PitchMath
Bundesliga · 2024

VfL Wolfsburg 2–2 TSG Hoffenheim · Bundesliga

2–2Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

VfL Wolfsburg and TSG Hoffenheim drew 2–2.

Shots
1417
Shots on target
57
Expected goals
0.981.37
Possession
55%45%

Full time

What the match recorded

VfL Wolfsburg and TSG Hoffenheim drew 2–2. Recorded in this match (VfL Wolfsburg – TSG Hoffenheim): shots 14–17, shots on target 5–7, expected goals 0.98–1.37, possession 55%–45%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

TSG Hoffenheim's recent record differs from the season

moderate

TSG Hoffenheim's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2.4 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.39 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for2.4 goals/match1.39 goals/match1.55 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots14 shots17 shotsVfL Wolfsburg 14 shots, TSG Hoffenheim 17 shots
  • Shots on target5 shots7 shotsVfL Wolfsburg 5 shots, TSG Hoffenheim 7 shots
  • Expected goals0.98 xG1.37 xGVfL Wolfsburg 0.98 xG, TSG Hoffenheim 1.37 xG
  • Possession55%45%VfL Wolfsburg 55%, TSG Hoffenheim 45%
  • Corners5 corners6 cornersVfL Wolfsburg 5 corners, TSG Hoffenheim 6 corners
  • Fouls11 fouls10 foulsVfL Wolfsburg 11 fouls, TSG Hoffenheim 10 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

3VfL Wolfsburg
1Draws
1TSG Hoffenheim
TSG Hoffenheim — VfL Wolfsburg · Bundesliga0–1
VfL Wolfsburg — TSG Hoffenheim · Bundesliga2–2
TSG Hoffenheim — VfL Wolfsburg · Bundesliga3–1
VfL Wolfsburg — TSG Hoffenheim · Bundesliga2–1
TSG Hoffenheim — VfL Wolfsburg · Bundesliga1–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: VfL Wolfsburg favored in 7 of 11 directional metrics · TSG Hoffenheim in 1 · 3 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

VfL Wolfsburg33 matchesTSG Hoffenheim33 matches
1.67 goals/match ▲Goals scored33/331.39 goals/match
1.64 goals/match ▲Goals allowed33/331.94 goals/match
1.41 xG/match ▲Expected goals33/331.31 xG/match
12.6 shots/matchShots33/3313.3 shots/match
4.15 shots/matchShots on target33/33▲ 4.61 shots/match
46.1%Possession33/33● 49.2%
4.64 corners/matchCorners33/33● 4.73 corners/match
10.5 fouls/matchFouls33/3311.5 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples33 / 33home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Fri, 9 May 2025, 22:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Bundesliga

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsVfL WolfsburgTSG Hoffenheim
CompetitionBundesligaBundesliga 2024/25
Head-to-headVfL Wolfsburg — TSG Hoffenheim
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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