PitchMath
Bundesliga · 2024

TSG Hoffenheim 0–4 FC Bayern München · Bundesliga

0–4Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

FC Bayern München won 0–4.

Shots
614
Shots on target
25
Expected goals
0.41.45
Possession
33%67%

Full time

What the match recorded

FC Bayern München beat TSG Hoffenheim 4–0. Recorded in this match (TSG Hoffenheim – FC Bayern München): shots 6–14, shots on target 2–5, expected goals 0.4–1.45, possession 33%–67%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

TSG Hoffenheim's recent record differs from the season

moderate

TSG Hoffenheim's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.35 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for2 goals/match1.35 goals/match1.57 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

FC Bayern München show a distinct attacking-volume record

strong

FC Bayern München's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

13.1 shots/match ▲ShotsTSG Hoffenheim · FC Bayern München18.9 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricTSG HoffenheimFC Bayern MünchenBaseline
Shots13.1 shots/match18.9 shots/match12.5 shots/match
Shots against14.3 shots/match6.68 shots/match13.6 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

strong

FC Bayern München have recorded the higher season possession share.

48.8%PossessionTSG Hoffenheim · FC Bayern München● 68.4%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 19.6 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricTSG HoffenheimFC Bayern MünchenBaseline
Possession48.8%68.4%49.3%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots6 shots14 shotsTSG Hoffenheim 6 shots, FC Bayern München 14 shots
  • Shots on target2 shots5 shotsTSG Hoffenheim 2 shots, FC Bayern München 5 shots
  • Expected goals0.4 xG1.45 xGTSG Hoffenheim 0.4 xG, FC Bayern München 1.45 xG
  • Possession33%67%TSG Hoffenheim 33%, FC Bayern München 67%
  • Corners1 corner4 cornersTSG Hoffenheim 1 corner, FC Bayern München 4 corners
  • Fouls9 fouls7 foulsTSG Hoffenheim 9 fouls, FC Bayern München 7 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Konrad Laimer · FC Bayern München · 20′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedJoshua Kimmich · FC Bayern München · 58′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedKevin Akpoguma · TSG Hoffenheim · 85′ · 0.02 xG · on targetMichael Olise · FC Bayern München · 88′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedSerge Gnabry · FC Bayern München · 21′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedMichael Olise · FC Bayern München · 33′ · 0.05 xG · goalJoshua Kimmich · FC Bayern München · 53′ · 0.05 xG · goalSerge Gnabry · FC Bayern München · 55′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedAndrej Kramarić · TSG Hoffenheim · 66′ · 0.05 xG · on targetBazoumana Touré · TSG Hoffenheim · 73′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedAdam Hložek · TSG Hoffenheim · 36′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedMichael Olise · FC Bayern München · 45′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedLeo Østigård · TSG Hoffenheim · 66′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedThomas Müller · FC Bayern München · 45′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedHarry Kane · FC Bayern München · 80′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedSerge Gnabry · FC Bayern München · 80′ · 0.13 xG · goalAndrej Kramarić · TSG Hoffenheim · 50′ · 0.15 xG · off target or blockedHarry Kane · FC Bayern München · 86′ · 0.21 xG · goalSerge Gnabry · FC Bayern München · 60′ · 0.27 xG · off target or blockedLeroy Sané · FC Bayern München · 90′ · 0.32 xG · on target
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

TSG Hoffenheim: 6 shots, 2 on target, 0.40 xG. FC Bayern München: 14 shots, 5 on target, 1.46 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.751.50′HT90′Michael Olise · FC Bayern München · 33′Joshua Kimmich · FC Bayern München · 53′Serge Gnabry · FC Bayern München · 80′Harry Kane · FC Bayern München · 86′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: TSG Hoffenheim 0.40 xG · FC Bayern München 1.46 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1TSG Hoffenheim
1Draws
3FC Bayern München
FC Bayern München — TSG Hoffenheim · Bundesliga5–0
TSG Hoffenheim — FC Bayern München · Bundesliga4–2
FC Bayern München — TSG Hoffenheim · Bundesliga3–0
FC Bayern München — TSG Hoffenheim · Bundesliga1–1
TSG Hoffenheim — FC Bayern München · Bundesliga0–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: TSG Hoffenheim favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · FC Bayern München in 11

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

TSG Hoffenheim34 matchesFC Bayern München34 matches
1.35 goals/matchGoals scored34/34▲ 2.91 goals/match
2 goals/matchGoals allowed34/34▲ 0.94 goals/match
1.28 xG/matchExpected goals34/34▲ 2.39 xG/match
13.1 shots/matchShots34/34▲ 18.9 shots/match
4.53 shots/matchShots on target34/34▲ 7.85 shots/match
48.8%Possession34/34● 68.4%
4.62 corners/matchCorners34/34● 6.47 corners/match
11.4 fouls/matchFouls34/348.59 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples34 / 34home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 17 May 2025, 17:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Bundesliga

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsTSG HoffenheimFC Bayern München
CompetitionBundesligaBundesliga 2024/25
Head-to-headTSG Hoffenheim — FC Bayern München
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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