PitchMath
Bundesliga · 2024

FC Augsburg 1–2 1. FC Union Berlin · Bundesliga

1–2Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

1. FC Union Berlin won 1–2.

Shots
195
Shots on target
43
Expected goals
1.70.82
Possession
63%37%

Full time

What the match recorded

1. FC Union Berlin beat FC Augsburg 2–1. Recorded in this match (FC Augsburg – 1. FC Union Berlin): shots 19–5, shots on target 4–3, expected goals 1.7–0.82, possession 63%–37%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

1. FC Union Berlin's recent record differs from the season

moderate

1. FC Union Berlin's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.8 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.03 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.8 goals/match1.03 goals/match1.57 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

FC Augsburg have a visible home split

moderate

FC Augsburg's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

14.2 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season11.7 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots14.2 shots/match11.7 shots/match12.5 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots19 shots5 shotsFC Augsburg 19 shots, 1. FC Union Berlin 5 shots
  • Shots on target4 shots3 shotsFC Augsburg 4 shots, 1. FC Union Berlin 3 shots
  • Expected goals1.7 xG0.82 xGFC Augsburg 1.7 xG, 1. FC Union Berlin 0.82 xG
  • Possession63%37%FC Augsburg 63%, 1. FC Union Berlin 37%
  • Corners4 corners0 cornersFC Augsburg 4 corners, 1. FC Union Berlin 0 corners
  • Fouls6 fouls5 foulsFC Augsburg 6 fouls, 1. FC Union Berlin 5 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Rani Khedira · 1. FC Union Berlin · 10′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedKristijan Jakić · FC Augsburg · 59′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedAlexis Claude-Maurice · FC Augsburg · 57′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMert Kömür · FC Augsburg · 62′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedCedric Zesiger · FC Augsburg · 78′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedLászló Bénes · 1. FC Union Berlin · 90′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedAlexis Claude-Maurice · FC Augsburg · 46′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedFredrik Jensen · FC Augsburg · 90′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedBenedict Hollerbach · 1. FC Union Berlin · 68′ · 0.04 xG · on targetElvis Rexhbeçaj · FC Augsburg · 83′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedKristijan Jakić · FC Augsburg · 7′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedPhillip Tietz · FC Augsburg · 1′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedJeffrey Gouweleeuw · FC Augsburg · 72′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedPhillip Tietz · FC Augsburg · 32′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedAlexis Claude-Maurice · FC Augsburg · 43′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedPhillip Tietz · FC Augsburg · 6′ · 0.10 xG · on targetJeffrey Gouweleeuw · FC Augsburg · 34′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedSteve Mounié · FC Augsburg · 83′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedJeffrey Gouweleeuw · FC Augsburg · 78′ · 0.12 xG · on targetAndrej Ilić · 1. FC Union Berlin · 90′ · 0.14 xG · goalPhillip Tietz · FC Augsburg · 41′ · 0.16 xG · goalAlexis Claude-Maurice · FC Augsburg · 42′ · 0.29 xG · on targetCedric Zesiger · FC Augsburg · 52′ · 0.32 xG · off target or blockedAndrej Ilić · 1. FC Union Berlin · 69′ · 0.64 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

FC Augsburg: 19 shots, 4 on target, 1.70 xG. 1. FC Union Berlin: 5 shots, 3 on target, 0.85 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0120′HT90′Phillip Tietz · FC Augsburg · 41′Andrej Ilić · 1. FC Union Berlin · 69′Andrej Ilić · 1. FC Union Berlin · 90′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: FC Augsburg 1.70 xG · 1. FC Union Berlin 0.85 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

3FC Augsburg
2Draws
01. FC Union Berlin
1. FC Union Berlin — FC Augsburg · Bundesliga0–2
FC Augsburg — 1. FC Union Berlin · Bundesliga2–0
1. FC Union Berlin — FC Augsburg · Bundesliga1–1
FC Augsburg — 1. FC Union Berlin · Bundesliga1–0
1. FC Union Berlin — FC Augsburg · Bundesliga2–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: FC Augsburg favored in 2 of 11 directional metrics · 1. FC Union Berlin in 2 · 7 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

FC Augsburg34 matches1. FC Union Berlin34 matches
1.03 goals/matchGoals scored34/341.03 goals/match
1.5 goals/matchGoals allowed34/341.5 goals/match
1.01 xG/matchExpected goals34/331.06 xG/match
11.7 shots/matchShots34/3312 shots/match
3.53 shots/matchShots on target34/333.64 shots/match
44% ●Possession34/3339.6%
4.59 corners/match ●Corners34/334.39 corners/match
10.3 fouls/matchFouls34/3312.4 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples34 / 34home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 17 May 2025, 17:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Bundesliga

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsFC Augsburg1. FC Union Berlin
CompetitionBundesligaBundesliga 2024/25
Head-to-headFC Augsburg — 1. FC Union Berlin
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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