 56′ · 0.36 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

1. FC Union Berlin: 10 shots, 1 on target, 0.46 xG. 1. FC Heidenheim: 8 shots, 4 on target, 1.13 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.751.50′HT90′Adrian Beck · 1. FC Heidenheim · 12′Jan Schöppner · 1. FC Heidenheim · 56′Adrian Beck · 1. FC Heidenheim · 73′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: 1. FC Union Berlin 0.46 xG · 1. FC Heidenheim 1.13 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

01. FC Union Berlin
1Draws
21. FC Heidenheim
1. FC Heidenheim — 1. FC Union Berlin · Bundesliga2–0
1. FC Union Berlin — 1. FC Heidenheim · Bundesliga2–2
1. FC Heidenheim — 1. FC Union Berlin · Bundesliga1–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: 1. FC Union Berlin favored in 5 of 11 directional metrics · 1. FC Heidenheim in 3 · 3 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

1. FC Union Berlin33 matches1. FC Heidenheim33 matches
1 goal/matchGoals scored33/33▲ 1.09 goals/match
1.52 goals/match ▲Goals allowed33/331.82 goals/match
1.07 xG/matchExpected goals32/33▲ 1.17 xG/match
12.2 shots/match ▲Shots32/3311.5 shots/match
3.66 shots/matchShots on target32/333.76 shots/match
39.7%Possession32/33● 43%
4.53 corners/match ●Corners32/334.03 corners/match
12.6 fouls/matchFouls32/3311.3 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples33 / 33home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 10 May 2025, 17:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Bundesliga

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
Teams1. FC Union Berlin1. FC Heidenheim
CompetitionBundesligaBundesliga 2024/25
Head-to-head1. FC Union Berlin — 1. FC Heidenheim
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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