PitchMath
Bundesliga · 2024

Borussia M'gladbach 0–1 VfL Wolfsburg · Bundesliga

0–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

VfL Wolfsburg won 0–1.

Shots
1617
Shots on target
36
Expected goals
0.921.72
Possession
59%41%

Full time

What the match recorded

VfL Wolfsburg beat Borussia M'gladbach 1–0. Recorded in this match (Borussia M'gladbach – VfL Wolfsburg): shots 16–17, shots on target 3–6, expected goals 0.92–1.72, possession 59%–41%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

VfL Wolfsburg's recent record differs from the season

moderate

VfL Wolfsburg's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

1 goal/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.65 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1 goal/match1.65 goals/match1.57 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

VfL Wolfsburg show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

VfL Wolfsburg's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

12.3 shots/match ▲ShotsBorussia M'gladbach · VfL Wolfsburg12.8 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricBorussia M'gladbachVfL WolfsburgBaseline
Shots12.3 shots/match12.8 shots/match12.5 shots/match
Shots against17.2 shots/match13.8 shots/match13.6 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots16 shots17 shotsBorussia M'gladbach 16 shots, VfL Wolfsburg 17 shots
  • Shots on target3 shots6 shotsBorussia M'gladbach 3 shots, VfL Wolfsburg 6 shots
  • Expected goals0.92 xG1.72 xGBorussia M'gladbach 0.92 xG, VfL Wolfsburg 1.72 xG
  • Possession59%41%Borussia M'gladbach 59%, VfL Wolfsburg 41%
  • Corners7 corners10 cornersBorussia M'gladbach 7 corners, VfL Wolfsburg 10 corners
  • Fouls6 fouls4 foulsBorussia M'gladbach 6 fouls, VfL Wolfsburg 4 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Philipp Sander · Borussia M'gladbach · 30′ · 0.01 xG · on targetMohamed Amoura · VfL Wolfsburg · 23′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedRobin Hack · Borussia M'gladbach · 29′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMaximilian Arnold · VfL Wolfsburg · 42′ · 0.02 xG · on targetKevin Behrens · VfL Wolfsburg · 84′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedKo Itakura · Borussia M'gladbach · 89′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedPhilipp Sander · Borussia M'gladbach · 5′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedPatrick Wimmer · VfL Wolfsburg · 35′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedJakub Kamiński · VfL Wolfsburg · 60′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedLovro Majer · VfL Wolfsburg · 8′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedPatrick Wimmer · VfL Wolfsburg · 28′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedRobin Hack · Borussia M'gladbach · 45′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedJoakim Mæhle · VfL Wolfsburg · 55′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedRobin Hack · Borussia M'gladbach · 66′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedFranck Honorat · Borussia M'gladbach · 66′ · 0.04 xG · on targetShio Fukuda · Borussia M'gladbach · 85′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedLovro Majer · VfL Wolfsburg · 38′ · 0.05 xG · on targetKevin Stöger · Borussia M'gladbach · 69′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedShio Fukuda · Borussia M'gladbach · 82′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedMohamed Amoura · VfL Wolfsburg · 19′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedMohamed Amoura · VfL Wolfsburg · 74′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedTomáš Čvančara · Borussia M'gladbach · 90′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedMohamed Amoura · VfL Wolfsburg · 1′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedJulian Weigl · Borussia M'gladbach · 18′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedRocco Reitz · Borussia M'gladbach · 15′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedPhilipp Sander · Borussia M'gladbach · 14′ · 0.12 xG · on targetLovro Majer · VfL Wolfsburg · 19′ · 0.12 xG · on targetJoakim Mæhle · VfL Wolfsburg · 78′ · 0.12 xG · on targetAlassane Pléa · Borussia M'gladbach · 9′ · 0.14 xG · off target or blockedAlassane Pléa · Borussia M'gladbach · 13′ · 0.16 xG · off target or blockedYannick Gerhardt · VfL Wolfsburg · 81′ · 0.16 xG · off target or blockedLukas Nmecha · VfL Wolfsburg · 50′ · 0.33 xG · goalLukas Nmecha · VfL Wolfsburg · 21′ · 0.48 xG · on target
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Borussia M'gladbach: 16 shots, 3 on target, 0.98 xG. VfL Wolfsburg: 17 shots, 6 on target, 1.69 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0120′HT90′Lukas Nmecha · VfL Wolfsburg · 50′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Borussia M'gladbach 0.98 xG · VfL Wolfsburg 1.69 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

3Borussia M'gladbach
1Draws
1VfL Wolfsburg
VfL Wolfsburg — Borussia M'gladbach · Bundesliga5–1
VfL Wolfsburg — Borussia M'gladbach · Bundesliga1–3
Borussia M'gladbach — VfL Wolfsburg · Bundesliga4–0
Borussia M'gladbach — VfL Wolfsburg · Bundesliga2–0
VfL Wolfsburg — Borussia M'gladbach · Bundesliga2–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Borussia M'gladbach favored in 2 of 11 directional metrics · VfL Wolfsburg in 4 · 5 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Borussia M'gladbach34 matchesVfL Wolfsburg34 matches
1.62 goals/matchGoals scored34/341.65 goals/match
1.68 goals/matchGoals allowed34/34▲ 1.59 goals/match
1.48 xG/matchExpected goals34/341.42 xG/match
12.3 shots/matchShots34/3412.8 shots/match
4.79 shots/match ▲Shots on target34/344.21 shots/match
49.7% ●Possession34/3446%
4.65 corners/matchCorners34/34● 4.79 corners/match
9.97 fouls/matchFouls34/3410.3 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples34 / 34home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 17 May 2025, 17:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Bundesliga

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsBorussia M'gladbachVfL Wolfsburg
CompetitionBundesligaBundesliga 2024/25
Head-to-headBorussia M'gladbach — VfL Wolfsburg
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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